Ceará vs Vasco da Gama: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Ceará - Vasco da Gama
Result
2:1
15/04/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 4
  • Referee: Serafim D. (Bra)
Ceará - Vasco da Gama - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.141.14
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
81% (271/335)89% (550/618)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
2.141.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.900.48
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
1615
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
81% (271/335)89% (550/618)
Long passes
44% (20/45)54% (25/46)
Passes in final third
74% (66/89)81% (123/152)
Crosses
41% (9/22)32% (8/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.311.03
Fouls
1412
Tackles
53% (8/15)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4548
Clearances Total
2524
Interceptions
84
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.481.90
Goals prevented
-0.52-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', Paulinho Paula 🟨,
  • 10', Fabiano 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Pedro Raul , Lucas Mugni (A),
  • 31', Paulo Henrique 🟨,
  • 34', Hugo Moura 🟨,
  • 38', Galeano A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Paulinho Paula , Jair ,
  • 46', Garre B. , Adson ,
  • 46', Moreira N. , Rayan ,
  • 57', Payet D. , Alex Teixeira ,
  • 62', Matheus Bahia 🟨,
  • 62', Vegetti P. 🟨,
  • 64', Bruno Ferreira , Fernando Miguel ,
  • 71', Aylon , Guilherme Luiz ,
  • 71', Lucas Mugni , Matheus Araujo ,
  • 71', Leo Conde 🟨,
  • 81', 2 - 0, Pedro Raul , Guilherme Luiz (A),
  • 89', Pedro Raul , Romulo ,
  • 89', Diego , Lourenco ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, Vegetti P. , Rayan (A),
  • 90+4', Lucas Freitas , Jean David ,

Chances of winning


Ceará
42.9%
Draw
29.8%
Vasco da Gama
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 29.3% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 29.8% 31.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Ceará - Vasco da Gama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.39)
    3.19
    (3.22)
    3.47
    (3.01)
    5.5%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Ceará - Vasco da Gama?
  • Users Predictions: Ceará will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ceará will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ceará won 1.
    • Recent matches Ceará is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Vasco is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Vasco could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Ceará will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Ceará: Bruno Tubarao (Thigh Injury) Fernandinho (Injury) Lucas Mugni (Inactive) Matheus Bahia (Inactive) Pedro Henrique (Knee Injury) Richardson (Heel Injury)
    • There will not play in Vasco: David (Knee Injury) Guilherme Estrella (Knee Injury) Lemos M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Ceará: Luiz Otavio (Knee Injury) Richard (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Ceará won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:11 (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ceará won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.6:0.8).
    Latest results of Ceará
    12.04.2025 Juventude - Ceará 2:1
    05.04.2025 Ceará - Grêmio 2:0
    26.03.2025 Bahia - Ceará 3:2
    22.03.2025 Ceará - Fortaleza 1:1
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ19134236:92743
    2Cruzeiro21125434:151941
    3Palmeiras18123324:15939
    4Bahia1896325:17833
    5Bragantino2193926:28-230
    6Botafogo RJ1885523:111229
    7Mirassol1878329:191029
    8Sao Paulo2078524:22229
    9Fluminense1983825:28-327
    10Ceara2075819:19026
    11Atletico-MG1866620:21-124
    12Internacional2066823:28-524
    13Gremio2066819:25-624
    14Corinthians2057819:25-622
    15Santos19631020:29-921
    16Vasco19541025:26-119
    17Vitoria20310718:24-619
    18Juventude19531117:38-2118
    19Fortaleza19361019:31-1215
    20Sport Recife18171012:27-1510

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