Maria Lourdes Carle vs Carol Zhao: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

19/08/2025 at 13:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY).

WTA - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats


Aces
0	1
Double Faults
9	9
1st Serve Percentage
63%	63%
1st Serve Points Won
60% (32/53)	60% (33/55)
2nd Serve Points Won
23% (7/31)	47% (15/32)
Break Points Saved
67% (12/18)	60% (6/10)
1st Return Points Won
44% (24/55)	40% (21/53)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (17/32)	77% (24/31)
Break Points Converted
40% (4/10)	33% (6/18)
Service Points Won
46% (39/84)	54% (45/84)
Return Points Won
46% (39/84)	54% (45/84)
Total Points Won
46% (78/168)	54% (90/168)
Last 10 Balls
3	7
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
40% (4/10)	60% (6/10)
Return Games Won
40% (4/10)	60% (6/10)
Total Games Won
40% (8/20)	60% (12/20)

Chances of winning

Maria Lourdes Carle
65.9%

Carol Zhao
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Lourdes Carle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Carol Zhao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carol Zhao than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Maria Lourdes Carle - Carol Zhao Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.45)		2.78 ↑ (2.64)	5.9% (6.8%)

What is the prediction for Maria Lourdes Carle - Carol Zhao?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Carle will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Zhao will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Carle is ranked WTA: 118. Zhao is ranked WTA: 232.
In recent matches, Carle has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Zhao has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Carle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Carle is a strong favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Carle won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Maria Lourdes Carle won against Carol Zhao?

Maria Lourdes Carle has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Carol Zhao won against Maria Lourdes Carle?

Carol Zhao has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Maria Lourdes Carle - Carol Zhao were as follows:

