Velarde vs Castro: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Velarde - Castro
Result
1:0
23/03/2024 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 26
Velarde - Castro - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Velarde
24.7%
Draw
29.9%
Castro
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.2% 30.5% 40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6% 29.9% 41.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Velarde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Castro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castro's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velarde than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castro than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Velarde - Castro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.67
    (3.08)
    3.03
    (2.95)
    1.99
    (2.23)
    10.6%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6).
    • Velarde is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Castro is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Castro will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Velarde won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Velarde - Castro were as follows:
    05.11.2023 Castro - Velarde 2:1
    Latest results of Velarde
    09.03.2024 Velarde - Laredo 0:1
    02.03.2024 Velarde - Sámano 1:1
    25.02.2024 Guarnizo - Velarde 2:2
    17.02.2024 Velarde - Cartes 0:2
    Latest results of Castro
    17.03.2024 Castro - Sámano 1:0
    09.03.2024 Guarnizo - Castro 0:0
    03.03.2024 Castro - Cartes 2:2
    25.02.2024 Tropezón - Castro 2:3
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atletico Albericia550014:41015
    2Tropezon54108:2613
    3Escobedo53119:5410
    4Torina53115:3210
    5Torrelavega43015:149
    6Laredo53026:339
    7Vimenor52218:358
    8Bezana52214:318
    9Selaya52127:527
    10Cayon52126:7-17
    11Castro512212:755
    12Guarnizo51224:8-45
    13UC Cartes51132:6-44
    14CD Barquereno51047:11-43
    15CD Colindres30213:4-12
    16Noja50232:9-72
    17Revilla40130:6-61
    18Montanas50145:20-151

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