Result
3:1
11/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Advertisement
Watch and bet Cerezo Osaka - Albirex Niigata live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (429/489) | 85% (390/460) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (429/489) | 85% (390/460) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (17/35) | 52% (25/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (140/177) | 69% (63/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 53% (8/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.01 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | -0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Horigome Y. ⚽,
- 13', 1 - 1, Nakajima M. ⚽, Fernandes L. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', 2 - 1, Fernandes L. ⚽, Homma S. (A),
- 61', Kasai K. ↓, Shimamura T. ↑,
- 61', Horigome Y. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
- 71', Nakajima M. ↓, Rafael Ratao ↑,
- 71', Homma S. ↓, Thiago Andrade ↑,
- 73', Okumura J. ↓, Taniguchi K. ↑,
- 73', Arai T. ↓, Uemura H. ↑,
- 78', Kida H. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
- 78', Inoue R. ↓, Nishio R. ↑,
- 78', Fujiwara S. 🟨,
- 81', 3 - 1, Fujiwara S. (Own goal),
- 82', Shirai E. ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
- 84', Shibayama M. ↓, Kagawa S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cerezo Osaka
53.6% | Draw
24.6% | Albirex Niigata
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Cerezo Osaka - Albirex Niigata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↑
(1.66) |
3.96 ↓
(4.09) |
4.43 ↓
(4.78) |
2.1%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Albirex Niigata?
Users Predictions:
Cerezo Osaka will win
(30 of 34 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.41% – 99.07%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cerezo Osaka will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 1.
- Cerezo Osaka has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Niigata is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Cerezo Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cerezo Osaka is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y.
(Knee Injury)
Noborizato K.
(Inactive)
Takahashi N.
(Foot Injury)
Uejo S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Niigata: Fitzgerald M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Niigata: Hashimoto K.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Albirex Niigata?
Cerezo Osaka has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Cerezo Osaka?
Albirex Niigata has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Albirex Niigata were as follows:
02.03.2025
Albirex Niigata
-
Cerezo Osaka
2:2
20.07.2024
Cerezo Osaka
-
Albirex Niigata
1:2
07.04.2024
Albirex Niigata
-
Cerezo Osaka
0:1
03.12.2023
Albirex Niigata
-
Cerezo Osaka
1:0
18.02.2023
Cerezo Osaka
-
Albirex Niigata
2:2
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Latest results of Albirex Niigata
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 52:30 | 22 | 54 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 53 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 37:26 | 11 | 53 |
| 4 | Kashima Antlers | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 41:27 | 14 | 52 |
| 5 | Machida | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 50 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 34:20 | 14 | 50 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 39:30 | 9 | 47 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 50:38 | 12 | 45 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 38:44 | -6 | 40 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 42:39 | 3 | 39 |
| 11 | Okayama | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 26:28 | -2 | 39 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 28:28 | 0 | 37 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Verdy | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 32 |
| 15 | FC Tokyo | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 30:42 | -12 | 31 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34:42 | -8 | 29 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26:35 | -9 | 25 |
| 18 | Shonan Bellmare | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26:47 | -21 | 25 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 18:35 | -17 | 23 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 27:48 | -21 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Which TV channels are streaming of Cerezo Osaka - Albirex Niigata?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 China | K-Ball |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