03.04.2023 Carol Zhao - Maria Lourdes Carle 2:1

Latest results of Maria Lourdes Carle

31.07.2025 Maria Lourdes Carle - Nikola Bartunkova 0:2 ✺

30.07.2025 Maria Lourdes Carle - Dalila Jakupovic 2:0 ✺

18.07.2025 Maria Lourdes Carle - Sorana Cirstea 0:2 ✺

17.07.2025 Elina Avanesyan - Maria Lourdes Carle 0:2 ✺

15.07.2025 Patricia Maria Tig - Maria Lourdes Carle 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Carol Zhao

06.08.2025 Leolia Jeanjean - Carol Zhao 2:1 ✺

26.07.2025 Elsa Jacquemot - Carol Zhao 2:1 ✺

24.07.2025 Carol Zhao - Janice Tjen 0:2 ✺

22.07.2025 Sara Daavettila - Carol Zhao 0:2 ✺

17.07.2025 Carol Zhao - Fiona Crawley 1:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Masarova R.	2 : 0
2	Parrizas-Diaz N. (RET.)	Kudermetova P.	0 : 0
3	Jacquemot E.	Bouzkova M.	2 : 0
4	Marino R. (Q)	Fernandez L. (31)	0 : 2
5	Mertens E. (19)	Ahn A. (WC)	2 : 0
6	Sun L.	Osorio C.	2 : 1
7	Bucsa C.	Liu C. (Q)	2 : 0
8	Eala A.	Tauson C. (14)	2 : 1
9	Rybakina E. (9)	Pareja J. (WC)	2 : 0
10	Bronzetti L.	Valentova T. (Q)	1 : 2
11	Raducanu E.	Shibahara E. (Q)	2 : 0
12	Tjen J. (Q)	Kudermetova V. (24)	2 : 1
13	Kessler M. (32)	Linette M.	2 : 0
14	Selekhmeteva O. (Q)	Vondrousova M.	0 : 2
15	Sasnovich A.	Jovic I.	0 : 2
16	Aiava D. (Q)	Paolini J. (7)	0 : 2
17	Pegula J. (4)	Sherif M.	2 : 0
18	Starodubtseva Y.	Blinkova A.	0 : 2
19	Azarenka V.	Inoue H. (Q)	2 : 0
20	Pavlyuchenkova A.	Yastremska D. (30)	2 : 1
21	Samsonova L. (17)	Yuan Y.	2 : 1
22	Jeanjean L.	Hon P. (Q)	0 : 2
23	Li A.	Sramkova R.	2 : 1
24	Zhang S. (Q)	Bencic B. (16)	0 : 2
25	Navarro E. (10)	Wang Y.	2 : 0
26	Teichmann J.	McNally C. (WC)	0 : 2
27	Uchijima M.	Danilovic O.	2 : 1
28	Krejcikova B.	Mboko V. (22)	2 : 0
29	Ostapenko J. (25)	Wang Xiy. (Q)	2 : 0
30	Townsend T.	Ruzic A.	2 : 0
31	Potapova A.	Zhu L.	2 : 1
32	Parks A.	Andreeva M. (5)	0 : 2
33	Keys M. (6)	Zarazua R.	1 : 2
34	Kvitova P.	Parry D.	0 : 2
35	Volynets K. (Q)	Sonmez Z.	0 : 2
36	Boulter K.	Kostyuk M. (27)	0 : 2
37	Noskova L. (21)	Galfi D. (Q)	2 : 0
38	Jones F. (Q)	Lys E.	0 : 2
39	Cirstea S.	Sierra S.	2 : 0
40	Williams V. (WC)	Muchova K. (11)	1 : 2
41	Kasatkina D. (15)	Ruse G.	2 : 0
42	Rakhimova K.	Garcia C. (WC)	2 : 1
43	Baptiste H.	Siniakova K.	2 : 0
44	Minnen G.	Osaka N. (23)	0 : 2
45	Frech M. (28)	Gibson T. (WC)	2 : 0
46	Semenistaja D. (Q)	Stearns P.	0 : 2
47	Vekic D.	Bouzas Maneiro J.	2 : 1
48	Tomljanovic A.	Gauff C. (3)	1 : 2
49	Anisimova A. (8)	Birrell K.	2 : 0
50	Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)	Joint M.	0 : 2
51	Collins D.	Cristian J.	0 : 2
52	Krueger A.	Kenin S. (26)	2 : 1
53	Haddad Maia B. (18)	Kartal S.	2 : 1
54	Boisson L.	Golubic V.	1 : 2
55	Sakkari M.	Maria T.	2 : 0
56	Bondar A.	Svitolina E. (12)	2 : 0
57	Alexandrova E. (13)	Sevastova A.	2 : 0
58	Dolehide C.	Wang Xin.	1 : 2
59	Zakharova A.	Avanesyan E.	2 : 0
60	Siegemund L.	Shnaider D. (20)	2 : 1
61	Kalinskaya A. (29)	Ngounoue C. (WC)	2 : 1
62	Putintseva Y.	Cocciaretto E.	2 : 0
63	Lamens S.	Glozman V. (WC)	2 : 0
64	Arango E.	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/32-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Kudermetova P.	2 : 0
2	Jacquemot E.	Fernandez L. (31)	1 : 2
3	Mertens E. (19)	Sun L.	2 : 0
4	Bucsa C.	Eala A.	2 : 0
5	Rybakina E. (9)	Valentova T.	2 : 0
6	Raducanu E.	Tjen J.	2 : 0
7	Kessler M. (32)	Vondrousova M.	0 : 2
8	Jovic I.	Paolini J. (7)	0 : 2
9	Pegula J. (4)	Blinkova A.	2 : 0
10	Azarenka V.	Pavlyuchenkova A.	2 : 0
11	Samsonova L. (17)	Hon P.	1 : 2
12	Li A.	Bencic B. (16)	2 : 0
13	Navarro E. (10)	McNally C.	2 : 0
14	Uchijima M.	Krejcikova B.	0 : 2
15	Ostapenko J. (25)	Townsend T.	0 : 2
16	Potapova A.	Andreeva M. (5)	0 : 2
17	Zarazua R.	Parry D.	1 : 2
18	Sonmez Z.	Kostyuk M. (27)	1 : 2
19	Noskova L. (21)	Lys E. (RET.)	1 : 0
20	Cirstea S.	Muchova K. (11)	1 : 2
21	Kasatkina D. (15)	Rakhimova K.	2 : 1
22	Baptiste H.	Osaka N. (23)	0 : 2
23	Frech M. (28)	Stearns P.	2 : 1
24	Vekic D.	Gauff C. (3)	0 : 2
25	Anisimova A. (8)	Joint M.	2 : 0
26	Cristian J.	Krueger A.	2 : 1
27	Haddad Maia B. (18)	Golubic V.	2 : 0
28	Sakkari M.	Bondar A.	2 : 0
29	Alexandrova E. (13)	Wang Xin.	2 : 0
30	Zakharova A.	Siegemund L.	0 : 2
31	Kalinskaya A. (29)	Putintseva Y.	2 : 0
32	Lamens S.	Swiatek I. (2)	1 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Fernandez L. (31)	2 : 0
2	Mertens E. (19)	Bucsa C.	1 : 2
3	Rybakina E. (9)	Raducanu E.	2 : 0
4	Vondrousova M.	Paolini J. (7)	2 : 0
5	Pegula J. (4)	Azarenka V.	2 : 0
6	Hon P.	Li A.	0 : 2
7	Navarro E. (10)	Krejcikova B.	1 : 2
8	Townsend T.	Andreeva M. (5)	2 : 0
9	Parry D.	Kostyuk M. (27)
10	Noskova L. (21)	Muchova K. (11)
11	Kasatkina D. (15)	Osaka N. (23)
12	Frech M. (28)	Gauff C. (3)
13	Anisimova A. (8)	Cristian J.
14	Haddad Maia B. (18)	Sakkari M.
15	Alexandrova E. (13)	Siegemund L.
16	Kalinskaya A. (29)	Swiatek I. (2)

1/8-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bucsa C.
2	Rybakina E. (9)	Vondrousova M.
3	Pegula J. (4)	Li A.
4	Krejcikova B.	Townsend T.
5	TBD #9	TBD #10
6	TBD #11	TBD #12
7	TBD #13	TBD #14
8	TBD #15	TBD #16

Quarter-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4
3	TBD #5	TBD #6
4	TBD #7	TBD #8

Semi-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4

Final

1

TBD #1

TBD #2

Which TV channels are streaming of Maria Lourdes Carle - Carol Zhao?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max