Mantova vs Carrarese: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie B Mantova - Carrarese
Result
2:1
09/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B - Round 38
  • Referee: Monaldi M. (Ita)
Mantova - Carrarese - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.360.99
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
87% (428/494)75% (259/344)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.360.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.950.77
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
103
Blocked Shots
37
Shots inside the Box
138
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
2418
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1517
Passes
87% (428/494)75% (259/344)
Long passes
51% (24/47)46% (26/56)
Passes in final third
74% (89/120)64% (59/92)
Crosses
63% (5/8)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.840.54
Throw-ins
1616
Fouls
1715
Tackles
50% (7/14)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4647
Clearances
2110
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.771.95
Goals prevented
-0.23-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', Illanes J. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Mancuso L. , Mensah D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Schiavi N. , Zuelli E. ,
  • 46', Milanese T. , Cherubini L. ,
  • 47', 1 - 1, Finotto M. , Cicconi M. (A),
  • 55', Cicconi M. 🟨,
  • 55', Fiori A. , Aramu M. ,
  • 63', Cella S. 🟨,
  • 65', Giovane S. , Capezzi L. ,
  • 67', Galuppini F. , Bragantini D. ,
  • 68', Mancuso L. , Debenedetti A. ,
  • 76', Capezzi L. 🟨,
  • 81', Bani C. , Giordano S. ,
  • 81', Mensah D. , Wieser D. ,
  • 83', Shpendi S. , Melegoni F. ,
  • 83', 2 - 1, Debenedetti A. , Bragantini D. (A),
  • 84', Debenedetti A. 🟨,
  • 88', Guarino G. , Torregrossa E. ,
  • 90+1', Bragantini D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mantova
45.1%
Draw
30.2%
Carrarese
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 28.5% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 28.1% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carrarese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carrarese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mantova - Carrarese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.29)
    3.12
    (3.29)
    3.78
    (3.07)
    6.2%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Mantova - Carrarese?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 12).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Mantova could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Mantova: Radaelli N. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Carrarese: Fiorillo V. (Red Card)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mantova - Carrarese were as follows:
    20.10.2024 Carrarese - Mantova 1:1
    Latest results of Mantova
    04.05.2025 Salernitana - Mantova 2:0
    01.05.2025 Mantova - Cesena 3:0
    25.04.2025 Cremonese - Mantova 4:2
    13.04.2025 Mantova - Spezia 2:2
    05.04.2025 Brescia - Mantova 1:2
    Latest results of Carrarese
    04.05.2025 Carrarese - Modena 2:1
    01.05.2025 Sassuolo - Carrarese 2:0
    25.04.2025 Carrarese - Sampdoria 1:0
    12.04.2025 Carrarese - Catanzaro 2:2
    05.04.2025 Cittadella - Carrarese 0:0
    Draw
    Play Out

    Final
    1Frosinone (16)Salernitana (17)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Mantova - Carrarese?
    It is being streamed on channel
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