Casey Scorpions vs Box Hill Hawks: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Aussie rules VFL Casey Scorpions - Box Hill Hawks
Result
88:65
16/08/2025 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : VFL - Round 21
Casey Scorpions - Box Hill Hawks - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
129
Behinds
1611

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (8 - 25)
  • 2nd Quarter (29 - 19)
  • 3rd Quarter (37 - 9)
  • 4th Quarter (14 - 12)

Chances of winning


Casey Scorpions
36.1%
Box Hill Hawks
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.3% 90.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Casey Scorpions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Box Hill Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casey Scorpions than the current prediction. (-26.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Casey Scorpions that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Box Hill Hawks than the current prediction. (+26.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Box Hill Hawks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Casey Scorpions - Box Hill Hawks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (2.5)

    1.45
    (1.45)
    8.3%
    (9%)
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-13)
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casey won 4.
    • In recent matches, Casey has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Box Hill is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Casey may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Box Hill will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Box Hill will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Casey won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1109:1092. (average 79.2:78).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Casey won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 386:357. (average 77.2:71.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Casey Scorpions - Box Hill Hawks were as follows:
    23.03.2024 Casey Scorpions - Box Hill Hawks 46:87
    Latest results of Casey Scorpions
    Latest results of Box Hill Hawks
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Footscray (1)Bye
    2ByeFrankston (4)
    7Brisbane 2 (6)Bye
    8Richmond Tigers 2 (8)GWS Giants 2 (9)116 : 98
    9Box Hill (2)Bye
    10ByeSouthport (3)
    15Casey (5)Bye
    16Collingwood Magpies 2 (7)Williamstown (10)69 : 81

    1/8-finals
    1Footscray (1)Frankston (4)105 : 25
    4Brisbane 2 (6)Richmond Tigers 2 (8)87 : 67
    5Box Hill (2)Southport (3)94 : 115
    8Casey (5)Williamstown (10)132 : 56

    Quarter-finals
    1Footscray (1)Bye
    2Box Hill (2)Brisbane 2 (6)
    3Southport (3)Bye
    4Frankston (4)Casey (5)

    Semi-finals
    1Footscray (1)TBD #2
    2Southport (3)TBD #4
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