Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

08/03/2025 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

AAMI Park (Melbourne).

AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 22
Referee: Evans S. (Aus)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.11	0.04
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Goal Attempts
24	1
Shots on Goal
9	0
Shots off Goal
9	1
Blocked Shots
6	0
Big Chances
6	0
Corner Kicks
10	2
Shots inside the Box
14	0
Shots outside the Box
10	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	6
Free Kicks
12	3
Offsides
1	1
Fouls
3	12
Yellow Cards
2	2
Throw-ins
20	24
Touches in the Opposition Box
33	6
Passes
83% (459/550)	79% (287/363)
Passes in the final third
73% (150/205)	69% (51/74)
Crosses
18% (3/17)	0% (0/8)
Tackles
69% (11/16)	55% (11/20)
Clearances Total
14	27
Interceptions
7	16

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Velupillay N. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Fornaroli B. ⚽, Hamill B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Di Pizio M. ↓, Theoharous C. ↑,
46', Vitor Feijao ↓, Duarte N. ↑,
46', Roux S. ↓, Kuzevski S. ↑,
55', Velupillay N. 🟨,
56', Theoharous C. 🟨,
58', Duarte N. 🟨,
65', Arzani D. ↓, Badolato A. ↑,
65', Roderick ↓, Jackson L. ↑,
73', Sainsbury T. ↓, Herrington D. ↑,
73', Mauragis L. ↓, Faisal A. ↑,
75', Piscopo R. ↓, Clarismario ↑,
75', Velupillay N. ↓, Machach Z. ↑,
84', Rawlins J. 🟨,
85', Fornaroli B. ↓, Vergos N. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 0, Machach Z. ⚽, Valadon J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Melbourne Victory
63.2%

Draw
21.9%

Central Coast Mariners
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

18.6%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5%

17.7%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne Victory's form might have worsened.

Central Coast Mariners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne Victory, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.37)	4.34 ↓ (5.05)	6.29 ↓ (7.62)	5.7% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners?

The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is Melbourne Victory will win! (14 of 17 users predict this).

Preview Facts

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Melbourne Victory won 0.
Recent matches Melbourne Victory is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Central Coast has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Central Coast could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Melbourne Victory is a favorite.
There will not play in Central Coast: Edmondson R. (Injury) McCalmont A. (Yellow Cards) Tapp B. (Knee Injury) Torres A. (Suspended)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Melbourne Victory won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 33:27 (average 1.7:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Melbourne Victory won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20:11 (average 2:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Central Coast Mariners?

Melbourne Victory has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Central Coast Mariners won against Melbourne Victory?

Central Coast Mariners has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners were as follows:

18.10.2024 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory 0:0

25.05.2024 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory 3:1

25.02.2024 Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners 0:1

13.01.2024 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory 1:1

02.12.2023 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory 2:2

Latest results of Melbourne Victory

01.03.2025 Brisbane Roar - Melbourne Victory 1:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City 2:2 ✺

14.02.2025 Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix 1:0 ✺

08.02.2025 Newcastle Jets - Melbourne Victory 3:0 ✺

01.02.2025 Perth Glory - Melbourne Victory 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Central Coast Mariners

28.02.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Western United 1:3 ✺

22.02.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Western Sydney Wanderers 0:4 ✺

18.02.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Central Coast Mariners 2:0 ✺

11.02.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Johor Darul Takzim 1:2 ✺

07.02.2025 Perth Glory - Central Coast Mariners 1:1 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

Quarter-finals

1	Auckland FC (1)	Bye
2	WS Wanderers (4)	Melbourne Victory (5)
3	Melbourne City (2)	Bye
4	Western United (3)	Adelaide United (6)	3 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Auckland FC (1)	TBD #2
2	Melbourne City (2)	Western United (3)

Which TV channels are streaming of Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Asia	SPOTV 2 Asia
Australia	10 Bold, 10 Play, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	Vidio
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	Astro Go
New-zealand	Sky Sport 4, Sky Sport Select
Philippines	Cignal Play, Premier Football
Singapore	StarHub TV+
South-korea	SPOTV 2, SPOTV Now
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 5, TNT Sports 8
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App