Real Madrid vs Celta de Vigo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

04/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid).

: LaLiga - Round 34
Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.12	1.96
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
17	14
Shots on target
6	7
Big Chances
6	3
Corner Kicks
4	6
Passes
93% (560/605)	88% (457/519)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12	1.96
xG on target (xGOT)
2.39	2.10
Total shots
17	14
Shots on target
6	7
Shots off target
10	3
Blocked Shots
1	4
Shots inside the Box
12	9
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
6	3
Corner Kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
25	27
Accurate through passes
3	2
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
11	5
Passes
93% (560/605)	88% (457/519)
Long passes
70% (33/47)	67% (39/58)
Passes in final third
82% (117/143)	79% (107/136)
Crosses
15% (2/13)	27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.36	1.47
Throw-ins
9	9
Fouls
5	11
Tackles
67% (8/12)	53% (8/15)
Duels won
38	26
Clearances
9	14
Interceptions
4	7
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	3
xGOT faced
2.10	2.39
Goals prevented
0.10	-0.61

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Guler A. ⚽, Lucas (A),
39', 2 - 0, Mbappe K. ⚽, Bellingham J. (A),
45', Bellingham J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 3 - 0, Mbappe K. ⚽, Guler A. (A),
54', Beltran F. ↓, Moriba I. ↑,
54', Carreira S. ↓, Alvarez H. ↑,
62', Lago Y. 🟨,
65', Iglesias B. ↓, Swedberg W. ↑,
65', Gonzalez A. ↓, Duran P. ↑,
66', Asencio R. ↓, Ramon J. ↑,
69', 3 - 1, Rodriguez J. ⚽,
74', Ceballos D. ↓, Modric L. ↑,
75', Sotelo H. ↓, Aspas I. ↑,
76', 3 - 2, Swedberg W. ⚽, Aspas I. (A),
83', Guler A. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
90+5', Ramon J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Real Madrid
68.8%

Draw
17.5%

Celta de Vigo
13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6%

16.8%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Real Madrid have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Celta de Vigo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.4)	5.47 ↓ (5.5)	7.04 ↑ (6.98)	3.8% (4.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo?

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 53 - 89.8%). Celta will win (votes: 2 - 3.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 6.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 82.1% – 97.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
Real is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real won 5.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Real may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Real is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Knee Injury) Camavinga E. (Groin Injury) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury) Rodrygo (Illness) Rudiger A. (Suspended)
There will not play in Celta: El Abdellaoui J. (Thigh Injury) Starfelt C. (Thigh Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real won 16 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 58:21. (average 2.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Real won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 31:9. (average 3.1:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Celta de Vigo?

Real Madrid has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Celta de Vigo won against Real Madrid?

Celta de Vigo has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo were as follows:

16.01.2025 Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo 5:2

19.10.2024 Celta de Vigo - Real Madrid 1:2

10.03.2024 Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo 4:0

25.08.2023 Celta de Vigo - Real Madrid 0:1

22.04.2023 Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo 2:0

Latest results of Real Madrid

26.04.2025 Barcelona - Real Madrid 3:2 ✺

23.04.2025 Getafe - Real Madrid 0:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao 1:0 ✺

16.04.2025 Real Madrid - Arsenal 1:2 ✺

13.04.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Celta de Vigo

23.04.2025 Celta de Vigo - Villarreal 3:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Barcelona - Celta de Vigo 4:3 ✺

12.04.2025 Celta de Vigo - Espanyol 0:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Mallorca - Celta de Vigo 1:2 ✺

31.03.2025 Celta de Vigo - Las Palmas 1:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	38	28	4	6	102:39	63	88
2	Real Madrid	38	26	6	6	78:38	40	84
3	Atl. Madrid	38	22	10	6	68:30	38	76
4	Ath Bilbao	38	19	13	6	54:29	25	70
5	Villarreal	38	20	10	8	71:51	20	70
6	Betis	38	16	12	10	57:50	7	60
7	Celta Vigo	38	16	7	15	59:57	2	55
8	Rayo Vallecano	38	13	13	12	41:45	-4	52
9	Osasuna	38	12	16	10	48:52	-4	52
10	Mallorca	38	13	9	16	35:44	-9	48
11	Real Sociedad	38	13	7	18	35:46	-11	46
12	Valencia	38	11	13	14	44:54	-10	46
13	Getafe	38	11	9	18	34:39	-5	42
14	Espanyol	38	11	9	18	40:51	-11	42
15	Alaves	38	10	12	16	38:48	-10	42
16	Girona	38	11	8	19	44:60	-16	41
17	Sevilla	38	10	11	17	42:55	-13	41
18	Leganes	38	9	13	16	39:56	-17	40
19	Las Palmas	38	8	8	22	40:61	-21	32
20	Valladolid	38	4	4	30	26:90	-64	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	K-Sport 1, SuperSport 1
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN 4, TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	K Sport 1
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV 2, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Taiwan	DAZN
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2, Zor TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 22, SCTV Online