Bahia vs Ceará: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Copa do Nordeste Bahia - Ceará
20/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Bahia - Ceará - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Bahia
54%
Draw
27.2%
Ceará
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 27.1% 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9% 26.3% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Bahia - Ceará Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.69)
    3.33
    (3.38)
    4.79
    (4.88)
    10.6%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 4.
    • Bahia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ceará is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ceará may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Bahia is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Ceará were as follows:
    21.04.2025 Bahia - Ceará 1:0
    26.03.2025 Bahia - Ceará 3:2
    06.03.2024 Ceará - Bahia 1:2
    Latest results of Bahia
    09.08.2025 Bahia - Fluminense 3:3
    06.08.2025 Retrô Brasil - Bahia 0:0
    02.08.2025 Sport Recife - Bahia 0:0
    30.07.2025 Bahia - Retrô Brasil 3:2
    27.07.2025 Bahia - Juventude 3:0
    Latest results of Ceará
    10.08.2025 Palmeiras - Ceará 2:1
    03.08.2025 Ceará - Flamengo 1:1
    27.07.2025 Cruzeiro - Ceará 1:2
    23.07.2025 Ceará - Mirassol 0:2
    20.07.2025 Internacional RS - Ceará 1:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1CSAFerroviario2 : 1
    2VitoriaConfianca0 : 1
    3BahiaFortaleza2 : 1
    4Sport RecifeCeara0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1CSAConfianca
    2BahiaCeara

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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