Carolina Core vs Philadelphia Union II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Carolina Core - Philadelphia Union II
Result
3:2
30/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Carolina Core - Philadelphia Union II - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.501.75
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1019
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
79% (269/341)76% (248/326)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
2.501.75
xG on target (xGOT)
2.741.53
Total shots
1019
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
58
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
911
Shots outside the Box
18
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1724
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1610
Passes
79% (269/341)76% (248/326)
Long passes
49% (34/69)47% (26/55)
Passes in final third
69% (47/68)63% (78/123)
Crosses
56% (5/9)39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.980.60
Throw-ins
1223
Fouls
1016
Tackles
75% (15/20)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5852
Clearances
2315
Interceptions
168
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.532.74
Goals prevented
-0.47-0.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Anderson M. , LeBlanc K. (A),
  • 22', 1 - 1, Nzingo G. (Pen),
  • 25', 2 - 1, Rodriguez J. , Canete F. (A), Juarez J. (A2)
  • 33', Alenga M. 🟨,
  • 37', 2 - 2, Olivas S. (Pen),
  • 45+1', Chica D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
  • 51', 3 - 2, Nzingo G. (Pen),
  • 65', Jakupovic M. , Davis E. ,
  • 65', Benitez O. , Johnson J. ,
  • 71', Uzcategui R. 🟨,
  • 76', LeBlanc K. , Soria L. ,
  • 77', Olivas S. , Korzeniowski S. ,
  • 78', Covi I. 🟨,
  • 80', Leonardi P. , Scarlett Z. ,
  • 82', Anderson M. , Ferreira W. ,
  • 87', Rodriguez J. , Polanco D. ,
  • 87', Evans J. , Miller A. ,
  • 90+2', Sequera G. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Nzingo G. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 90+6', Pariano N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Carolina Core
25.7%
Draw
25.8%
Philadelphia Union II
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.2% 24.9% 50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3% 24% 52.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carolina Core has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Philadelphia Union II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carolina Core than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union II than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Carolina Core - Philadelphia Union II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.58
    (3.79)
    3.57
    (3.68)
    1.9
    (1.8)
    8.8%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In recent matches, Carolina Core has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Philadelphia II is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Philadelphia II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Philadelphia II might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carolina Core won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    • Including home match between the teams, Carolina Core won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carolina Core - Philadelphia Union II were as follows:
    11.09.2024 Carolina Core - Philadelphia Union II 0:2
    Latest results of Carolina Core
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2221322553:4645
    2Philadelphia Union II211052445:2142
    3Chicago Fire II211132554:3641
    4New England Revolution II20951537:2638
    5Toronto FC II22904926:3431
    6New York City II22724941:4529
    7Cincinnati 221570923:2829
    8Columbus Crew 2214131324:4417


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Huntsville211142446:2443
    2Chattanooga22943634:3338
    3Orlando City B227221130:4527
    4Carolina Core22544928:3127
    5Crown Legacy22535933:4426
    6Atlanta United 220526728:3225
    7Inter Miami II216041134:4722


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC191122448:2639
    2Ventura County211023643:3837
    3Real Monarchs20743635:3332
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 2217311044:4228
    5Tacoma Defiance20722950:5127
    6Los Angeles FC II217211134:4526
    7Portland Timbers 220623932:3825


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2221530450:3051
    2Colorado Rapids 2221114644:3439
    3Austin FC II21735627:2732
    4Minnesota 221823834:3431
    5North Texas21831935:4331
    6Houston Dynamo 2227321032:3629
    7Sporting Kansas City II212131521:5211


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2221322553:4645
    2Huntsville211142446:2443
    3Philadelphia Union II211052445:2142
    4Chicago Fire II211132554:3641
    5New England Revolution II20951537:2638
    6Chattanooga22943634:3338
    7Toronto FC II22904926:3431
    8New York City II22724941:4529
    9Cincinnati 221570923:2829
    10Orlando City B227221130:4527
    11Carolina Core22544928:3127
    12Crown Legacy22535933:4426
    13Atlanta United 220526728:3225
    14Inter Miami II216041134:4722
    15Columbus Crew 2214131324:4417


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2221530450:3051
    2Town FC191122448:2639
    3Colorado Rapids 2221114644:3439
    4Ventura County211023643:3837
    5Real Monarchs20743635:3332
    6Austin FC II21735627:2732
    7Minnesota 221823834:3431
    8North Texas21831935:4331
    9Houston Dynamo 2227321032:3629
    10Vancouver Whitecaps 2217311044:4228
    11Tacoma Defiance20722950:5127
    12Los Angeles FC II217211134:4526
    13Portland Timbers 220623932:3825
    14Sporting Kansas City II212131521:5211

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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