Porto vs Casa Pia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Liga Portugal Porto - Casa Pia
Result
4:0
24/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Portugal - Round 3
  • Referee: Guelho S. (Por)
Porto - Casa Pia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.630.22
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
207
Shots on target
70
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
90% (513/572)77% (237/309)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
2.630.22
xG on target (xGOT)
3.850.00
Total shots
207
Shots on target
70
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
162
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
344
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
811
Passes
90% (513/572)77% (237/309)
Long passes
67% (16/24)39% (17/44)
Passes in final third
75% (94/125)54% (25/46)
Crosses
31% (5/16)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.280.23
Throw-ins
2116
Fouls
118
Tackles
40% (4/10)65% (13/20)
Duels won
4250
Clearances
820
Interceptions
814
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.003.85
Goals prevented
0.00-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Sainz B. , Froholdt V. (A),
  • 25', 2 - 0, William Gomes , Costa A. (A),
  • 28', William Gomes 🟨,
  • 40', 3 - 0, Perez N. , Costa A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Zaidu , Moura F. ,
  • 46', Cassiano , Svensson M. ,
  • 46', Benaissa-Yahia F. , Geraldes A. ,
  • 51', Froholdt V. 🟨,
  • 58', Osundina K. , Morais T. ,
  • 58', Froholdt V. , Eustaquio S. ,
  • 58', William Gomes , Mora R. ,
  • 65', Bednarek J. 🟨,
  • 67', 4 - 0, Sainz B. ,
  • 74', Bednarek J. , Prpic D. ,
  • 74', Costa A. , Pedro J. ,
  • 75', Nhaga R. , Perez S. ,
  • 75', Livolant J. , Miguel Sousa ,
  • 90', Perez S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Porto
77.3%
Draw
15.6%
Casa Pia
7.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
78.1% 15.4% 6.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Porto - Casa Pia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.22
    (1.21)
    6.04
    (6.13)
    13.37
    (14.67)
    6.1%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Porto - Casa Pia?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 18 - 85.7%). Casa Pia will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 70.7%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Porto (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto won 5.
    • Porto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Porto is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Porto: Fernandes M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Casa Pia: Kiki (Injury) Mendes C. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Porto: Samu (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Casa Pia: Blanco R. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Porto won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 1.9:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Porto won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - Casa Pia were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Casa Pia - Porto 0:1
    02.12.2024 Porto - Casa Pia 2:0
    21.04.2024 Casa Pia - Porto 1:2
    09.12.2023 Porto - Casa Pia 3:1
    14.05.2023 Porto - Casa Pia 2:1
    Latest results of Porto
    18.08.2025 Gil Vicente - Porto 0:2
    11.08.2025 Porto - Vitoria Guimarães 3:0
    03.08.2025 Porto - Atlético Madrid 1:0
    27.07.2025 Porto - Twente 2:1
    23.06.2025 Porto - Al Ahly Cairo 4:4
    Latest results of Casa Pia
    15.08.2025 AVS - Casa Pia 0:2
    08.08.2025 Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon 0:2
    16.05.2025 Famalicão - Casa Pia 2:1
    10.05.2025 Casa Pia - Braga 2:1
    04.05.2025 Arouca - Casa Pia 0:0
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting CP330012:1119
    2FC Porto33009:099
    3Moreirense33005:149
    4Braga32108:267
    5Famalicao32104:047
    6Benfica22004:046
    7Gil Vicente31112:204
    8Arouca31116:10-44
    9Vitoria Guimaraes31023:7-43
    10Casa Pia31022:6-43
    11Rio Ave20204:402
    12Estrela30213:4-12
    13Estoril20113:4-11
    14Alverca30123:7-41
    15AFS30123:7-41
    16Nacional30122:7-51
    17Santa Clara20020:4-40
    18Tondela30030:7-70

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          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Porto - Casa Pia?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaZAP
    bulgariaBulgariaRing
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
    georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 2
    germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
    hungaryHungarySport 1
    israelIsraelSport 3
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    lithuaniaLithuaniaSport 1
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
    portugalPortugalSport TV1
    russiaRussiaTV Start Triumph
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
    slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
    south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
    turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
    worldWorldTriller TV+
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