Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Aussie rules AFL Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies
Result
59:115
04/07/2025 at 05:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 17
Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
817
Behinds
1113
Kicks
202238
Handballs
148152
Disposals
350390
Frees For
1114
Frees Against
1411
Clearances Completed
4233
Marks
89111
Tackles
4660
Hitouts
4536

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (21 - 27)
  • 01:33, Curnow C. (Behind),
  • 06:06, Lipinski P. (Behind),
  • 07:04, Hoskin-Elliott W. (G),
  • 08:15, Elliott J. (G),
  • 11:54, Curnow C. (Behind),
  • 13:09, Williams Z. (G),
  • 15:40, Williams Z. (G),
  • 17:33, Membrey T. (G),
  • 21:42, Daicos N. (Behind),
  • 23:48, Motlop J. (G),
  • 25:18, McStay D. (G),
  • 28:31, Markov O. (Behind),
  • 29:50, (Behind Rushed),
  • 2nd Quarter (8 - 26)
  • 00:48, Membrey T. (G),
  • 02:20, Acres B. (Behind),
  • 05:53, Daicos N. (G),
  • 07:23, (Behind Rushed),
  • 08:34, Evans F. (Behind),
  • 13:54, Mihocek B. (Behind),
  • 15:20, Elliott J. (G),
  • 18:03, Fantasia O. (G),
  • 28:16, McStay D. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (16 - 52)
  • 01:16, Mihocek B. (G),
  • 02:49, De Koning T. (Behind),
  • 04:12, Elliott J. (Behind),
  • 05:08, Maynard B. (Behind),
  • 06:21, McStay D. (G),
  • 07:41, (Behind Rushed),
  • 13:18, Elliott J. (Behind),
  • 14:23, Elliott J. (G),
  • 16:13, Elliott J. (G),
  • 17:56, Motlop J. (G),
  • 19:35, Sullivan L. (G),
  • 22:12, McStay D. (G),
  • 25:11, Long N. (G),
  • 26:55, Crisp J. (G),
  • 29:00, Evans F. (Behind),
  • 31:18, Curnow C. (Behind),
  • 33:46, Williams Z. (G),
  • 35:57, Daicos N. (Behind),
  • 4th Quarter (14 - 10)
  • 02:03, (Behind Rushed),
  • 03:09, Lipinski P. (Behind),
  • 05:09, Mihocek B. (Behind),
  • 09:45, Moir A. (G),
  • 13:47, Mitchell T. (Behind),
  • 14:49, McGovern M. (G),
  • 18:44, Elliott J. (Behind),
  • 22:57, Motlop J. (Behind),
  • 26:58, Mihocek B. (G),

Chances of winning


Carlton Blues
21.9%
Collingwood Magpies
78.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.3% 71.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35% 65%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlton Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlton Blues's form might have worsened.
  • Collingwood Magpies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Collingwood Magpies's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlton Blues than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlton Blues, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Collingwood Magpies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.14
    (3.37)

    1.2
    (1.33)
    7.5%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 160.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-27)
  • What is the prediction for Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Carlton will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Collingwood will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Carlton (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 67:94.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 1.
    • Recent performances by Carlton have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Collingwood is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Carlton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Collingwood is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1450:1635. (average 72.5:81.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Carlton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 596:806. (average 66.2:89.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies were as follows:
    03.04.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Carlton Blues 63:46
    03.08.2024 Collingwood Magpies - Carlton Blues 84:81
    03.05.2024 Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies 79:85
    28.07.2023 Collingwood Magpies - Carlton Blues 76:93
    21.05.2023 Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies 57:85
    Latest results of Carlton Blues
    Latest results of Collingwood Magpies
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Collingwood Magpies1915041742:1290135.0460
    2Adelaide Crows1914051918:1314145.9756
    3Brisbane Lions1913151689:1524110.8354
    4Geelong Cats1913061949:1452134.2352
    5Hawthorn Hawks1913061677:1399119.8752
    6Fremantle Dockers1913061636:1464111.7552
    7GWS Giants2013071766:1586111.3552
    8Western Bulldogs2012082165:1577137.2948
    9Gold Coast Suns1812061677:1403119.5348
    10Sydney Swans1990101499:159693.9236
    11Port Adelaide Power1980111419:170683.1832
    12Carlton Blues1970121450:155493.3128
    13Melbourne Demons1960131532:170389.9624
    14St Kilda Saints1960131535:177786.3824
    15Essendon Bombers1860121227:171271.6724
    16Richmond Tigers1950141223:179668.1020
    17North Melbourne1941141422:195472.7718
    18West Coast Eagles1910181249:196863.474

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

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