Celta de Vigo vs PAOK: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

02/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio de Balaídos (Vigo).

: Europa League - League phase - Round 2
Referee: Pajac I. (Cro)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.51	0.75
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
15	5
Shots on target
9	2
Big Chances
7	2
Corner Kicks
5	1
Passes
89% (587/660)	83% (316/382)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.51	0.75
xG on target (xGOT)
3.76	0.68
Total shots
15	5
Shots on target
9	2
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked Shots
1	1
Shots inside the Box
12	4
Shots outside the Box
3	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
7	2
Corner Kicks
5	1
Touches in opposition box
26	12
Accurate through passes
4	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
13	9
Passes
89% (587/660)	83% (316/382)
Long passes
59% (30/51)	43% (28/65)
Passes in final third
78% (114/147)	58% (46/79)
Crosses
24% (4/17)	38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.73	0.39
Throw-ins
22	18
Fouls
9	13
Tackles
55% (11/20)	100% (5/5)
Duels won
48	26
Clearances
8	14
Interceptions
5	10
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	6
xGOT faced
0.68	3.76
Goals prevented
-0.32	0.76

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Giakoumakis G. ⚽, Konstantelias G. (A),
41', Mingueza O. 🟨,
43', Swedberg W. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Aspas I. ⚽, Mingueza O. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', Giakoumakis G. 🟨,
53', 2 - 1, Iglesias B. ⚽, Swedberg W. (A),
61', Bianco A. ↓, Meite S. ↑,
61', Giakoumakis G. ↓, Chalov F. ↑,
67', Iglesias B. ↓, Jutgla F. ↑,
67', Mingueza O. ↓, Dominguez C. ↑,
70', Camara M. ↓, Taison ↑,
70', Despodov K. ↓, Zivkovic A. ↑,
70', 3 - 1, Swedberg W. ⚽, Rueda J. (A),
74', Swedberg W. ↓, Duran P. ↑,
74', Aspas I. ↓, Zaragoza B. ↑,
74', Vogliacco A. ↓, Kedziora T. ↑,
79', Moriba I. 🟨,
83', Rueda J. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
90+2', Ozdoev M. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Celta de Vigo
58.5%

Draw
23.7%

PAOK
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

23.8%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

25.7%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Celta de Vigo - PAOK Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.7)	4.05 ↑ (4)	5.36 ↑ (4.7)	4.4% (5.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Celta de Vigo - PAOK?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 26 high ROI users predict this event. Celta (votes: 18 - 69.2%). PAOK (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).

Users Predictions: Celta de Vigo will win (66 of 79 users predict this - 83.54%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.36% – 91.72%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Recent form of Celta has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, PAOK has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Celta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Celta is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Celta: Aidoo J. (Coach's decision) Carreira S. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in PAOK: Balde M. (Inactive) Berdos D. (Inactive) Gugeshashvili L. (Inactive) Murg T. (Inactive) Pelkas D. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Celta: Ristic M. (Back Injury) Starfelt C. (Ankle Injury)
In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

How many head-to-head matches has Celta de Vigo won against PAOK?

Celta de Vigo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has PAOK won against Celta de Vigo?

PAOK has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Celta de Vigo - PAOK were as follows:

Latest results of Celta de Vigo

28.09.2025 Elche - Celta de Vigo 2:1 ✺

25.09.2025 Stuttgart - Celta de Vigo 2:1 ✺

21.09.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Celta de Vigo 1:1 ✺

14.09.2025 Celta de Vigo - Girona 1:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Celta de Vigo - Villarreal 1:1 ✺

Latest results of PAOK

28.09.2025 Asteras Tripolis - PAOK 3:3 ✺

24.09.2025 PAOK - Maccabi Tel Aviv 0:0 ✺

20.09.2025 PAOK - Panetolikos 0:0 ✺

17.09.2025 Levadiakos - PAOK 4:1 ✺

14.09.2025 OFI - PAOK 1:2 ✺

UEFA Europa League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	D. Zagreb	2	2	0	0	6:2	4	6
2	Midtjylland	2	2	0	0	5:2	3	6
3	Aston Villa	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
4	Braga	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
5	Lyon	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
6	Lille	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6
7	FC Porto	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6
8	Plzen	2	1	1	0	4:1	3	4
9	Betis	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
10	Freiburg	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
11	Ferencvaros	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
12	Panathinaikos	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
13	Celta Vigo	2	1	0	1	4:3	1	3
14	Basel	2	1	0	1	3:2	1	3
15	AS Roma	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
16	G.A. Eagles	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
17	Brann	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
18	Genk	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
19	Young Boys	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
20	Fenerbahce	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
21	Ludogorets	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
22	Sturm Graz	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
23	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
24	FCSB	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
25	Nottingham	2	0	1	1	4:5	-1	1
26	Crvena zvezda	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
27	Bologna	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
28	PAOK	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
29	Celtic	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
30	Maccabi Tel Aviv	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
31	Nice	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0
32	Rangers	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0
33	Utrecht	2	0	0	2	0:2	-2	0
34	Salzburg	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0
35	Feyenoord	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0
36	Malmo FF	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0

Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Celta de Vigo - PAOK?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Bulgaria	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Colombia	ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 7
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1 Greece, COSMOTE Sport 4, Cosmote Sport 4K
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 9
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports Extra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus