Ceará vs Santos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Ceará - Santos
Result
3:0
05/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 27
Ceará - Santos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.201.50
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
76% (245/321)86% (376/435)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.201.50
xG on target (xGOT)
2.461.18
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
49
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
711
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
22
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
1923
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1616
Passes
76% (245/321)86% (376/435)
Long passes
47% (27/57)48% (15/31)
Passes in final third
66% (59/89)75% (113/151)
Crosses
20% (2/10)24% (8/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.541.07
Throw-ins
1318
Fouls
1616
Tackles
72% (13/18)52% (11/21)
Duels won
4560
Clearances
4535
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.182.46
Goals prevented
1.18-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Lucas Mugni , Pedro Raul (A),
  • 37', Lourenco 🟨,
  • 39', Rollheiser B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Rincon T. , Barreal A. ,
  • 55', Igor Vinicius 🟨,
  • 63', Fernandinho , Pedro Henrique ,
  • 63', Lucas Mugni , Vina ,
  • 66', 2 - 0, Pedro Henrique , Galeano A. (A),
  • 67', Escobar G. , Souza ,
  • 67', Igor Vinicius , Caballero G. ,
  • 72', Diego , Fernando Sobral ,
  • 72', Lourenco , Richardson ,
  • 76', Guilherme , Tiquinho Soares ,
  • 82', Rollheiser B. , Thaciano ,
  • 86', Tiquinho Soares 🟨,
  • 90', Galeano A. , Paulo Baya ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 0, Fernando Sobral , Pedro Henrique (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ceará
42.7%
Draw
31.5%
Santos
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 29.8% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 30.6% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Ceará - Santos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.24)
    3.17
    (3.17)
    3.99
    (3.36)
    0.2%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Ceará - Santos?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Santos will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ceará: 48.9%92.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Ceará (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Santos (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Ceará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Ceará might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Ceará: Fernandinho (Inactive) Lucca (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Santos: Gabriel Bontempo (Ankle Injury) Joao Basso (Injury) Neymar (Thigh Injury) Victor Hugo (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.5:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.6:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - Santos were as follows:
    12.05.2025 Santos - Ceará 0:0
    22.10.2024 Santos - Ceará 1:0
    05.07.2024 Ceará - Santos 0:1
    10.09.2022 Ceará - Santos 2:1
    Latest results of Ceará
    02.10.2025 Vitória Salvador - Ceará 1:0
    29.09.2025 São Paulo - Ceará 0:1
    20.09.2025 Ceará - Bahia 1:1
    14.09.2025 Vasco da Gama - Ceará 2:2
    30.08.2025 Ceará - Juventude 0:1
    Latest results of Santos
    01.10.2025 Santos - Grêmio 1:1
    21.09.2025 Santos - São Paulo 1:0
    14.09.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Santos 1:1
    31.08.2025 Santos - Fluminense 0:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras27194451:232861
    2Flamengo RJ27177353:134058
    3Cruzeiro28158541:212053
    4Mirassol281310547:301749
    5Botafogo RJ28127937:261143
    6Bahia27127835:32343
    7Fluminense271251035:33241
    8Sao Paulo281081031:30138
    9Vasco281061244:41336
    10Bragantino281061234:43-936
    11Gremio28991030:33-336
    12Corinthians29991131:35-436
    13Ceara27981027:25235
    14Atletico-MG28891126:32-633
    15Internacional27881133:41-832
    16Santos27871228:39-1131
    17Vitoria286101226:43-1728
    18Fortaleza27661526:43-1724
    19Juventude28651722:53-3123
    20Sport Recife272111421:42-2117

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    Which TV channels are streaming of Ceará - Santos?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
    germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
    mexicoMexicoFanatiz
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    usaUsaFanatiz
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