Mérida AD vs Castellón: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Mérida AD - Castellón
Result
2:1
17/02/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 24
Mérida AD - Castellón - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Mérida AD
17.8%
Draw
27.1%
Castellón
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.9% 29.8% 46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2% 28.9% 47.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mérida AD's form might have worsened.
  • Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castellón's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mérida AD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mérida AD - Castellón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.26
    (3.74)
    3.4
    (3)
    1.68
    (1.93)
    8%
    (11.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).
    • Recent matches Mérida AD is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Castellón is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Castellón is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mérida AD - Castellón were as follows:
    30.09.2023 Castellón - Mérida AD 5:1
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    Latest results of Castellón
    11.02.2024 Castellón - Ceuta 2:2
    28.01.2024 Castellón - Antequera 4:1
    21.01.2024 Málaga - Castellón 0:1
    13.01.2024 Castellón - Algeciras 2:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnastic11002:113
    2UD Ibiza11002:113
    3Marbella11002:113
    4Hercules11001:013
    5Villarreal B11001:013
    6CE Europa11001:013
    7FC Cartagena SAD10100:001
    8Atl. Madrid B10100:001
    9Sabadell10100:001
    10Betis B10100:001
    11Antequera10100:001
    12Eldense10100:001
    13Teruel10100:001
    14Sanluqueno10100:001
    15Sevilla FC B10011:2-10
    16Algeciras10011:2-10
    17Murcia10011:2-10
    18Alcorcon10010:1-10
    19Torremolinos10010:1-10
    20Tarazona10010:1-10

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation

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