Result
1:0
27/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : LaLiga2 - Round 37
- Referee: Palencia D. (Esp)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (184/252) | 82% (326/396) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (184/252) | 82% (326/396) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (31/59) | 45% (22/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (52/80) | 70% (73/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 21% (5/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (15/24) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Chupe ⚽, Merino I. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Escobar J. ↓, Mabil A. ↑,
- 46', Molina M. ↓, Luismi ↑,
- 48', Chupe 🟨,
- 62', Vertrouwd J. 🟨,
- 65', Lobete J. ↓, Medina K. ↑,
- 65', Chupe ↓, Dioni ↑,
- 67', Galilea E. 🟨,
- 69', Suero I. ↓, Markanich N. ↑,
- 69', Sanchez R. ↓, Lottin A. ↑,
- 72', Jimenez A. 🟨,
- 76', Vertrouwd J. ↓, Willems J. ↑,
- 80', Luismi 🟨,
- 82', Chirino D. 🟨,
- 82', Medina K. 🟨,
- 84', Cordero A. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
- 85', Chirino D. ↓, de Miguel J. ↑,
- 90+1', Pastor A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Larrubia D. ↓, Sangalli L. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mr2uvbka
Chances of winning
Málaga
27.7% | Draw
28.2% | Castellón
44.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Málaga's form might have worsened.Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castellón's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Málaga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-11.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Málaga - Castellón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.38 ↑
(2.62) |
3.34 ↑
(3.03) |
2.15 ↓
(2.79) |
6.1%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Málaga - Castellón?
The most likely score is 1:1.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 17 and 16).
- Málaga is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Castellón is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Castellón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H.
(Hamstring Injury)
Enriquez R.
(Knee Injury)
Lorenzo D.
(Inactive)
Luismi
(Injury)
- There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D.
(Knee Injury)
Gil O.
(Injury)
Mamah K.
(Muscle Injury)
Ruiz S.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Málaga: Monte N.
(Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Málaga won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Málaga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Castellón?
Málaga has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Málaga?
Castellón has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga - Castellón were as follows:
01.12.2024
Castellón
-
Málaga
2:0
21.01.2024
Málaga
-
Castellón
0:1
26.08.2023
Castellón
-
Málaga
2:1
Latest results of Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2024/25 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levante | 40 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 65:40 | 25 | 73 |
| 2 | Elche | 40 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 53:34 | 19 | 71 |
| 3 | R. Oviedo | 40 | 19 | 12 | 9 | 53:41 | 12 | 69 |
| 4 | Mirandes | 39 | 20 | 8 | 11 | 54:38 | 16 | 68 |
| 5 | Racing Santander | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 60:47 | 13 | 67 |
| 6 | Almeria | 40 | 18 | 11 | 11 | 70:55 | 15 | 65 |
| 7 | Granada CF | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 62:51 | 11 | 62 |
| 8 | Huesca | 40 | 17 | 10 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 61 |
| 9 | Eibar | 40 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 40:39 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 56:56 | 0 | 54 |
| 11 | Albacete | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 54:56 | -2 | 54 |
| 12 | Burgos CF | 40 | 15 | 9 | 16 | 37:43 | -6 | 54 |
| 13 | Dep. La Coruna | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 56:49 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Cadiz CF | 40 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 50:51 | -1 | 52 |
| 15 | Malaga | 40 | 12 | 16 | 12 | 40:42 | -2 | 52 |
| 16 | Castellon | 40 | 13 | 11 | 16 | 60:60 | 0 | 50 |
| 17 | Gijon | 40 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 52:52 | 0 | 50 |
| 18 | Zaragoza | 40 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 54:59 | -5 | 48 |
| 19 | Eldense | 40 | 11 | 11 | 18 | 39:57 | -18 | 44 |
| 20 | Tenerife ✔ | 40 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 35:52 | -17 | 36 |
| 21 | Racing Club Ferrol ✔ | 40 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 22:60 | -38 | 30 |
| 22 | FC Cartagena SAD ✔ | 40 | 6 | 5 | 29 | 30:72 | -42 | 23 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tenerife is Relegated to
Racing Club Ferrol is Relegated to
FC Cartagena SAD is Relegated to
Which TV channels are streaming of Málaga - Castellón?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Disney+, Inter |
 World | Disney+ |
