Celje vs Jagiellonia Białystok: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

28/11/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadion Z'dezele (Celje).

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 4
Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.44	2.99
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Goal Attempts
19	16
Shots on Goal
6	6
Shots off Goal
5	6
Blocked Shots
8	4
Free Kicks
8	12
Corner Kicks
9	3
Offsides
0	1
Throw-ins
16	10
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
Fouls
12	8
Yellow Cards
2	2
Total Passes
494	364
Completed Passes
415	308
Crosses Completed
9	2
Interceptions
10	10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Zec D. ⚽, Seslar S. (A),
33', Nemanic K. 🟨,
33', Juanjo Nieto 🟨,
34', Pululu A. (Pen),
34', 1 - 1, Pululu A. ⚽,
39', Churlinov D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
54', 2 - 1, Juanjo Nieto ⚽,
57', Diaby-Fadiga L. ↓, Hansen K. ↑,
68', Kubicki J. ↓, Nene ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Imaz J. ⚽, Hansen K. (A),
78', 2 - 3, Hansen K. ⚽, Imaz J. (A),
78', Kvesic M. ↓, Edmilson ↑,
80', 3 - 3, Dieguez A. (Own goal),
86', Churlinov D. ↓, Villar Miki ↑,
86', Costa Silva T. ↓, Skrzypczak M. ↑,
86', Pululu A. ↓, Listkowski M. ↑,
86', Nguiamba A. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Celje
45.6%

Draw
25.1%

Jagiellonia Białystok
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

29.2%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

28.7%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celje's performance.

Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jagiellonia Białystok might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celje than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celje that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jagiellonia Białystok could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Celje - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.6)	3.75 ↑ (3.15)	3.19 ↑ (2.6)	6.2% (8.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Celje - Jagiellonia Białystok?

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Celje will win (votes: 24 - 63.2%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 7 - 18.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 18.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celje: 47.9% – 78.5%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Recent matches Celje is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Jagiellonia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Celje: Kucys A. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Jagiellonia: Romanczuk T. (Injury) Wojdakowski D. (Knee Injury)
Recently, the teams did not play each other.

How many head-to-head matches has Celje won against Jagiellonia Białystok?

Celje has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Celje?

Jagiellonia Białystok has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Celje - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:

Latest results of Celje

23.11.2024 Celje - Koper 1:0 ✺

10.11.2024 Primorje - Celje 1:3 ✺

07.11.2024 Betis - Celje 2:1 ✺

03.11.2024 Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 0:1 ✺

27.10.2024 Radomlje - Celje 4:2 ✺

Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok

22.11.2024 Jagiellonia Białystok - Śląsk Wrocław 2:2 ✺

10.11.2024 Jagiellonia Białystok - Raków Częstochowa 2:2 ✺

07.11.2024 Jagiellonia Białystok - Molde 3:0 ✺

03.11.2024 Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:2 ✺

30.10.2024 Chojniczanka Chojnice - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:3 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	Dundee Utd	Bye
2	Bye	UNA Strassen
3	Larne	Auda	0 : 0
6	Urartu	Neman	1 : 2
7	Vaduz	Bye
8	Bye	Dungannon
9	Silkeborg	Bye
10	Bye	KA Akureyri
11	Rosenborg	Bye
12	Bye	Banga
13	Atletic Escaldes	Dudelange	2 : 0
14	Bye	Dinamo Tirana
15	Austria Vienna	Bye
16	Bye	Spaeri
17	FC Ballkani	Bye
18	Floriana	Haverfordwest	2 : 1
19	Viking	Bye
20	Zeljeznicar	Koper	1 : 1
21	AEK Athens FC	Bye
23	Tre Fiori	Pyunik Yerevan	1 : 0
24	Bye	Gyor
25	Riga FC	Bye
26	Racing Luxembourg	Dila Gori	1 : 2
27	Rakow	Bye
28	Bye	Zilina
29	Birkirkara	Petrocub	1 : 0
31	Ararat-Armenia	Bye
32	Bye	U. Cluj
33	Varazdin	Bye
34	Bye	Santa Clara
35	Kauno Zalgiris	Penybont	3 : 0
36	Valur	Flora	3 : 0
38	Bye	Maribor
39	Vllaznia	BFC Daugavpils	0 : 1
40	Malisheva	Vikingur Reykjavik	0 : 1
41	Hammarby	Bye
42	Bye	Charleroi
43	Radnicki 1923	Bye
44	SJK	Klaksvik	1 : 2
45	Novi Pazar	Bye
46	Bye	Jagiellonia
47	Polissya Zhytomyr	Bye
48	Borac Banja Luka	FC Santa Coloma	1 : 4
49	La Fiorita	Vardar	0 : 3
50	Bye	Lausanne
51	HB Torshavn	Bye
52	Bye	Brondby
53	Oleksandriya	Bye
55	Hibernians	Bye
57	St. Patricks	Hegelmann	1 : 0
58	Kalju	Partizani	1 : 1
59	AIK	Bye
60	Magpies	Paide	2 : 3
61	FK Sarajevo	Bye
62	Bye	Univ. Craiova
63	Aris	Bye
64	Bye	Puskas Academy
65	St Josephs	Cliftonville	2 : 2
66	Bye	Shamrock Rovers
68	Bye	AZ Alkmaar
69	Zira	Bye
70	Bye	Hajduk Split
71	Arda	Bye
72	NSI Runavik	HJK	4 : 0
74	Bye	Sparta Prague
75	Zimbru Chisinau	Bye
76	Bye	FC Astana
77	Decic	Sileks	2 : 0
78	Bye	SK Rapid
79	Zhodino	Rabotnicki	3 : 0
80	Bye	Maccabi Haifa
81	Araz	Bye
82	Bye	Aris
83	Omonia	Bye
84	Torpedo Kutaisi	Ordabasy	4 : 3
85	Cherno More	Bye
86	Bye	Basaksehir
87	Sutjeska	Dynamo Brest	1 : 2
88	Bye	Beitar Jerusalem

Quarter-finals

1	Dundee Utd	UNA Strassen
2	TBD #3	Bye
3	Bye	TBD #6
4	Vaduz	Dungannon
5	Silkeborg	KA Akureyri
6	Rosenborg	Banga
7	TBD #13	Dinamo Tirana
8	Austria Vienna	Spaeri
9	FC Ballkani	TBD #18
10	Viking	TBD #20
11	AEK Athens FC	Bye
12	TBD #23	Gyor
13	Riga FC	TBD #26
14	Rakow	Zilina
15	TBD #29	Bye
16	Ararat-Armenia	U. Cluj
17	Varazdin	Santa Clara
18	TBD #35	TBD #36
19	Bye	Maribor
20	TBD #39	TBD #40
21	Hammarby	Charleroi
22	Radnicki 1923	TBD #44
23	Novi Pazar	Jagiellonia
24	Polissya Zhytomyr	TBD #48
25	TBD #49	Lausanne
26	HB Torshavn	Brondby
27	Oleksandriya	Bye
28	Hibernians	Bye
29	TBD #57	TBD #58
30	AIK	TBD #60
31	FK Sarajevo	Univ. Craiova
32	Aris	Puskas Academy
33	TBD #65	Shamrock Rovers
34	Bye	AZ Alkmaar
35	Zira	Hajduk Split
36	Arda	TBD #72
37	Bye	Sparta Prague
38	Zimbru Chisinau	FC Astana
39	TBD #77	SK Rapid
40	TBD #79	Maccabi Haifa
41	Araz	Aris
42	Omonia	TBD #84
43	Cherno More	Basaksehir
44	TBD #87	Beitar Jerusalem

Which TV channels are streaming of Celje - Jagiellonia Białystok?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5, Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 17
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Norway	Viaplay
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+