Caxias vs Ponte Preta: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie C Caxias - Ponte Preta
27/07/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Caxias - Ponte Preta - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Caxias
39.8%
Draw
30.4%
Ponte Preta
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 30% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 28.8% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Caxias - Ponte Preta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.25)
    2.98
    (3)
    3.02
    (3)
    10.7%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
    • Caxias has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Ponte Preta is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Caxias could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Caxias
    13.07.2025 Caxias - Anápolis 1:0
    05.07.2025 CS Alagoano - Caxias 2:3
    29.06.2025 Caxias - Ituano 2:1
    14.06.2025 Botafogo PB - Caxias 1:2
    Latest results of Ponte Preta
    19.07.2025 Ponte Preta - Floresta 2:1
    07.07.2025 Ponte Preta - Tombense 1:0
    28.06.2025 Maringá - Ponte Preta 0:1
    14.06.2025 Ponte Preta - ABC 0:0
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias1390422:16627
    2Ponte Preta1382313:10326
    3Londrina1365221:12923
    4Sao Bernardo1364314:8622
    5Ypiranga FC1362512:14-220
    6Nautico1355314:6820
    7Floresta EC1354410:11-119
    8Brusque1353512:12018
    9CSA1346315:12318
    10Ituano1345412:13-117
    11Botafogo PB1344515:11416
    12Guarani1344510:12-216
    13Figueirense1336415:14115
    14Maringa FC1336417:19-215
    15ABC1329215:17-215
    16Confianca1334614:19-513
    17Anapolis132749:13-413
    18Retro133376:15-912
    19Itabaiana133289:16-711
    20Tombense1325611:16-511

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D

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