Ponferradina vs CD Guadalajara: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Ponferradina - CD Guadalajara
Result
1:3
19/09/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4
Ponferradina - CD Guadalajara - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
65
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
106
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', Casado J. , Cera ,
  • 29', Andujar D. 🟨,
  • 35', 0 - 1, Samuel ,
  • 38', San Emeterio F. 🟨,
  • 41', Diaz B. 🟨,
  • 43', Samuel 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Diaz B. , Canizo A. ,
  • 46', Aguilar Elizalde E. , Sergio Benito ,
  • 46', Vazquez B. , Frimpong E. ,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Sergio Benito ,
  • 67', Valle B. , Fernandez X. ,
  • 71', Gil A. , Munoz P. ,
  • 71', Neskes , Alvarez U. ,
  • 72', Lopez A. 🟨,
  • 73', Cortes J. , Ferrer P. ,
  • 73', San Emeterio F. , Novoa G. ,
  • 83', 1 - 2, Munoz P. ,
  • 86', Samuel , Rojo P. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 3, Caropitche S. M. ,

Chances of winning


Ponferradina
47.7%
Draw
30.1%
CD Guadalajara
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 28.9% 21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 31.1% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ponferradina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Ponferradina - CD Guadalajara Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.8)
    3.11
    (3.1)
    4.28
    (4.2)
    6.5%
    (11.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Ponferradina - CD Guadalajara?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Guadalajara will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ponferradina is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Guadalajara has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ponferradina could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ponferradina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - CD Guadalajara were as follows:
    12.11.2022 CD Guadalajara - Ponferradina 2:1
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    14.09.2025 Ferrol - Ponferradina 2:1
    06.09.2025 Ponferradina - Pontevedra 0:1
    16.08.2025 Ferrol - Ponferradina 1:1
    Latest results of CD Guadalajara
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife761016:21419
    2Celta Vigo B742110:4614
    3Racing Club Ferrol74219:6314
    4Real Aviles741214:13113
    5Guadalajara73229:7211
    6Barakaldo72418:7110
    7Pontevedra73136:7-110
    8Zamora72328:719
    9Arenteiro72326:519
    10Ath Bilbao B72326:609
    11Osasuna B72324:5-19
    12Real Madrid B73047:9-29
    13CF Talavera72237:8-18
    14Lugo72234:5-18
    15Arenas Getxo72237:11-48
    16Ponferradina72148:9-17
    17Cacereno71426:8-27
    18Unionistas72056:10-46
    19Merida AD72057:14-76
    20Ourense CF70434:9-54

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Ponferradina - CD Guadalajara?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    spainSpainCMM TV, Footballclub, LaLiga+
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