Arthur Rinderknech vs Carlos Alcaraz Garfia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

31/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY).

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats


Aces
11	6
Double Faults
4	1
1st Serve Percentage
58%	62%
1st Serve Points Won
79% (41/52)	85% (45/53)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (18/38)	76% (25/33)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)	100% (2/2)
Average 1st Serve Speed
188 km/h	187 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
166 km/h	157 km/h
1st Return Points Won
19% (10/53)	21% (11/52)
2nd Return Points Won
24% (8/33)	53% (20/38)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/2)	40% (2/5)
Winners
25	36
Unforced Errors
28	11
Net Points Won
53% (17/32)	78% (18/23)
Service Points Won
66% (59/89)	81% (70/86)
Return Points Won
19% (16/86)	34% (30/89)
Total Points Won
43% (75/175)	57% (100/175)
Last 10 Balls
2	8
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
87% (13/15)	100% (16/16)
Return Games Won
0% (0/16)	13% (2/15)
Total Games Won
42% (13/31)	58% (18/31)
Distance Covered (metres)
891	935

Chances of winning

Arthur Rinderknech
6.5%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
93.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.3%

88.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Rinderknech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Arthur Rinderknech - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.37 ↑ (8.1)		1.02 ↓ (1.03)	5.2% (9.4%)

What is the prediction for Arthur Rinderknech - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Rinderknech will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:3.

Preview Facts

Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 82. Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 2.
Now, both players are in good form.
In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rinderknech won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Arthur Rinderknech won against Carlos Alcaraz Garfia?

Arthur Rinderknech has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Carlos Alcaraz Garfia won against Arthur Rinderknech?

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Arthur Rinderknech - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia were as follows:

20.06.2025 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Rinderknech 2:0

20.06.2023 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Rinderknech 2:1

Latest results of Arthur Rinderknech

29.08.2025 Benjamin Bonzi - Arthur Rinderknech 1:3 ✺

27.08.2025 Arthur Rinderknech - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 3:2 ✺

24.08.2025 Roberto Carballes Baena - Arthur Rinderknech 1:3 ✺

17.08.2025 Hamad Medjedovic - Arthur Rinderknech 2:0 ✺

11.08.2025 Arthur Rinderknech - Felix Aliassime-Auger Rinderknech A. retired ✺

Latest results of Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

29.08.2025 Luciano Darderi - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 0:3 ✺

27.08.2025 Mattia Bellucci - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 0:3 ✺

25.08.2025 Reilly Opelka - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 0:3 ✺

18.08.2025 Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Sinner J. retired ✺

16.08.2025 Alexander Zverev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Kopriva V.	3 : 0
2	Popyrin A.	Ruusuvuori E.	3 : 0
3	Royer V. (WC)	Bu Y.	3 : 0
4	Fucsovics M.	Shapovalov D. (27)	0 : 3
5	Bublik A. (23)	Cilic M.	3 : 0
6	Sonego L.	Schoolkate T. (WC)	2 : 3
7	Borges N.	Holt B.	3 : 0
8	Moller E.	Paul T. (14)	0 : 3
9	Musetti L. (10)	Mpetshi Perricard G.	3 : 1
10	Halys Q.	Goffin D.	1 : 3
11	Brooksby J.	Vukic A.	3 : 2
12	Passaro F. (Q)	Cobolli F. (24)	2 : 3
13	Diallo G. (31)	Dzumhur D.	3 : 1
14	Munar J.	Faria J. (LL)	3 : 1
15	Bergs Z.	Tseng C. H.	3 : 0
16	Gomez F. A. (Q)	Draper J. (5)	1 : 3
17	Zverev A. (3)	Tabilo A.	3 : 0
18	Bautista-Agut R.	Fearnley J.	1 : 3
19	Monfils G.	Safiullin R.	2 : 3
20	Harris B. (LL)	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	0 : 3
21	Humbert U. (22)	Walton A.	1 : 3
22	Kovacevic A.	Wong C. (Q)	0 : 3
23	Duckworth J. (LL)	Boyer T. (WC)	0 : 3
24	Prizmic D. (Q)	Rublev A. (15)	0 : 3
25	Khachanov K. (9)	Basavareddy N. (WC)	3 : 1
26	Dellien H.	Majchrzak K.	1 : 3
27	Riedi L. (Q)	Martinez P.	3 : 0
28	Arnaldi M.	Cerundolo F. (19)	2 : 3
29	Tsitsipas S. (26)	Muller A.	3 : 1
30	Altmaier D.	Medjedovic H.	3 : 2
31	Gaston H.	Mochizuki S. (Q)	0 : 3
32	O'Connell C.	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 3
33	Djokovic N. (7)	Tien L.	3 : 0
34	Svajda Z. (Q)	Piros Z. (Q)	3 : 0
35	Norrie C.	Korda S. (RET.)	2 : 0
36	Comesana F.	Michelsen A. (28)	3 : 1
37	Tiafoe F. (17)	Nishioka Y.	3 : 0
38	Damm M. (Q)	Blanch Dar. (WC)	3 : 0
39	Struff J-L. (Q)	McDonald M.	3 : 1
40	Van De Zandschulp B.	Rune H. (11)	0 : 3
41	Mensik J. (16)	Jarry N.	3 : 0
42	Blanchet U. (Q)	Marozsan F.	3 : 1
43	Fonseca J.	Kecmanovic M.	3 : 0
44	Nardi L.	Machac T. (21)	0 : 3
45	Nakashima B. (30)	De Jong J. (Q)	3 : 2
46	Kym J. (Q)	Quinn E.	3 : 1
47	Baez S.	Harris L. (Q)	0 : 3
48	Nava E. (WC)	Fritz T. (4)	0 : 3
49	Shelton B. (6)	Buse I. (Q)	3 : 0
50	Carreno-Busta P.	Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)	3 : 0
51	Thompson J.	Moutet C.	3 : 1
52	Mannarino A.	Griekspoor T. (29)	3 : 0
53	Lehecka J. (20)	Coric B.	3 : 1
54	Ugo Carabelli C.	Etcheverry T. M.	0 : 3
55	Galan D. E. (Alt)	Collignon R.	0 : 3
56	Ofner S.	Ruud C. (12)	0 : 3
57	Medvedev D. (13)	Bonzi B.	2 : 3
58	Navone M.	Giron M.	2 : 3
59	Carballes Baena R.	Rinderknech A.	1 : 3
60	Shevchenko A.	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	0 : 3
61	Darderi L. (32)	Hijikata R.	3 : 0
62	Dostanic S. (WC)	Spizzirri E. (WC)	0 : 3
63	Bellucci M.	Shang J. (RET.)	2 : 1
64	Opelka R.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

