Caty McNally vs Darya Kasatkina: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
2:0
06/05/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals
Caty McNally - Darya Kasatkina - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
01
Double Faults
25
1st serve percentage
82%59%
1st serve points won
58% (34/59)42% (11/26)
2nd serve points won
46% (6/13)33% (6/18)
Break Points Saved
11/144/10
1st return points won
62% (16/26)42% (25/59)
2nd return points won
67% (12/18)54% (7/13)
Break Points Converted
6/103/14
Service Points Won
56% (40/72)39% (17/44)
Return Points Won
61% (27/44)44% (32/72)
Total Points Won
58% (67/116)42% (49/116)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
67% (6/9)25% (2/8)
Return games won
75% (6/8)33% (3/9)
Total games won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Caty McNally
47.9%
Darya Kasatkina
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caty McNally has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Darya Kasatkina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caty McNally than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Caty McNally - Darya Kasatkina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (1.87)

    1.84
    (1.87)
    4.9%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Caty McNally - Darya Kasatkina?
    • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. McNally will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Kasatkina will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Kasatkina: 29.6%90.4%.
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    Preview Facts
    • McNally is ranked WTA: 63. Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 66.
    • In recent matches, McNally has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Kasatkina is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Kasatkina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, McNally won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Caty McNally
    Latest results of Darya Kasatkina
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Krejcikova B.Jacquemot E.2 : 0
    3Linette M.Maria T.0 : 2
    4ByeCirstea S. (26)
    5Tauson C. (18)Bye
    6Marcinko P.Oliynykova O.0 : 2
    7Zakharova A.Yastremska D.2 : 1
    8ByeNoskova L. (13)
    9Bencic B. (12)Bye
    10Kenin S.Andreescu B. (WC)0 : 2
    11Siniakova K.Boisson L.2 : 0
    12ByeKalinskaya A. (22)
    13Bucsa C. (30)Bye
    14Bondar A.Zheng Q.1 : 2
    15Stefanini L. (WC)Ostapenko J.0 : 2
    16ByeRuse G. (LL)
    17Gauff C. (3)Bye
    18Putintseva Y.Valentova T.0 : 2
    19Sierra S.Korpatsch T. (Q)2 : 0
    20ByeKalinina A. (Q)
    21Bouzkova M. (24)Bye
    22Townsend T. (Q)Brancaccio N. (WC)2 : 0
    23Kessler M.Bronzetti L. (WC)2 : 1
    24ByeJovic I. (16)
    25Paolini J. (9)Bye
    26Jeanjean L. (Q)Haddad Maia B.2 : 0
    27Udvardy P.Korneeva A. (Q)2 : 0
    28ByeMertens E. (21)
    29Joint M. (29)Bye
    30Golubic V.Urgesi F. (Q)2 : 0
    31Ruzic A.Rakhimova K.2 : 1
    32ByeAndreeva M. (8)
    33Pegula J. (5)Bye
    34Sonmez Z.Ruggeri J. (WC)2 : 1
    35Selekhmeteva O.Masarova R. (Q)1 : 2
    36ByeFernandez L. (25)
    37Samsonova L. (20)Bye
    38Li A.Zhang S.2 : 1
    39Galfi D. (Q)Potapova A. (Q)1 : 2
    40ByeMuchova K. (11)
    41Osaka N. (15)Bye
    42Boulter K.Lys E.1 : 2
