Result
2:1
10/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 19
- Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Palmeiras - Ceará live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (414/486) | 77% (233/302) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 0.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (414/486) | 77% (233/302) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (32/57) | 40% (17/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (91/134) | 67% (36/54) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/27) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (18/26) | 61% (14/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.74 | 2.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Richardson 🟨,
- 38', Matheus Bahia 🟨,
- 43', Moreno A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 51', 0 - 1, Lourenco ⚽, Galeano A. (A),
- 57', Torres F. ↓, Felipe Anderson ↑,
- 57', Sosa R. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Lopez J. (Pen),
- 68', Lucas Mugni ↓, Nicolas ↑,
- 68', Lourenco ↓, Fernando Sobral ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Vitor Roque ⚽, Mauricio (A),
- 76', Richardson ↓, Aylon ↑,
- 84', Moreno A. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
- 84', Richard 🟨,
- 85', Vitor Roque ↓, Allan ↑,
- 86', Fabiano ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
- 87', Matheus Bahia ↓, Guilherme Luiz ↑,
- 90', Mauricio ↓, Khellven ↑,
Chances of winning
Palmeiras
67.3% | Draw
21.8% | Ceará
10.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Palmeiras - Ceará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↑
(1.4) |
4.33 ↓
(4.5) |
8.6 ↑
(8.17) |
5.6%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Ceará?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 14 - 48.3%). Ceará will win (votes: 4 - 13.8%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 37.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 30.1% – 66.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Ceará (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 4.
- Recent performances by Palmeiras have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ceará has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Palmeiras is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Fuchs
(Hamstring Injury)
Bruno Rodrigues
(Knee Injury)
Paulinho
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Ceará: Luiz Otavio
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Palmeiras: Figueiredo
(Inactive)
Murilo
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Ceará: Gabriel Lacerda
(Inactive)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:18. (average 1.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:6. (average 2.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Ceará?
Palmeiras has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Palmeiras?
Ceará has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Ceará were as follows:
22.05.2025
Palmeiras
-
Ceará
3:0
30.04.2025
Ceará
-
Palmeiras
0:1
Latest results of Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 44:9 | 35 | 46 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 27:15 | 12 | 42 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 34:15 | 19 | 41 |
| 4 | Bahia | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 27:17 | 10 | 36 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 26:12 | 14 | 32 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 30:19 | 11 | 32 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 26:22 | 4 | 32 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 27 |
| 10 | Ceara | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 22:27 | -5 | 25 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 24 |
| 13 | Internacional | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 24 |
| 14 | Gremio | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 24 |
| 15 | Santos | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 21 |
| 16 | Vasco | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 27:29 | -2 | 19 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 21 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 18:32 | -14 | 19 |
| 18 | Juventude | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 18:41 | -23 | 18 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19:32 | -13 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Palmeiras - Ceará?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 2, MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
