Kairat vs Celtic: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Kairat - Celtic
Result
1:0 penalties
26/08/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Champions League - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
Kairat - Celtic - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.581.17
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
64% (219/343)83% (600/720)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.581.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.180.81
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
1221
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1811
Passes
64% (219/343)83% (600/720)
Long passes
27% (22/83)29% (17/59)
Passes in final third
48% (65/135)65% (97/149)
Crosses
19% (5/27)13% (3/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.761.13
Throw-ins
2743
Fouls
1219
Tackles
61% (22/36)69% (11/16)
Duels won
7563
Clearances
5140
Interceptions
1412
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
0.810.18
Goals prevented
0.810.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 64', Glazer D. , Kasabulat D. ,
  • 70', Forrest J. , Engels A. ,
  • 70', Yang Hyun-Jun , Idah A. ,
  • 75', Tierney K. , Murray D. ,
  • 80', Ricardinho , Bagdat R. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 101', Hatate R. 🟨,
  • 106', Hatate R. , McCowan L. ,
  • 106', Ralston A. , Donovan C. ,
  • 117', Tapalov E. , Stanojev J. ,
  • 119', Mata L. , Baybek O. ,
  • Penalties (3 - 2)
  • 1, Idah A. (Pen),
  • 1, Gromyko V. (Pen),
  • 2, McCowan L. (Pen),
  • 2, Martynovich A. (Pen),
  • 3, Engels A. (Pen),
  • 3, Arad O. (Pen),
  • 4, McGregor C. (Pen),
  • 4, Sorokin E. (Pen),
  • 5, Maeda D. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Kairat
16.7%
Draw
22.1%
Celtic
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.4% 19.7% 64.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15% 19.2% 66.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kairat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Celtic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Kairat - Celtic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.65
    (6.23)
    4.27
    (4.87)
    1.56
    (1.48)
    5.4%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Kairat - Celtic?
  • Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Kairat will win (votes: 4 - 6.3%). Celtic will win (votes: 50 - 78.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 15.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Celtic: 68%88.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Celtic will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
    • Kairat is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Celtic is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Celtic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Celtic has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Celtic is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Kairat: Elder Santana (Knee Injury) Joao Paulo (Knee Injury) Satpaev D. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Celtic: Johnston A. (Injury) Jota (Knee Injury) Trusty A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kairat: Zarutskiy A. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kairat won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kairat - Celtic were as follows:
    20.08.2025 Celtic - Kairat 0:0
    Latest results of Kairat
    20.08.2025 Celtic - Kairat 0:0
    16.08.2025 Kairat - Yelimay Semey 2:3
    12.08.2025 Slovan Bratislava - Kairat 1:1
    06.08.2025 Kairat - Slovan Bratislava 1:0
    02.08.2025 Kairat - Ulytau 1:0
    Latest results of Celtic
    23.08.2025 Celtic - Livingston 3:0
    20.08.2025 Celtic - Kairat 0:0
    15.08.2025 Celtic - Falkirk 4:1
    10.08.2025 Aberdeen - Celtic 0:2
    03.08.2025 Celtic - St. Mirren 1:0
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eintracht Frankfurt11005:143
    2PSG11004:043
    3Club Brugge KV11004:133
    4Sporting CP11004:133
    5Royale Union SG11003:123
    6Bayern Munich11003:123
    7Arsenal11002:023
    8Inter11002:023
    9Manchester City11002:023
    10Qarabag11003:213
    11Liverpool11003:213
    12Barcelona11002:113
    13Real Madrid11002:113
    14Tottenham11001:013
    15Dortmund10104:401
    16Juventus10104:401
    17Bayer Leverkusen10102:201
    18Bodo/Glimt10102:201
    19Slavia Prague10102:201
    20FC Copenhagen10102:201
    21Pafos10100:001
    22Olympiacos Piraeus10100:001
    23Atl. Madrid10012:3-10
    24Benfica10012:3-10
    25Marseille10011:2-10
    26Newcastle10011:2-10
    27Villarreal10010:1-10
    28Chelsea10011:3-20
    29PSV10011:3-20
    30Napoli10010:2-20
    31Ajax10010:2-20
    32Ath Bilbao10010:2-20
    33Monaco10011:4-30
    34Kairat Almaty10011:4-30
    35Galatasaray10011:5-40
    36Atalanta10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Kairat - Celtic?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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