Carolina Ascent vs Tampa Bay Sun: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Super League Women Carolina Ascent - Tampa Bay Sun
Result
2:2
06/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Super League Women
Carolina Ascent - Tampa Bay Sun - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.831.34
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
102
Passes
78% (382/488)72% (227/316)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.831.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.021.87
Total shots
149
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
50
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
2115
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
77
Passes
78% (382/488)72% (227/316)
Long passes
42% (30/71)30% (19/64)
Passes in final third
56% (79/142)53% (45/85)
Crosses
19% (5/26)56% (5/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.250.82
Throw-ins
3931
Fouls
78
Tackles
93% (14/15)46% (6/13)
Duels won
3529
Clearances
1242
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.871.02
Goals prevented
-0.13-0.98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Corbin M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Pluck M. , Gaines-Ramos E. ,
  • 46', McLean C. , Zade J. ,
  • 66', George M. , Baisden R. ,
  • 67', Troccoli S. , Hylton C. ,
  • 67', Listro J. , Shimkin J. ,
  • 67', Keane H. , Battilla M. ,
  • 68', Parker R. , Harding A. ,
  • 70', Bessette V. , Bryan S. ,
  • 74', 1 - 1, Nasello S. , Gaines-Ramos E. (A),
  • 81', 1 - 2, Gabby Provenzano , McNeill S. (A),
  • 82', Corbin M. , Grabias L. ,
  • 86', Porter T. , Studer S. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 2, Mercado M. ,

Chances of winning


Carolina Ascent
52.9%
Draw
25.5%
Tampa Bay Sun
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.8% 21.9% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carolina Ascent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Tampa Bay Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Carolina Ascent - Tampa Bay Sun Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.74)
    3.54
    (4.2)
    4.19
    (3.63)
    10.6%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Tampa Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Carolina is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Carolina won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Carolina won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carolina Ascent - Tampa Bay Sun were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Carolina Ascent - Tampa Bay Sun 1:1
    15.03.2025 Tampa Bay Sun - Carolina Ascent 1:0
    16.11.2024 Tampa Bay Sun - Carolina Ascent 2:1
    27.09.2024 Carolina Ascent - Tampa Bay Sun 0:0
    Latest results of Carolina Ascent
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Sun
    USL Super League Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dallas Trinity W63127:12-510
    2Lexington W523011:479
    3Spokane Zephyr W72327:619
    4Fort Lauderdale W422010:648
    5DC Power W41307:526
    6Brooklyn W51225:7-25
    7Sporting Jax W41126:8-24
    8Carolina Ascent W40316:7-13
    9Tampa Bay Sun W50236:10-42

          Promotion ~ USL Super League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)

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