    43Trevisan M. (WC)Gibson T.1 : 2
    44ByeShnaider D. (19)
    45Navarro E. (28)Bye
    46Cocciaretto E.Kraus S. (Q)2 : 0
    47McNally C.Kasatkina D.2 : 0
    48ByeSwiatek I. (4)
    49Svitolina E. (7)Bye
    50Basiletti N. (Q)Tomljanovic A. (LL)2 : 0
    51Starodubtseva Y.Waltert S. (Q)1 : 2
    52ByeBaptiste H. (32)
    53Keys M. (17)Bye
    54Stearns P.Tjen J.2 : 0
    55Pigato L. (WC)Grant T. C. (WC)1 : 2
    56ByeBartunkova N. (LL)
    57Alexandrova E. (14)Bye
    58Siegemund L.Bejlek S.2 : 0
    59Pliskova Ka.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 1
    60ByeCristian J. (33)
    61Wang Xin. (31)Bye
    62Eala A.Frech M.2 : 1
    63Tagger L. (LL)Sakkari M.1 : 2
    64ByeRybakina E. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Krejcikova B.2 : 0
    2Maria T.Cirstea S. (26)0 : 2
    3Tauson C. (RET.) (18)Oliynykova O.0 : 1
    4Zakharova A.Noskova L. (13)0 : 2
    5Bencic B. (12)Andreescu B.2 : 0
    6Siniakova K.Kalinskaya A. (22)1 : 2
    7Bucsa C. (30)Zheng Q.0 : 2
    8Ostapenko J.Ruse G.2 : 1
    9Gauff C. (3)Valentova T.2 : 0
    10Sierra S.Kalinina A.2 : 0
    11Bouzkova M. (24)Townsend T.0 : 2
    12Kessler M.Jovic I. (16)0 : 2
    13Paolini J. (9)Jeanjean L.2 : 1
    14Udvardy P.Mertens E. (21)0 : 2
    15Joint M. (29)Golubic V.0 : 2
    16Ruzic A.Andreeva M. (8)0 : 2
    17Pegula J. (5)Sonmez Z.2 : 0
    18Masarova R.Fernandez L. (25)2 : 1
    19Samsonova L. (20)Li A.2 : 0
    20Potapova A.Muchova K. (11)2 : 0
    21Osaka N. (15)Lys E.2 : 1
    22Gibson T.Shnaider D. (19)1 : 2
    23Navarro E. (28)Cocciaretto E.0 : 2
    24McNally C.Swiatek I. (4)1 : 2
    25Svitolina E. (7)Basiletti N.2 : 0
    26Waltert S.Baptiste H. (32)1 : 2
    27Keys M. (17)Stearns P.2 : 1
    28Grant T. C.Bartunkova N.1 : 2
    29Alexandrova E. (14)Siegemund L.1 : 2
    30Pliskova Ka.Cristian J. (33)2 : 1
    31Wang Xin. (31)Eala A.0 : 2
    32Sakkari M.Rybakina E. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Cirstea S. (26)1 : 2
    2Oliynykova O.Noskova L. (13)0 : 2
    3Bencic B. (12)Kalinskaya A. (22)0 : 2
    4Zheng Q.Ostapenko J.1 : 2
    5Gauff C. (3)Sierra S.2 : 1
    6Townsend T.Jovic I. (16)0 : 2
    7Paolini J. (9)Mertens E. (21)1 : 2
    8Golubic V.Andreeva M. (8)1 : 2
    9Pegula J. (5)Masarova R.2 : 0
    10Samsonova L. (20)Potapova A.0 : 2
    11Osaka N. (15)Shnaider D. (19)2 : 0
    12Cocciaretto E.Swiatek I. (4)0 : 2
    13Svitolina E. (7)Baptiste H. (32)2 : 0
    14Keys M. (17)Bartunkova N.1 : 2
    15Siegemund L.Pliskova Ka.0 : 2
    16Eala A.Rybakina E. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Cirstea S. (26)Noskova L. (13)2 : 0
    2Kalinskaya A. (22)Ostapenko J.0 : 2
    3Gauff C. (3)Jovic I. (16)2 : 1
    4Mertens E. (21)Andreeva M. (8)0 : 2
    5Pegula J. (5)Potapova A.2 : 0
    6Osaka N. (15)Swiatek I. (4)0 : 2
    7Svitolina E. (7)Bartunkova N.2 : 0
    8Pliskova Ka.Rybakina E. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Cirstea S. (26)Ostapenko J.2 : 0
    2Gauff C. (3)Andreeva M. (8)2 : 1
    3Pegula J. (5)Swiatek I. (4)0 : 2
    4Svitolina E. (7)Rybakina E. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Cirstea S. (26)Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    2Swiatek I. (4)Svitolina E. (7)1 : 2

    Final
    1Gauff C. (3)Svitolina E. (7)1 : 2
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