1/32-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Popyrin A.	3 : 0
2	Royer V.	Shapovalov D. (27)	1 : 3
3	Bublik A. (23)	Schoolkate T.	3 : 0
4	Borges N.	Paul T. (14)	2 : 3
5	Musetti L. (10)	Goffin D.	3 : 0
6	Brooksby J.	Cobolli F. (24)	2 : 3
7	Diallo G. (31)	Munar J.	0 : 3
8	Bergs Z. (WO.)	Draper J. (5)
9	Zverev A. (3)	Fearnley J.	3 : 0
10	Safiullin R.	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	0 : 3
11	Walton A.	Wong C.	1 : 3
12	Boyer T.	Rublev A. (15)	1 : 3
13	Khachanov K. (9)	Majchrzak K.	2 : 3
14	Riedi L.	Cerundolo F. (19)	3 : 2
15	Tsitsipas S. (26)	Altmaier D.	2 : 3
16	Mochizuki S.	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 3
17	Djokovic N. (7)	Svajda Z.	3 : 1
18	Norrie C.	Comesana F.	3 : 1
19	Tiafoe F. (17)	Damm M.	3 : 1
20	Struff J-L.	Rune H. (11)	3 : 2
21	Mensik J. (16)	Blanchet U.	2 : 3
22	Fonseca J.	Machac T. (21)	0 : 3
23	Nakashima B. (30)	Kym J.	2 : 3
24	Harris L.	Fritz T. (4)	1 : 3
25	Shelton B. (6)	Carreno-Busta P.	3 : 0
26	Thompson J.	Mannarino A.	1 : 3
27	Lehecka J. (20)	Etcheverry T. M.	3 : 1
28	Collignon R.	Ruud C. (12)	3 : 2
29	Bonzi B.	Giron M.	3 : 2
30	Rinderknech A.	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	3 : 2
31	Darderi L. (32)	Spizzirri E.	3 : 1
32	Bellucci M.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

1/16-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Shapovalov D. (27)	3 : 1
2	Bublik A. (23)	Paul T. (14)	3 : 2
3	Musetti L. (10)	Cobolli F. (RET.) (24)	2 : 0
4	Munar J.	Bergs Z.	3 : 0
5	Zverev A. (3)	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	1 : 3
6	Wong C.	Rublev A. (15)	2 : 3
7	Majchrzak K. (RET.)	Riedi L.	0 : 0
8	Altmaier D. (RET.)	De Minaur A. (8)	1 : 2
9	Djokovic N. (7)	Norrie C.	3 : 1
10	Tiafoe F. (17)	Struff J-L.	0 : 3
11	Blanchet U.	Machac T. (21)	0 : 3
12	Kym J.	Fritz T. (4)	1 : 3
13	Shelton B. (RET.) (6)	Mannarino A.	2 : 2
14	Lehecka J. (20)	Collignon R.	3 : 0
15	Bonzi B.	Rinderknech A.	1 : 3
16	Darderi L. (32)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

1/8-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Bublik A. (23)	3 : 0
2	Musetti L. (10)	Munar J.	3 : 0
3	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	Rublev A. (15)	3 : 0
4	Riedi L.	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 3
5	Djokovic N. (7)	Struff J-L.	3 : 0
6	Machac T. (21)	Fritz T. (4)	0 : 3
7	Mannarino A.	Lehecka J. (20)	1 : 3
8	Rinderknech A.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

Quarter-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Musetti L. (10)	3 : 0
2	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	De Minaur A. (8)	3 : 1
3	Djokovic N. (7)	Fritz T. (4)	3 : 1
4	Lehecka J. (20)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

Semi-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	3 : 1
2	Djokovic N. (7)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

Final

1

Sinner J. (1)

Alcaraz C. (2)

1 : 3

Which TV channels are streaming of Arthur Rinderknech - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


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Sweden	HBO Max