Luca Nardi vs Carlos Alcaraz Garfia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

13/08/2025 at 22:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats


Aces
0	2
Double Faults
8	3
1st Serve Percentage
58%	65%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (24/38)	83% (25/30)
2nd Serve Points Won
39% (11/28)	56% (9/16)
Break Points Saved
64% (7/11)	50% (1/2)
1st Return Points Won
17% (5/30)	37% (14/38)
2nd Return Points Won
44% (7/16)	61% (17/28)
Break Points Converted
50% (1/2)	36% (4/11)
Winners
8	10
Unforced Errors
18	10
Net Points Won
46% (6/13)	80% (8/10)
Service Points Won
53% (35/66)	74% (34/46)
Return Points Won
26% (12/46)	47% (31/66)
Total Points Won
42% (47/112)	58% (65/112)
Last 10 Balls
3	7
Match Points Saved
1	0
Service Games Won
50% (4/8)	89% (8/9)
Return Games Won
11% (1/9)	50% (4/8)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)	71% (12/17)

Chances of winning

Luca Nardi
8.1%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
91.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

7.4%

92.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Luca Nardi - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.97 ↓ (13)		1.04 (1.04)	4.5% (3.8%)

What is the prediction for Luca Nardi - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia?

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Nardi will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Nardi is ranked ATP: 98. Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 2.
Nardi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Alcaraz Garfia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Alcaraz Garfia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nardi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Luca Nardi won against Carlos Alcaraz Garfia?

Luca Nardi has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Carlos Alcaraz Garfia won against Luca Nardi?

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Luca Nardi - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia were as follows:

