Casa Pia vs Porto: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Liga Portugal Casa Pia - Porto
Result
0:1
12/04/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Portugal - Round 29
  • Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)
Casa Pia - Porto - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.81
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
510
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
84% (357/427)87% (418/483)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.81
xG on target (xGOT)
0.411.08
Total shots
510
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
27
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
922
Through passes
100% (1/1)0% (0/1)
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
84% (357/427)87% (418/483)
Long passes
62% (39/63)49% (29/59)
Passes in final third
62% (58/93)74% (83/112)
Crosses
29% (4/14)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.360.56
Fouls
1216
Tackles
73% (11/15)50% (6/12)
Duels won
4839
Clearances Total
1918
Interceptions
103
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.080.41
Goals prevented
0.080.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Mora R. , Moura F. (A),
  • 26', Pablo Roberto 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Fonte J. 🟨,
  • 64', Miguel Sousa , Pereira H. ,
  • 67', Gul D. , Samu ,
  • 67', Pedro J. 🟨,
  • 75', Pepê , Borges G. ,
  • 75', Joao Mario , Fernandes M. ,
  • 77', Livolant J. , Caue ,
  • 77', Fonte J. , Geraldes A. ,
  • 77', Goulart J. , Benaissa-Yahia F. ,
  • 79', Fernandes M. 🟨,
  • 85', Mora R. , Otavio ,
  • 90+3', Larrazabal G. , Tiago Dias ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Casa Pia
17%
Draw
24.8%
Porto
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.6% 25.1% 58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9% 24.1% 60.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Casa Pia - Porto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.52
    (5.64)
    3.8
    (3.73)
    1.61
    (1.61)
    6.5%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Porto?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 0.
    • Casa Pia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Porto is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Porto is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Casa Pia: Brito R. (Yellow Cards) Kiki (Injury) Mendes C. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Porto: Grujic M. (Muscle Injury) Perez N. (Yellow Cards) Sousa V. (Calf Injury) William Gomes (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Casa Pia: Tchamba D. (Inactive)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3:12 (average 0.5:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Casa Pia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Porto were as follows:
    02.12.2024 Porto - Casa Pia 2:0
    21.04.2024 Casa Pia - Porto 1:2
    09.12.2023 Porto - Casa Pia 3:1
    14.05.2023 Porto - Casa Pia 2:1
    07.01.2023 Casa Pia - Porto 0:0
    Latest results of Casa Pia
    07.04.2025 Farense - Casa Pia 0:0
    29.03.2025 Casa Pia - Rio Ave 2:1
    09.03.2025 Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon 1:3
    22.02.2025 Casa Pia - Gil Vicente 1:0
    Latest results of Porto
    06.04.2025 Porto - Benfica 1:4
    30.03.2025 Estoril Praia - Porto 1:2
    15.03.2025 Porto - AVS 2:0
    08.03.2025 Braga - Porto 1:0
    01.03.2025 Arouca - Porto 0:2
    Liga Portugal Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting CP34257288:276182
    2Benfica34255484:285680
    3FC Porto34225765:303571
    4Braga34199655:302566
    5Santa Clara341761136:32457
    6Vitoria Guimaraes341412847:371054
    7Famalicao3412111144:39547
    8Estoril3412101248:53-546
    9Casa Pia341291339:44-545
    10Moreirense3410101442:50-840
    11Rio Ave349111439:55-1638
    12Arouca349111435:49-1438
    13Gil Vicente348101634:47-1334
    14Nacional34971832:50-1834
    15Estrela34781924:50-2629
    16AFS345121725:60-3527
    17SC Farense34691925:46-2127
    18Boavista34662224:59-3524

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Casa Pia - Porto?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaSport TV Africa
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    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
    georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 2
    germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
    hungaryHungarySport 2
    israelIsraelSport 4
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    lithuaniaLithuaniaSport 1
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    polandPolandEleven Sports 3
    portugalPortugalSport TV1
    romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
    russiaRussiaTV Start
    saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid VIP
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3, SportKlub 2
    slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
    south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
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