Tenerife vs Castellón: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

11/01/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López (Santa Cruz de Tenerife).

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 22
Referee: Muniz C. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.80	0.16
Ball Possession
35%	65%
Goal Attempts
6	5
Shots on Goal
3	0
Shots off Goal
3	3
Blocked Shots
0	2
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
1	9
Shots inside the Box
5	2
Shots outside the Box
1	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	1
Free Kicks
10	18
Offsides
7	5
Fouls
18	10
Yellow Cards
1	2
Throw-ins
11	20
Touches in the Opposition Box
17	15
Passes
70% (190/272)	83% (413/497)
Passes in the final third
52% (46/89)	63% (85/134)
Crosses
22% (2/9)	13% (2/16)
Tackles
59% (16/27)	67% (8/12)
Clearances Total
26	10
Interceptions
11	7

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Cantero A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Chirino D. 🟨,
59', Moyita S. ↓, Aurelio D. ↑,
59', Camara O. ↓, de Miguel J. ↑,
59', Willems J. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
59', Sanchez R. ↓, Pastor G. ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Enric ⚽, Mellot J. (A),
70', Cantero A. ↓, Mesa M. ↑,
71', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
75', Rubio W. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
84', Ruiz S. 🟨,
86', Enric ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
86', Sanz A. ↓, Martin Luis A. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4fw69ykb

Chances of winning

Tenerife
30.8%

Draw
29.2%

Castellón
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

28.8%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

28.4%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tenerife's form might have worsened.

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castellón's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tenerife, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tenerife - Castellón Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.43)	3.21 ↓ (3.25)	2.36 ↓ (2.88)	6.6% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Tenerife - Castellón?

The most likely score is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 12).
Tenerife has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Castellón is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Castellón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Tenerife: Jose Amo (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Castellón: Gil O. (Jaw injury)
There are questionable in Castellón: Calatrava A. (Lacking Match Fitness) Sanchez R. (Knock) Traore M. (Knock) de Miguel J. (Muscle Injury)
Last 4 head-to-head matches Tenerife won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.3:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Tenerife won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

How many head-to-head matches has Tenerife won against Castellón?

Tenerife has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Tenerife?

Castellón has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tenerife - Castellón were as follows:

29.09.2024 Castellón - Tenerife 2:1

Latest results of Tenerife

07.01.2025 Tenerife - Levante 0:3 ✺

04.01.2025 Tenerife - Osasuna 1:2 ✺

22.12.2024 Burgos - Tenerife 1:0 ✺

19.12.2024 Huesca - Tenerife 1:0 ✺

08.12.2024 Córdoba - Tenerife 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Castellón

22.12.2024 Castellón - Elche 0:2 ✺

19.12.2024 Deportivo La Coruña - Castellón 5:1 ✺

14.12.2024 Castellón - Cartagena 4:1 ✺

08.12.2024 Albacete Balompié - Castellón 0:0 ✺

05.12.2024 Ponferradina - Castellón 2:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Levante	42	22	13	7	69:42	27	79
2	Elche	42	22	11	9	59:34	25	77
3	R. Oviedo	42	21	12	9	56:42	14	75
4	Mirandes	42	22	9	11	59:40	19	75
5	Racing Santander	42	20	11	11	65:51	14	71
6	Almeria	42	19	12	11	72:55	17	69
7	Granada CF	42	18	11	13	65:54	11	65
8	Huesca	42	18	10	14	58:49	9	64
9	Eibar	42	15	13	14	44:41	3	58
10	Albacete	42	15	13	14	57:57	0	58
11	Gijon	42	14	14	14	57:54	3	56
12	Burgos CF	42	15	10	17	41:48	-7	55
13	Cadiz CF	42	14	13	15	55:53	2	55
14	Cordoba	42	14	13	15	59:63	-4	55
15	Dep. La Coruna	42	13	14	15	56:54	2	53
16	Malaga	42	12	17	13	42:46	-4	53
17	Castellon	42	14	11	17	65:63	2	53
18	Zaragoza	42	13	12	17	56:63	-7	51
19	Eldense	42	11	12	19	44:63	-19	45
20	Tenerife	42	8	12	22	35:55	-20	36
21	Racing Club Ferrol	42	6	12	24	22:64	-42	30
22	FC Cartagena SAD	42	6	5	31	33:78	-45	23

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation

Which TV channels are streaming of Tenerife - Castellón?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium 2
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Portugal	DAZN 3
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, Movistar Plus+ 1, #Vamos
Sweden	TV4 Play
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
World	DirecTV Sports