19.02.2025 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Luca Nardi 2:1

Latest results of Luca Nardi

12.08.2025 Jakub Mensik - Luca Nardi Mensik J. retired ✺

10.08.2025 Luca Nardi - Denis Shapovalov 2:1 ✺

08.08.2025 Luca Nardi - Thiago Augustin Tirante 2:0 ✺

06.08.2025 Luca Nardi - Alexander Blockx 0:2 ✺

05.08.2025 Luca Nardi - Aidan Mayo 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

12.08.2025 Hamad Medjedovic - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 0:2 ✺

10.08.2025 Damir Dzumhur - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 1:2 ✺

13.07.2025 Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 3:1 ✺

11.07.2025 Taylor Harry Fritz - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 1:3 ✺

08.07.2025 Cameron Norrie - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 0:3 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Bye
2	Galan D. E. (Q)	Kopriva V.	2 : 0
3	Baez S.	Goffin D.	2 : 0
4	Bye	Diallo G. (30)
5	Machac T. (19)	Bye
6	Thompson J.	Mannarino A. (Q)	0 : 2
7	Martinez P.	Jarry N. (WC)	2 : 1
8	Bye	Paul T. (13)
9	Ruud C. (11)	Bye
10	Rinderknech A.	Borges N.	2 : 0
11	Etcheverry T. M.	Shang J.	2 : 1
12	Bye	Auger-Aliassime F. (23)
13	Tsitsipas S. (25)	Bye
14	Smith C. (Q)	Marozsan F.	1 : 2
15	Bonzi B.	Arnaldi M.	2 : 1
16	Bye	Musetti L. (8)
17	Fritz T. (4)	Bye
18	Coric B.	Nava E. (Q)	0 : 2
19	Bergs Z.	Fearnley J.	2 : 0
20	Bye	Sonego L. (31)
21	Davidovich Fokina A. (17)	Bye
22	Fonseca J.	Bu Y.	2 : 1
23	Atmane T. (Q)	Nishioka Y.	2 : 0
24	Bye	Cobolli F. (15)
25	Tiafoe F. (10)	Bye
26	Carballes Baena R.	Gaston H.	2 : 1
27	Mpetshi Perricard G.	Wong C. (Q)	0 : 2
28	Bye	Humbert U. (20)
29	Michelsen A. (28)	Bye
30	Moutet C.	McDonald M.	2 : 0
31	Safiullin R.	Tabilo A.	2 : 0
32	Bye	Rune H. (7)
33	Shelton B. (5)	Bye
34	Ugo Carabelli C.	Nishikori K.	2 : 0
35	Altmaier D.	Bautista-Agut R.	0 : 2
36	Bye	Norrie C. (32)
37	Lehecka J. (22)	Bye
38	Boyer T. (WC)	Holt B. (WC)	2 : 0
39	Walton A.	Navone M. (LL)	2 : 1
40	Bye	Medvedev D. (12)
41	Khachanov K. (14)	Bye
42	Ofner S. (PR)	Royer V. (Q)	1 : 2
43	Brooksby J. (WC)	Muller A.	2 : 1
44	Bye	Cazaux A. (LL)
45	Nakashima B. (27)	Bye
46	Giron M.	Blockx A. (Q)	1 : 2
47	Vukic A. (LL)	Basavareddy N. (WC)	0 : 2
48	Bye	Zverev A. (3)
49	De Minaur A. (6)	Bye
50	Dellien H.	Opelka R.	0 : 2
51	Comesana F.	Munar J.	2 : 0
52	Bye	Darderi L. (29)
53	Popyrin A. (21)	Bye
54	Landaluce M. (Q)	Kypson P. (Q)	2 : 1
55	Tien L.	Riedi L. (Q)	2 : 0
56	Bye	Rublev A. (9)
57	Mensik J. (16)	Bye
58	Kecmanovic M.	Quinn E.	0 : 2
59	Nardi L. (LL)	Tirante T. A. (Q)	2 : 0
60	Bye	Shapovalov D. (24)
61	Griekspoor T. (26)	Bye
62	Medjedovic H.	Kovacevic A.	2 : 0
63	Bellucci M.	Dzumhur D.	0 : 2
64	Bye	Alcaraz C. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Galan D. E.	2 : 0
2	Baez S.	Diallo G. (30)	0 : 2
3	Machac T. (19)	Mannarino A.	0 : 2
4	Martinez P.	Paul T. (13)	0 : 2
5	Ruud C. (11)	Rinderknech A.	1 : 2
6	Etcheverry T. M.	Auger-Aliassime F. (23)	0 : 2
7	Tsitsipas S. (25)	Marozsan F.	2 : 0
8	Bonzi B.	Musetti L. (8)	2 : 1
9	Fritz T. (4)	Nava E.	2 : 0
10	Bergs Z.	Sonego L. (31)	0 : 2
11	Davidovich Fokina A. (RET.) (17)	Fonseca J.	1 : 0
12	Atmane T.	Cobolli F. (15)	2 : 1
13	Tiafoe F. (10)	Carballes Baena R.	2 : 0
14	Wong C.	Humbert U. (20)	0 : 2
15	Michelsen A. (28)	Moutet C.	2 : 1
16	Safiullin R.	Rune H. (7)	0 : 2
17	Shelton B. (5)	Ugo Carabelli C. (RET.)	1 : 0
18	Bautista-Agut R.	Norrie C. (32)	2 : 0
19	Lehecka J. (22)	Boyer T.	2 : 1
20	Walton A.	Medvedev D. (12)	2 : 1
21	Khachanov K. (14)	Royer V.	2 : 0
22	Brooksby J.	Cazaux A.	2 : 0
23	Nakashima B. (27)	Blockx A.	2 : 1
24	Basavareddy N.	Zverev A. (3)	0 : 2
25	De Minaur A. (6)	Opelka R.	0 : 2
26	Comesana F.	Darderi L. (RET.) (29)	1 : 0
27	Popyrin A. (21)	Landaluce M.	2 : 0
28	Tien L.	Rublev A. (9)	0 : 2
29	Mensik J. (16)	Quinn E.	2 : 0
30	Nardi L.	Shapovalov D. (24)	2 : 1
31	Griekspoor T. (26)	Medjedovic H.	0 : 2
32	Dzumhur D.	Alcaraz C. (2)	1 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Diallo G. (30)	2 : 0
2	Mannarino A.	Paul T. (13)	2 : 1
3	Rinderknech A. (RET.)	Auger-Aliassime F. (23)	0 : 1
4	Tsitsipas S. (25)	Bonzi B.	1 : 2
5	Fritz T. (4)	Sonego L. (31)	2 : 0
6	Fonseca J.	Atmane T.	0 : 2
7	Tiafoe F. (10)	Humbert U. (20)	2 : 0
8	Michelsen A. (28)	Rune H. (7)	0 : 2
9	Shelton B. (5)	Bautista-Agut R.	2 : 0
10	Lehecka J. (22)	Walton A.	2 : 0
11	Khachanov K. (14)	Brooksby J.	2 : 0
12	Nakashima B. (27)	Zverev A. (3)	0 : 2
13	Opelka R.	Comesana F.	1 : 2
14	Popyrin A. (21)	Rublev A. (9)	1 : 2
15	Mensik J. (RET.) (16)	Nardi L.	0 : 1
16	Medjedovic H.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Mannarino A.	2 : 0
2	Auger-Aliassime F. (23)	Bonzi B.	2 : 0
3	Fritz T. (4)	Atmane T.	1 : 2
4	Tiafoe F. (RET.) (10)	Rune H. (7)	0 : 1
5	Shelton B. (5)	Lehecka J. (22)	2 : 0
6	Khachanov K. (RET.) (14)	Zverev A. (3)	0 : 1
7	Comesana F.	Rublev A. (9)	0 : 2
8	Nardi L.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Auger-Aliassime F. (23)	2 : 0
2	Atmane T.	Rune H. (7)	2 : 0
3	Shelton B. (5)	Zverev A. (3)	0 : 2
4	Rublev A. (9)	Alcaraz C. (2)	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Atmane T.	2 : 0
2	Zverev A. (3)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

Final

1

Sinner J. (RET.) (1)

Alcaraz C. (2)

0 : 0

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