Bahia vs Ceará: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Bahia - Ceará
Result
1:0
21/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 5
  • Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
Bahia - Ceará - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.691.21
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
90% (516/572)80% (243/304)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.691.21
xG on target (xGOT)
1.381.25
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1915
Through passes
0% (0/2)100% (1/1)
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
1814
Passes
90% (516/572)80% (243/304)
Long passes
50% (16/32)37% (17/46)
Passes in final third
85% (150/177)68% (46/68)
Crosses
22% (5/23)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.900.55
Fouls
1418
Tackles
76% (13/17)54% (13/24)
Duels won
6358
Clearances Total
1828
Interceptions
37
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.251.38
Goals prevented
1.250.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Lucas Mugni 🟨,
  • 44', Aylon , Guilherme Luiz ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Rodriguez L. , Erick Pulga ,
  • 49', Ademir 🟨,
  • 59', Rodrigo , Everton Ribeiro ,
  • 59', Iago Borduchi , Luciano Juba ,
  • 60', Cauly , Tiago ,
  • 64', Everton Ribeiro 🟨,
  • 74', Galeano A. , Matheus Araujo ,
  • 74', Lucas Mugni , Romulo ,
  • 77', Ramos R. 🟨,
  • 82', Ademir , Ruan Pablo ,
  • 84', Fernando Sobral 🟨,
  • 90', Fernando Sobral , Lucas Lima ,
  • 90', Guilherme Luiz , Pedro Henrique ,
  • 90+14', 1 - 0, Everton Ribeiro (Pen),
  • 90+14', Fabiano 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bahia
52.6%
Draw
26.2%
Ceará
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 30.3% 22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 29.6% 22.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bahia's performance.
  • Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Bahia - Ceará Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (2.01)
    3.62
    (3.1)
    4.49
    (4.1)
    5%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Bahia - Ceará?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Ceará will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 47.7%95.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Ceará (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bahia won 4.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Bahia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Bahia is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Bahia: Gabriel Xavier (Calf Injury) Iago Borduchi (Injury) Kanu (Injury) Michel Araujo (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Ceará: Bruno Tubarao (Thigh Injury) Fernandinho (Shoulder Injury) Nicolas (Muscle Injury) Pedro Henrique (Knee Injury) Richardson (Heel Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bahia: Ronaldo Strada (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ceará: Bruno Ferreira (Injury) Luiz Otavio (Knee Injury) Richard (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Bahia won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:24 (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bahia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Ceará were as follows:
    26.03.2025 Bahia - Ceará 3:2
    06.03.2024 Ceará - Bahia 1:2
    Latest results of Bahia
    17.04.2025 Cruzeiro - Bahia 3:0
    13.04.2025 Bahia - Mirassol 1:1
    06.04.2025 Santos - Bahia 2:2
    03.04.2025 Bahia - Internacional RS 1:1
    Latest results of Ceará
    15.04.2025 Ceará - Vasco da Gama 2:1
    12.04.2025 Juventude - Ceará 2:1
    05.04.2025 Ceará - Grêmio 2:0
    26.03.2025 Bahia - Ceará 3:2
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ1173124:42024
    2Cruzeiro1273217:8924
    3Bragantino1272314:11323
    4Palmeiras1171312:8422
    5Bahia1263314:11321
    6Fluminense1162315:12320
    7Atletico-MG1255213:10320
    8Botafogo RJ1153314:7718
    9Mirassol1145217:12517
    10Corinthians1244413:15-216
    11Gremio1244412:15-316
    12Ceara1143413:11215
    13Vasco1241714:16-213
    14Sao Paulo1226410:14-412
    15Santos1232711:14-311
    16Vitoria1225510:14-411
    17Internacional1225512:18-611
    18Fortaleza1224612:18-610
    19Juventude112278:24-168
    20Sport Recife110385:18-133

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
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          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Which TV channels are streaming of Bahia - Ceará?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
    chinaChinaK-Ball
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