Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies
Result
59:115
04/07/2025 at 05:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 17
Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
817
Behinds
1113
Kicks
202238
Handballs
148152
Disposals
350390
Frees For
1114
Frees Against
1411
Clearances Completed
4233
Marks
89111
Tackles
4660
Hitouts
4536

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (21 - 27)
  • 01:33, Curnow C. (Behind),
  • 06:06, Lipinski P. (Behind),
  • 07:04, Hoskin-Elliott W. (G),
  • 08:15, Elliott J. (G),
  • 11:54, Curnow C. (Behind),
  • 13:09, Williams Z. (G),
  • 15:40, Williams Z. (G),
  • 17:33, Membrey T. (G),
  • 21:42, Daicos N. (Behind),
  • 23:48, Motlop J. (G),
  • 25:18, McStay D. (G),
  • 28:31, Markov O. (Behind),
  • 29:50, (Behind Rushed),
  • 2nd Quarter (8 - 26)
  • 00:48, Membrey T. (G),
  • 02:20, Acres B. (Behind),
  • 05:53, Daicos N. (G),
  • 07:23, (Behind Rushed),
  • 08:34, Evans F. (Behind),
  • 13:54, Mihocek B. (Behind),
  • 15:20, Elliott J. (G),
  • 18:03, Fantasia O. (G),
  • 28:16, McStay D. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (16 - 52)
  • 01:16, Mihocek B. (G),
  • 02:49, De Koning T. (Behind),
  • 04:12, Elliott J. (Behind),
  • 05:08, Maynard B. (Behind),
  • 06:21, McStay D. (G),
  • 07:41, (Behind Rushed),
  • 13:18, Elliott J. (Behind),
  • 14:23, Elliott J. (G),
  • 16:13, Elliott J. (G),
  • 17:56, Motlop J. (G),
  • 19:35, Sullivan L. (G),
  • 22:12, McStay D. (G),
  • 25:11, Long N. (G),
  • 26:55, Crisp J. (G),
  • 29:00, Evans F. (Behind),
  • 31:18, Curnow C. (Behind),
  • 33:46, Williams Z. (G),
  • 35:57, Daicos N. (Behind),
  • 4th Quarter (14 - 10)
  • 02:03, (Behind Rushed),
  • 03:09, Lipinski P. (Behind),
  • 05:09, Mihocek B. (Behind),
  • 09:45, Moir A. (G),
  • 13:47, Mitchell T. (Behind),
  • 14:49, McGovern M. (G),
  • 18:44, Elliott J. (Behind),
  • 22:57, Motlop J. (Behind),
  • 26:58, Mihocek B. (G),

Chances of winning


Carlton Blues
21.9%
Collingwood Magpies
78.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.3% 71.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35% 65%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlton Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlton Blues's form might have worsened.
  • Collingwood Magpies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Collingwood Magpies's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlton Blues than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlton Blues, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Collingwood Magpies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.14
    (3.37)

    1.2
    (1.33)
    7.5%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 160.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-27)
  • What is the prediction for Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Carlton will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Collingwood will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Carlton (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 67:94.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 1.
    • Recent performances by Carlton have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Collingwood is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Carlton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Collingwood is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1450:1635. (average 72.5:81.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Carlton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 596:806. (average 66.2:89.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies were as follows:
    03.04.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Carlton Blues 63:46
    03.08.2024 Collingwood Magpies - Carlton Blues 84:81
    03.05.2024 Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies 79:85
    28.07.2023 Collingwood Magpies - Carlton Blues 76:93
    21.05.2023 Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies 57:85
    Latest results of Carlton Blues
    Latest results of Collingwood Magpies
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Adelaide Crows2217052165:1535141.0468
    2Geelong Cats2216062322:1650140.7364
    3Brisbane Lions2215161972:1725114.3262
    4Collingwood Magpies2215071909:1551123.0860
    5Hawthorn Hawks2215071966:1602122.7260
    6GWS Giants2215072010:1741115.4560
    7Fremantle Dockers2215071866:1718108.6160
    8Western Bulldogs2214082396:1708140.2856
    9Gold Coast Suns2114071953:1611121.2356
    10Sydney Swans22110111727:185193.3044
    11St Kilda Saints2290131746:197388.4936
    12Carlton Blues2280141709:180594.6832
    13Port Adelaide Power2280141634:206978.9832
    14Melbourne Demons2270151826:195693.3528
    15Essendon Bombers2160151421:196672.2824
    16North Melbourne2251161705:225275.7122
    17Richmond Tigers2250171385:209466.1420
    18West Coast Eagles2210211415:232060.994

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

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