Melbourne City vs Central Coast Mariners: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Australian A-League Women Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners
Result
0:1 ET
11/05/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : A-League Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Godsell M. (Aus)
Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.751.52
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
715
Shots on target
18
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
67% (263/392)83% (558/669)
Yellow Cards
10
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.751.52
xG on target (xGOT)
0.021.07
Total shots
715
Shots on target
18
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
310
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1420
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
67% (263/392)83% (558/669)
Long passes
35% (28/81)60% (48/80)
Passes in final third
50% (77/155)65% (118/181)
Crosses
17% (2/12)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.730.77
Throw-ins
4617
Fouls
1511
Tackles
90% (19/21)57% (16/28)
Duels won
5461
Clearances
3933
Interceptions
1623
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
71
xGOT faced
1.070.02
Goals prevented
0.070.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', McNamara H. , McMahon S. ,
  • 25', Bosch L. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Kraszula G. , King ,
  • 60', Rowe S. , Quilligan T. ,
  • 69', Apostolakis A. 🟨,
  • 77', McMahon S. , Speckmaier M. ,
  • 80', Rasmussen A. , Trimis P. ,
  • 80', Ray T. , Hughes B. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 1)
  • 100', Apostolakis A. , Vlajnic T. ,
  • 108', Nunn B. , Fuller T. ,
  • 109', Davidson L. , Karic C. ,
  • 120+2', 0 - 1, Gomez I. , Trimis P. (A),

Chances of winning


Melbourne City
65.7%
Draw
18.5%
Central Coast Mariners
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.9% 21.2% 17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4% 20% 16.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.5)
    4.97
    (4.33)
    5.79
    (5.12)
    9%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg.
    • Melbourne City is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Central Coast is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Melbourne City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Melbourne City has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Central Coast has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Melbourne City is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Melbourne City will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City 2:2
    31.12.2024 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City 0:0
    16.11.2024 Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners 2:2
    23.03.2024 Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners 3:0
    15.12.2023 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City 1:1
    Latest results of Melbourne City
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Victory W (2)Bye
    2Adelaide W (3)Western United W (6)1 : 0
    3Melbourne City W (1)Bye
    4Central Coast Mariners W (4)Canberra W (5)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Victory W (2)Adelaide W (3)3 : 1, 3 : 1
    2Melbourne City W (1)Central Coast Mariners W (4)0 : 1, 2 : 2

    Final
    1Melbourne Victory W (2)Central Coast Mariners W (4)1 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 5
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 2
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