Kairat vs Celtic: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

26/08/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Almaty Central Stadium (Almaty).

: Champions League - Qualification - Final
Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.58	1.17
Ball Possession
33%	67%
Total shots
12	11
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
5	7
Passes
64% (219/343)	83% (600/720)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.58	1.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.18	0.81
Total shots
12	11
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
4	2
Blocked Shots
4	4
Shots inside the Box
6	5
Shots outside the Box
6	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
5	7
Touches in opposition box
12	21
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
18	11
Passes
64% (219/343)	83% (600/720)
Long passes
27% (22/83)	29% (17/59)
Passes in final third
48% (65/135)	65% (97/149)
Crosses
19% (5/27)	13% (3/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.76	1.13
Throw-ins
27	43
Fouls
12	19
Tackles
61% (22/36)	69% (11/16)
Duels won
75	63
Clearances
51	40
Interceptions
14	12
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	4
xGOT faced
0.81	0.18
Goals prevented
0.81	0.18

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Glazer D. ↓, Kasabulat D. ↑,
70', Forrest J. ↓, Engels A. ↑,
70', Yang Hyun-Jun ↓, Idah A. ↑,
75', Tierney K. ↓, Murray D. ↑,
80', Ricardinho ↓, Bagdat R. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
101', Hatate R. 🟨,
106', Hatate R. ↓, McCowan L. ↑,
106', Ralston A. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
117', Tapalov E. ↓, Stanojev J. ↑,
119', Mata L. ↓, Baybek O. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 2)
1, Idah A. (Pen),
1, Gromyko V. (Pen),
2, McCowan L. (Pen),
2, Martynovich A. (Pen),
3, Engels A. (Pen),
3, Arad O. (Pen),
4, McGregor C. (Pen),
4, Sorokin E. (Pen),
5, Maeda D. (Pen),

Chances of winning

Kairat
16.7%

Draw
22.1%

Celtic
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.4%

19.7%

64.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15%

19.2%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kairat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Celtic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kairat - Celtic Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.65 ↓ (6.23)	4.27 ↓ (4.87)	1.56 ↑ (1.48)	5.4% (4.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Kairat - Celtic?

Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Kairat will win (votes: 4 - 6.3%). Celtic will win (votes: 50 - 78.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 15.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celtic: 68% – 88.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Celtic will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
Kairat is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Celtic is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Celtic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Celtic has had a series of home games.
In this match, Celtic is the team to beat.
There will not play in Kairat: Elder Santana (Knee Injury) Joao Paulo (Knee Injury) Satpaev D. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Celtic: Johnston A. (Injury) Jota (Knee Injury) Trusty A. (Injury)
There are questionable in Kairat: Zarutskiy A. (Injury)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kairat won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Kairat won against Celtic?

Kairat has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Celtic won against Kairat?

Celtic has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kairat - Celtic were as follows:

20.08.2025 Celtic - Kairat 0:0

Latest results of Kairat

20.08.2025 Celtic - Kairat 0:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Kairat - Yelimay Semey 2:3 ✺

12.08.2025 Slovan Bratislava - Kairat 1:1 ✺

06.08.2025 Kairat - Slovan Bratislava 1:0 ✺

02.08.2025 Kairat - Ulytau 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Celtic

23.08.2025 Celtic - Livingston 3:0 ✺

20.08.2025 Celtic - Kairat 0:0 ✺

15.08.2025 Celtic - Falkirk 4:1 ✺

10.08.2025 Aberdeen - Celtic 0:2 ✺

03.08.2025 Celtic - St. Mirren 1:0 ✺

UEFA Champions League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	8:2	6	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	7:1	6	6
3	PSG	2	2	0	0	6:1	5	6
4	Inter	2	2	0	0	5:0	5	6
5	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
6	Qarabag	2	2	0	0	5:2	3	6
7	Dortmund	2	1	1	0	8:5	3	4
8	Manchester City	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
9	Tottenham	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
10	Atl. Madrid	2	1	0	1	7:4	3	3
11	Newcastle	2	1	0	1	5:2	3	3
12	Marseille	2	1	0	1	5:2	3	3
13	Club Brugge KV	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
14	Sporting CP	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
15	Eintracht Frankfurt	2	1	0	1	6:6	0	3
16	Barcelona	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
17	Liverpool	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
18	Chelsea	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
19	Napoli	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
20	Royale Union SG	2	1	0	1	3:5	-2	3
21	Galatasaray	2	1	0	1	2:5	-3	3
22	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	2:5	-3	3
23	Juventus	2	0	2	0	6:6	0	2
24	Bodo/Glimt	2	0	2	0	4:4	0	2
25	Bayer Leverkusen	2	0	2	0	3:3	0	2
26	Villarreal	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
27	PSV	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
28	FC Copenhagen	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
29	Olympiacos Piraeus	2	0	1	1	0:2	-2	1
30	Monaco	2	0	1	1	3:6	-3	1
31	Slavia Prague	2	0	1	1	2:5	-3	1
32	Pafos	2	0	1	1	1:5	-4	1
33	Benfica	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0
34	Ath Bilbao	2	0	0	2	1:6	-5	0
35	Ajax	2	0	0	2	0:6	-6	0
36	Kairat Almaty	2	0	0	2	1:9	-8	0

Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Kairat - Celtic?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
Belarus	Okko Sport
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	HBO Max
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 5
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	SÝN Sport
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Ireland	Premier Sports 1 ROI
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Japan	Wowow Prime
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 2, Canal+ Sport 1
Malta	TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Prime
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	TRT 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter