Celje vs Jagiellonia Białystok: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

28/11/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadion Z'dezele (Celje).

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 4
Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.44	2.99
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Goal Attempts
19	16
Shots on Goal
6	6
Shots off Goal
5	6
Blocked Shots
8	4
Free Kicks
8	12
Corner Kicks
9	3
Offsides
0	1
Throw-ins
16	10
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
Fouls
12	8
Yellow Cards
2	2
Total Passes
494	364
Completed Passes
415	308
Crosses Completed
9	2
Interceptions
10	10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Zec D. ⚽, Seslar S. (A),
33', Nemanic K. 🟨,
33', Juanjo Nieto 🟨,
34', Pululu A. (Pen),
34', 1 - 1, Pululu A. ⚽,
39', Churlinov D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
54', 2 - 1, Juanjo Nieto ⚽,
57', Diaby-Fadiga L. ↓, Hansen K. ↑,
68', Kubicki J. ↓, Nene ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Imaz J. ⚽, Hansen K. (A),
78', 2 - 3, Hansen K. ⚽, Imaz J. (A),
78', Kvesic M. ↓, Edmilson ↑,
80', 3 - 3, Dieguez A. (Own goal),
86', Churlinov D. ↓, Villar Miki ↑,
86', Costa Silva T. ↓, Skrzypczak M. ↑,
86', Pululu A. ↓, Listkowski M. ↑,
86', Nguiamba A. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Celje
45.6%

Draw
25.1%

Jagiellonia Białystok
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

29.2%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

28.7%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celje's performance.

Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jagiellonia Białystok might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celje than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celje that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jagiellonia Białystok could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Celje - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.6)	3.75 ↑ (3.15)	3.19 ↑ (2.6)	6.2% (8.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Celje - Jagiellonia Białystok?

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Celje will win (votes: 24 - 63.2%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 7 - 18.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 18.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celje: 47.9% – 78.5%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Recent matches Celje is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Jagiellonia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Celje: Kucys A. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Jagiellonia: Romanczuk T. (Injury) Wojdakowski D. (Knee Injury)
Recently, the teams did not play each other.

How many head-to-head matches has Celje won against Jagiellonia Białystok?

Celje has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Celje?

Jagiellonia Białystok has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Celje - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:

Latest results of Celje

23.11.2024 Celje - Koper 1:0 ✺

10.11.2024 Primorje - Celje 1:3 ✺

07.11.2024 Betis - Celje 2:1 ✺

03.11.2024 Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 0:1 ✺

27.10.2024 Radomlje - Celje 4:2 ✺

Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok

22.11.2024 Jagiellonia Białystok - Śląsk Wrocław 2:2 ✺

10.11.2024 Jagiellonia Białystok - Raków Częstochowa 2:2 ✺

07.11.2024 Jagiellonia Białystok - Molde 3:0 ✺

03.11.2024 Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:2 ✺

30.10.2024 Chojniczanka Chojnice - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:3 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	Buducnost	Bye
2	Bye	Milsami
4	Bye	Virtus
5	Vikingur	Bye
7	Zalgiris	Bye
8	Bye	Linfield
9	TNS	Bye
10	Bye	Differdange
11	Levadia	Bye
12	Bye	Iberia 1999
13	O. Ljubljana	Bye
14	Bye	Inter Escaldes
15	Din. Minsk	Bye
16	Bye	Egnatia
17	Decic	Sileks	1 : 2, 2 : 0
18	Bye	SK Rapid
19	Dundee Utd	Bye
20	Bye	UNA Strassen
21	Aktobe	Bye
22	Bye	Sparta Prague
23	Ararat-Armenia	Bye
24	Bye	U. Cluj
25	Ilves	Bye
26	Bye	AZ Alkmaar
27	Vaduz	Bye
28	Bye	Dungannon
29	Lugano	Bye
32	Bye	Celje
33	Radnicki 1923	Bye
34	SJK	Klaksvik	0 : 2, 1 : 2
35	Kosice	Bye
36	Urartu	Neman	0 : 4, 1 : 2
37	Riga FC	Bye
38	Racing Luxembourg	Dila Gori	0 : 1, 1 : 2
39	Sutjeska	Dynamo Brest	2 : 0, 1 : 2
40	Bye	Beitar Jerusalem
41	Vllaznia	BFC Daugavpils	4 : 2, 0 : 1
42	Malisheva	Vikingur Reykjavik	0 : 8, 0 : 1
43	HB Torshavn	Bye
44	Bye	Brondby
45	Zira	Bye
46	Bye	Hajduk Split
47	Atletic Escaldes	Dudelange	3 : 2, 2 : 0
48	Bye	Dinamo Tirana
49	Anderlecht	Bye
52	Bye	Sheriff Tiraspol
53	La Fiorita	Vardar	2 : 2, 0 : 3
54	Bye	Lausanne
55	Zimbru Chisinau	Bye
56	Bye	FC Astana
57	Larne	Auda	3 : 2, 0 : 0
58	Bye	Prishtina
59	Varazdin	Bye
60	Bye	Santa Clara
61	Aris	Bye
62	Bye	Puskas Academy
63	AEK Athens FC	Bye
64	Bye	H. Beer Sheva
65	Viking	Bye
66	Zeljeznicar	Koper	1 : 3, 1 : 1
67	Cherno More	Bye
68	Bye	Basaksehir
69	Araz	Bye
70	Bye	Aris
71	Omonia	Bye
72	Torpedo Kutaisi	Ordabasy	1 : 1, 4 : 3
73	FC Ballkani	Bye
74	Floriana	Haverfordwest	3 : 2, 2 : 1
75	St Josephs	Cliftonville	3 : 2, 2 : 2
76	Bye	Shamrock Rovers
77	Rakow	Bye
78	Bye	Zilina
79	Zhodino	Rabotnicki	1 : 0, 3 : 0
80	Bye	Maccabi Haifa
81	AIK	Bye
82	Magpies	Paide	1 : 4, 2 : 3
83	Tre Fiori	Pyunik Yerevan	0 : 5, 1 : 0
84	Bye	Gyor
85	FK Sarajevo	Bye
86	Bye	Univ. Craiova
87	Hibernians	Bye
88	Bye	Trnava
89	Polissya Zhytomyr	Bye
90	Borac Banja Luka	FC Santa Coloma	2 : 0, 1 : 4
91	Paks	Bye
92	Bye	Maribor
93	Levski Sofia	Bye
95	Birkirkara	Petrocub	0 : 3, 1 : 0
96	Bye	Sabah Baku
97	Silkeborg	Bye
98	Bye	KA Akureyri
99	Novi Pazar	Bye
100	Bye	Jagiellonia
101	Oleksandriya	Bye
102	Bye	Partizan
104	Bye	Hibernian
105	Ostrava	Bye
107	Austria Vienna	Bye
108	Bye	Spaeri
109	Rosenborg	Bye
110	Bye	Banga
111	Hammarby	Bye
112	Bye	Charleroi
113	St. Patricks	Hegelmann	2 : 0, 1 : 0
114	Kalju	Partizani	1 : 0, 1 : 1
116	Bye	Besiktas
117	Kauno Zalgiris	Penybont	1 : 1, 3 : 0
118	Valur	Flora	2 : 1, 3 : 0
119	Arda	Bye
120	NSI Runavik	HJK	0 : 5, 4 : 0

Quarter-finals

1	Buducnost	Milsami	1 : 2, 0 : 0
2	Bye	Virtus
3	Vikingur	Bye
4	Zalgiris	Linfield	0 : 2, 0 : 0
5	TNS	Differdange	0 : 1, 0 : 1
6	Levadia	Iberia 1999	2 : 2, 1 : 0
7	O. Ljubljana	Inter Escaldes	1 : 1, 4 : 2
8	Din. Minsk	Egnatia	0 : 1, 0 : 2
9	Decic	SK Rapid	2 : 4, 0 : 2
10	Dundee Utd	UNA Strassen	1 : 0, 1 : 0
11	Aktobe	Sparta Prague	0 : 4, 2 : 1
12	Ararat-Armenia	U. Cluj	2 : 1, 0 : 0
13	Ilves	AZ Alkmaar	0 : 5, 4 : 3
14	Vaduz	Dungannon	3 : 0, 0 : 1
15	Lugano	Bye
16	Bye	Celje
17	Radnicki 1923	Klaksvik	0 : 1, 0 : 0
18	Kosice	Neman	1 : 1, 2 : 3
19	Riga FC	Dila Gori	3 : 3, 2 : 1
20	Sutjeska	Beitar Jerusalem	2 : 5, 1 : 2
21	Vllaznia	Vikingur Reykjavik	2 : 4, 2 : 1
22	HB Torshavn	Brondby	0 : 1, 1 : 1
23	Zira	Hajduk Split	1 : 2, 1 : 1
24	Atletic Escaldes	Dinamo Tirana	1 : 1, 1 : 2
25	Anderlecht	Bye
26	Bye	Sheriff Tiraspol
27	Vardar	Lausanne	0 : 5, 2 : 1
28	Zimbru Chisinau	FC Astana	0 : 2, 1 : 1
29	Larne	Prishtina	2 : 1, 0 : 0
30	Varazdin	Santa Clara	0 : 2, 2 : 1
31	Aris	Puskas Academy	2 : 0, 3 : 2
32	AEK Athens FC	H. Beer Sheva	0 : 0, 1 : 0
33	Viking	Koper	5 : 3, 7 : 0
34	Cherno More	Basaksehir	0 : 4, 0 : 1
35	Araz	Aris	2 : 2, 2 : 1
36	Omonia	Torpedo Kutaisi	4 : 0, 1 : 0
37	FC Ballkani	Floriana	1 : 1, 4 : 2
38	St Josephs	Shamrock Rovers	0 : 0, 0 : 4
39	Rakow	Zilina	3 : 1, 3 : 0
40	Zhodino	Maccabi Haifa	0 : 3, 1 : 1
41	AIK	Paide	6 : 0, 2 : 0
42	Pyunik Yerevan	Gyor	1 : 3, 2 : 1
43	FK Sarajevo	Univ. Craiova	0 : 4, 2 : 1
44	Hibernians	Trnava	1 : 5, 1 : 2
45	Polissya Zhytomyr	FC Santa Coloma	4 : 1, 1 : 2
46	Paks	Maribor	1 : 1, 1 : 0
47	Levski Sofia	Bye
48	Petrocub	Sabah Baku	1 : 4, 0 : 2
49	Silkeborg	KA Akureyri	3 : 2, 1 : 1
50	Novi Pazar	Jagiellonia	1 : 3, 1 : 2
51	Oleksandriya	Partizan	0 : 4, 0 : 2
52	Bye	Hibernian
53	Ostrava	Bye
54	Austria Vienna	Spaeri	5 : 0, 2 : 0
55	Rosenborg	Banga	2 : 0, 5 : 0
56	Hammarby	Charleroi	2 : 1, 0 : 0
57	St. Patricks	Kalju	2 : 2, 1 : 0
58	Bye	Besiktas
59	Kauno Zalgiris	Valur	2 : 1, 1 : 1
60	Arda	HJK	3 : 2, 0 : 0

Semi-finals

1	Milsami	Virtus
2	Vikingur	Linfield
3	Differdange	Levadia
4	O. Ljubljana	Egnatia
5	SK Rapid	Dundee Utd
6	Sparta Prague	Ararat-Armenia
7	AZ Alkmaar	Vaduz
8	Lugano	Celje
9	Klaksvik	Neman
10	Riga FC	Beitar Jerusalem
11	Vikingur Reykjavik	Brondby
12	Hajduk Split	Dinamo Tirana
13	Anderlecht	Sheriff Tiraspol
14	Lausanne	FC Astana
15	Larne	Santa Clara
16	Aris	AEK Athens FC
17	Viking	Basaksehir
18	Araz	Omonia
19	FC Ballkani	Shamrock Rovers
20	Rakow	Maccabi Haifa
21	AIK	Gyor
22	Univ. Craiova	Trnava
23	Polissya Zhytomyr	Paks
24	Levski Sofia	Sabah Baku
25	Silkeborg	Jagiellonia
26	Partizan	Hibernian
27	Ostrava	Austria Vienna
28	Rosenborg	Hammarby
29	St. Patricks	Besiktas
30	Kauno Zalgiris	Arda

Which TV channels are streaming of Celje - Jagiellonia Białystok?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5, Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 17
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Norway	Viaplay
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+