Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Brandon Nakashima: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Tokyo Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Brandon Nakashima
Result
2:0
28/09/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - Quarter-finals
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Brandon Nakashima - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
13
Double Faults
10
1st Serve Percentage
67%72%
1st Serve Points Won
83% (25/30)70% (32/46)
2nd Serve Points Won
80% (12/15)28% (5/18)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)57% (4/7)
1st Return Points Won
33% (15/46)17% (5/30)
2nd Return Points Won
72% (13/18)20% (3/15)
Break Points Converted
43% (3/7)0% (0/0)
Service Points Won
82% (37/45)58% (37/64)
Return Points Won
42% (27/64)18% (8/45)
Total Points Won
59% (64/109)41% (45/109)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
03
Service Games Won
100% (9/9)67% (6/9)
Return Games Won
33% (3/9)0% (0/9)
Total Games Won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
90.1%
Brandon Nakashima
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
88.1% 11.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Brandon Nakashima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.06
    (1.08)

    10.26
    (8)
    4.4%
    (5.1%)
    What is the prediction for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Brandon Nakashima?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Nakashima will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nakashima (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 33.
    • Right now, both players are showing solid form.
    • Nakashima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    Latest results of Brandon Nakashima
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.2 : 0
    2Bergs Z.Tabilo A.2 : 1
    3Thompson J.Nakashima B.1 : 2
    4Fucsovics M. (Q)Tiafoe F. (8)2 : 1
    5Ruud C. (4)Mochizuki S. (WC)2 : 1
    6Munar J.Berrettini M.0 : 2
    7Dzumhur D.Vukic A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Altmaier D.Shapovalov D. (7)2 : 0
    9Humbert U. (6)Brooksby J. (PR)0 : 2
    10Nishioka Y. (WC)Darderi L.0 : 2
    11Michelsen A.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    12Medjedovic H.Rune H. (3)0 : 2
    13Machac T. (5)Shimabukuro S. (Q)0 : 2
    14Giron M.Korda S.1 : 2
    15Watanuki Y. (WC)Borges N.1 : 2
    16Diallo G.Fritz T. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    2Nakashima B.Fucsovics M.2 : 0
    3Ruud C. (4)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    4Vukic A.Altmaier D.2 : 0
    5Brooksby J.Darderi L.2 : 0
    6Quinn E.Rune H. (3)0 : 2
    7Shimabukuro S.Korda S.0 : 2
    8Borges N.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    2Ruud C. (4)Vukic A.2 : 0
    3Brooksby J.Rune H. (3)2 : 0
    4Korda S.Fritz T. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Ruud C. (4)2 : 1
    2Brooksby J.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fritz T. (2)2 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Brandon Nakashima?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
    germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis
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