Castuera vs Jerez: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Castuera - Jerez
Result
4:2
09/03/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 25
Castuera - Jerez - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Quintero J. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 62', 2 - 0, Neiva J. ,
  • 89', 3 - 0, Quintero J. ,
  • 90', 3 - 1, Roldan J. ,
  • 90+9', 3 - 2, Rodriguez L. ,
  • 90+11', 4 - 2, Quintero J. ,

Chances of winning


Castuera
26.8%
Draw
28.5%
Jerez
44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4% 28.1% 45.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Castuera have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • The chances for Jerez have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castuera than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerez than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Castuera - Jerez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.4
    (3.4)
    3.2
    (3.2)
    2.04
    (2.04)
    9.7%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).
    • Castuera has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Jerez is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Jerez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Jerez will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Jerez to win the game is with odds 2.04.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Castuera won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 2.5:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Castuera won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Castuera - Jerez were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Jerez - Castuera 3:1
    07.01.2024 Castuera - Jerez 4:0
    Latest results of Castuera
    02.03.2025 Santa Amalia - Castuera 4:1
    09.02.2025 Castuera - Villafranca 1:2
    02.02.2025 Moralo - Castuera 2:1
    19.01.2025 Azuaga - Castuera 2:0
    12.01.2025 Castuera - Badajoz 0:2
    Latest results of Jerez
    02.03.2025 Jerez - Trujillo 4:0
    23.02.2025 Pueblonuevo - Jerez 0:1
    09.02.2025 CD Extremadura - Jerez 4:0
    02.02.2025 Jerez - Jaraíz 2:3
    26.01.2025 Arroyo - Jerez 0:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Villanovense33006:339
    2Villafranca32106:337
    3Don Benito32017:346
    4Jaraiz32015:146
    5Llerenense32015:326
    6Santa Amalia32013:126
    7Puebla32013:216
    8Azuaga21104:224
    9Montijo31114:314
    10Moralo30307:703
    11Diocesano30305:503
    12Gevora31023:6-33
    13CD Calamonte30213:4-12
    14Cabeza del Buey30213:4-12
    15Jerez CF30212:4-22
    16Montehermoso30121:5-41
    17CD Badajoz20020:2-20
    18Pueblonuevo30032:11-90

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