Result
2:0
16/05/2025 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - Semi-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 66% | 72% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 66% (31/47) | 61% (41/67) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (11/24) | 27% (7/26) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 64% (9/14) |
| Average 1st Serve Speed |
|---|
| 185 km/h | 188 km/h |
| Average 2nd Serve Speed |
|---|
| 160 km/h | 164 km/h |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (26/67) | 34% (16/47) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 73% (19/26) | 54% (13/24) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 38% (3/8) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 42 | 44 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 83% (5/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (42/71) | 52% (48/93) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (45/93) | 41% (29/71) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (87/164) | 47% (77/164) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 55% (6/11) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 30% (3/10) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 43% (9/21) |
Chances of winning
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
70.9% | Lorenzo Musetti
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Lorenzo Musetti Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↑
(1.33) |
|
3.26 ↓
(3.33) |
4.6%
(5.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Lorenzo Musetti?
The most likely score is 2:0.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 3. Musetti is ranked ATP: 9.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 4.
- Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
- Alcaraz Garfia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the team to beat.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Carlos Alcaraz Garfia won against Lorenzo Musetti?
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorenzo Musetti won against Carlos Alcaraz Garfia?
Lorenzo Musetti has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Lorenzo Musetti were as follows:
13.04.2025
Lorenzo Musetti
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
1:2
26.03.2024
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
-
Lorenzo Musetti
2:0
01.10.2023
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
-
Lorenzo Musetti
2:0
04.06.2023
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
-
Lorenzo Musetti
3:0
Latest results of Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
Latest results of Lorenzo Musetti
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Navone M. | Cina F. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | De Jong J. (LL) | Shevchenko A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Davidovich Fokina A. (25) | |
| 5 | Cerundolo F. (17) | Bye | |
| 6 | Gaston H. | Jarry N. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Carballes Baena R. (RET.) | Ofner S. (Q) | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Tiafoe F. (15) | |
| 9 | Shelton B. (12) | Bye | |
| 10 | Barrios Vera T. (Q) | Munar J. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Vukic A. | Moreno De Alboran N. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Korda S. (22) | |
| 13 | Berrettini M. (29) | Bye | |
| 14 | Fearnley J. | Fognini F. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Bublik A. | Safiullin R. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Ruud C. (6) | |
| 17 | Fritz T. (4) | Bye | |
| 18 | Diallo G. | Giron M. | 1 : 2 |
| 19 | Bellucci M. | Martinez P. | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Hurkacz H. (30) | |
| 21 | Mensik J. (20) | Bye | |
| 22 | Rinderknech A. | Gigante M. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Marozsan F. | Fonseca J. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Rublev A. (16) | |
| 25 | Paul T. (11) | Bye | |
| 26 | Arnaldi M. | Bautista-Agut R. | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Tien L. | Opelka R. (PR) | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | Machac T. (19) | |
| 29 | Dellien H. (LL) | Bye | |
| 30 | Borges N. | Seyboth Wild T. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Nardi L. (WC) | Cobolli F. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Bye | De Minaur A. (7) | |
| 33 | Draper J. (5) | Bye | |
| 34 | Bu Y. | Darderi L. | 0 : 2 |
| 35 | Kopriva V. (Q) | Halys Q. | 2 : 0 |
| 36 | Bye | Baez S. (32) | |
| 37 | Humbert U. (21) | Bye | |
| 38 | Hijikata R. | Moutet C. | 1 : 2 |
| 39 | Altmaier D. | Comesana F. | 0 : 2 |
| 40 | Bye | Rune H. (9) | |
| 41 | Dimitrov G. (14) | Bye | |
| 42 | Passaro F. (WC) | Tseng C. H. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 43 | Sonego L. | Burruchaga R. A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 44 | Bye | Khachanov K. (23) | |
| 45 | Michelsen A. (31) | Bye | |
| 46 | Djere L. | Etcheverry T. M. | 2 : 0 |
| 47 | Nishioka Y. | Lajovic D. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 48 | Bye | Alcaraz C. (3) | |
| 49 | Musetti L. (8) | Bye | |
| 50 | Medjedovic H. | Virtanen O. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 51 | Thompson J. | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 2 : 1 |
| 52 | Bye | Nakashima B. (28) | |
| 53 | Popyrin A. (24) | Bye | |
| 54 | Taberner C. (Q) | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 1 |
| 55 | O'Connell C. | Norrie C. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 56 | Bye | Medvedev D. (10) | |
| 57 | Fils A. (13) | Bye | |
| 58 | Griekspoor T. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 59 | Lehecka J. | Muller A. | 1 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Tsitsipas S. (18) | |
| 61 | Shapovalov D. (27) | Bye | |
| 62 | Gaubas V. (Q) | Dzumhur D. | 2 : 1 |
| 63 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Carreno-Busta P. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 64 | Bye | Zverev A. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Navone M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | De Jong J. | Davidovich Fokina A. (25) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Cerundolo F. (17) | Jarry N. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Ofner S. | Tiafoe F. (15) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Shelton B. (12) | Munar J. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Vukic A. | Korda S. (22) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Berrettini M. (29) | Fearnley J. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bublik A. | Ruud C. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Fritz T. (4) | Giron M. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Martinez P. | Hurkacz H. (30) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Mensik J. (20) | Gigante M. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Marozsan F. | Rublev A. (16) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Paul T. (11) | Bautista-Agut R. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Tien L. | Machac T. (19) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Dellien H. | Seyboth Wild T. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Nardi L. | De Minaur A. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Draper J. (5) | Darderi L. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Kopriva V. | Baez S. (32) | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Humbert U. (RET.) (21) | Moutet C. | 0 : 1 |
| 20 | Comesana F. | Rune H. (9) | 1 : 2 |
| 21 | Dimitrov G. (14) | Passaro F. | 0 : 2 |
| 22 | Burruchaga R. A. | Khachanov K. (23) | 1 : 2 |
| 23 | Michelsen A. (31) | Djere L. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Lajovic D. | Alcaraz C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Musetti L. (8) | Virtanen O. | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Thompson J. | Nakashima B. (WO.) (28) | |
| 27 | Popyrin A. (24) | Taberner C. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Norrie C. | Medvedev D. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Fils A. (13) | Griekspoor T. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Muller A. | Tsitsipas S. (18) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Shapovalov D. (27) | Gaubas V. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Zverev A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | De Jong J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Cerundolo F. (17) | Ofner S. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Munar J. | Korda S. (22) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Berrettini M. (RET.) (29) | Ruud C. (6) | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Giron M. | Hurkacz H. (30) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Mensik J. (20) | Marozsan F. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Paul T. (11) | Machac T. (19) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Dellien H. | De Minaur A. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Draper J. (5) | Kopriva V. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Moutet C. | Rune H. (9) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Passaro F. | Khachanov K. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Djere L. | Alcaraz C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Musetti L. (8) | Nakashima B. (28) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Popyrin A. (24) | Medvedev D. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Fils A. (13) | Tsitsipas S. (18) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Gaubas V. | Zverev A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Cerundolo F. (17) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Munar J. | Ruud C. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Hurkacz H. (30) | Mensik J. (20) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Paul T. (11) | De Minaur A. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Draper J. (5) | Moutet C. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Khachanov K. (23) | Alcaraz C. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Musetti L. (8) | Medvedev D. (10) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Fils A. (13) | Zverev A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Ruud C. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Hurkacz H. (30) | Paul T. (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Draper J. (5) | Alcaraz C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Musetti L. (8) | Zverev A. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Paul T. (11) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Alcaraz C. (3) | Musetti L. (8) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Alcaraz C. (3) | |
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