Ceará vs Juventude: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

30/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Castelão (Fortaleza).

: Serie A Betano - Round 22

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.72	0.40
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
13	10
Shots on target
7	2
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
4	5
Passes
85% (403/475)	80% (285/356)
Yellow Cards
0	5
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72	0.40
xG on target (xGOT)
1.45	0.26
Total shots
13	10
Shots on target
7	2
Shots off target
2	6
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
7	7
Shots outside the Box
6	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
23	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
24	17
Passes
85% (403/475)	80% (285/356)
Long passes
44% (23/52)	50% (29/58)
Passes in final third
69% (68/99)	64% (72/112)
Crosses
31% (10/32)	22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.06	0.54
Throw-ins
20	15
Fouls
17	25
Tackles
73% (11/15)	47% (7/15)
Duels won
59	51
Clearances
23	29
Interceptions
5	7
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	7
xGOT faced
0.26	1.45
Goals prevented
-0.74	1.45

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Marcelo Hermes 🟨,
36', Caique Goncalves 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Abner ↓, Luan Freitas ↑,
47', Gabriel Taliari ↓, Matheus Babi ↑,
48', Gabriel Veron ↓, Igor Formiga ↑,
56', Lucas Mugni ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
68', Aylon ↓, Fernando Sobral ↑,
68', Richardson ↓, Vina ↑,
72', Batalla E. ↓, Enio ↑,
72', Caique Goncalves ↓, Giraldo D. ↑,
80', Matheus Babi 🟨,
83', Nicolas ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,
84', Galeano A. ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
85', Giraldo D. 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 1, Mandaca ⚽, Reginaldo (A),
90+8', Jandrei 🟨,

Chances of winning

Ceará
54.6%

Draw
27.7%

Juventude
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

24.2%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

23.7%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ceará, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Ceará - Juventude Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.59)	3.45 ↓ (3.88)	5.44 ↓ (5.7)	4.4% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Ceará - Juventude?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 12 - 80%). Juventude will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ceará: 59.8% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ceará (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Juventude (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, Ceará is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Ceará: Fernandinho (Muscle Injury) Fernando Miguel (Inactive) Willian Machado (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Juventude: Ewerthon (Muscle Injury) Gilberto (Injury) Lucas Fernandes (Muscle Injury) Nata (Inactive) Rodrigo Sam (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Ceará: Luiz Otavio (Knee Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Juventude?

Ceará has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Juventude won against Ceará?

Juventude has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - Juventude were as follows:

12.04.2025 Juventude - Ceará 2:1

25.11.2023 Ceará - Juventude 1:3

23.07.2023 Juventude - Ceará 1:0

13.11.2022 Ceará - Juventude 4:1

Latest results of Ceará

23.08.2025 Grêmio - Ceará 0:0 ✺

20.08.2025 Bahia - Ceará 1:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Ceará - Red Bull Bragantino 1:0 ✺

10.08.2025 Palmeiras - Ceará 2:1 ✺

03.08.2025 Ceará - Flamengo 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Juventude

24.08.2025 Juventude - Botafogo RJ 1:3 ✺

20.08.2025 Juventude - Vasco da Gama 2:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Vitória Salvador - Juventude 2:2 ✺

11.08.2025 Juventude - Corinthians 2:1 ✺

04.08.2025 Santos - Juventude 3:1 ✺

Brazilian Serie A Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ	21	14	5	2	45:10	35	47
2	Cruzeiro	22	13	5	4	35:15	20	44
3	Palmeiras	20	13	4	3	28:16	12	43
4	Bahia	20	10	6	4	28:22	6	36
5	Botafogo RJ	20	10	5	5	30:13	17	35
6	Mirassol	20	9	8	3	35:20	15	35
7	Sao Paulo	22	8	8	6	26:23	3	32
8	Bragantino	22	9	3	10	27:32	-5	30
9	Fluminense	20	8	4	8	25:28	-3	28
10	Internacional	21	7	6	8	25:29	-4	27
11	Ceara	21	7	5	9	19:20	-1	26
12	Corinthians	22	6	8	8	23:28	-5	26
13	Gremio	21	6	7	8	20:26	-6	25
14	Atletico-MG	20	6	6	8	20:24	-4	24
15	Vasco	21	6	4	11	30:31	-1	22
16	Santos	21	6	4	11	20:31	-11	22
17	Vitoria	22	4	10	8	19:32	-13	22
18	Juventude	21	6	3	12	19:41	-22	21
19	Fortaleza	21	3	6	12	20:34	-14	15
20	Sport Recife	20	1	7	12	14:33	-19	10

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

Which TV channels are streaming of Ceará - Juventude?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz