Result
3:0
05/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 27
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.20 | 1.50 |
Ball Possession |
---|
41% | 59% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
76% (245/321) | 86% (376/435) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.20 | 1.50 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.46 | 1.18 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 23 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
76% (245/321) | 86% (376/435) |
Long passes |
---|
47% (27/57) | 48% (15/31) |
Passes in final third |
---|
66% (59/89) | 75% (113/151) |
Crosses |
---|
20% (2/10) | 24% (8/33) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.54 | 1.07 |
Throw-ins |
---|
13 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
72% (13/18) | 52% (11/21) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 60 |
Clearances |
---|
45 | 35 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 2 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.18 | 2.46 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.18 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Lucas Mugni ⚽, Pedro Raul (A),
- 37', Lourenco 🟨,
- 39', Rollheiser B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Rincon T. ↓, Barreal A. ↑,
- 55', Igor Vinicius 🟨,
- 63', Fernandinho ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
- 63', Lucas Mugni ↓, Vina ↑,
- 66', 2 - 0, Pedro Henrique ⚽, Galeano A. (A),
- 67', Escobar G. ↓, Souza ↑,
- 67', Igor Vinicius ↓, Caballero G. ↑,
- 72', Diego ↓, Fernando Sobral ↑,
- 72', Lourenco ↓, Richardson ↑,
- 76', Guilherme ↓, Tiquinho Soares ↑,
- 82', Rollheiser B. ↓, Thaciano ↑,
- 86', Tiquinho Soares 🟨,
- 90', Galeano A. ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 0, Fernando Sobral ⚽, Pedro Henrique (A),
Chances of winning
Ceará 42.7% | Draw 31.5% | Santos 25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Ceará - Santos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.29 ↑ (2.24) |
3.17 (3.17) |
3.99 ↑ (3.36) |
0.2% (5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ceará - Santos?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Santos will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ceará: 48.9% – 92.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Ceará (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Santos (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Ceará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ceará might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Ceará: Fernandinho
(Inactive)
Lucca
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Santos: Gabriel Bontempo
(Ankle Injury)
Joao Basso
(Injury)
Neymar
(Thigh Injury)
Victor Hugo
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Santos?
Ceará has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Ceará?
Santos has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - Santos were as follows:
12.05.2025
Santos
-
Ceará
0:0
22.10.2024
Santos
-
Ceará
1:0
05.07.2024
Ceará
-
Santos
0:1
10.09.2022
Ceará
-
Santos
2:1
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Palmeiras | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 51:23 | 28 | 61 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 53:13 | 40 | 58 |
3 | Cruzeiro | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 41:21 | 20 | 53 |
4 | Mirassol | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 47:30 | 17 | 49 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:26 | 11 | 43 |
6 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 35:32 | 3 | 43 |
7 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 41 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
9 | Vasco | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 36 |
10 | Bragantino | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 36 |
11 | Gremio | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 30:33 | -3 | 36 |
12 | Corinthians | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31:35 | -4 | 36 |
13 | Ceara | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 27:25 | 2 | 35 |
14 | Atletico-MG | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 26:32 | -6 | 33 |
15 | Internacional | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 33:41 | -8 | 32 |
16 | Santos | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 28:39 | -11 | 31 |
17 | Vitoria | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:43 | -17 | 28 |
18 | Fortaleza | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 24 |
19 | Juventude | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 23 |
20 | Sport Recife | 27 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21:42 | -21 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Ceará - Santos?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Usa | Fanatiz |