Result
3:0
27/01/2026 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - Quarter-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 58% | 55% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 77% (37/48) | 59% (30/51) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 54% (19/35) | 38% (16/42) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 56% (9/16) |
| Average 1st serve speed |
|---|
| 190 km/h | 187 km/h |
| Average 2nd serve speed |
|---|
| 161 km/h | 159 km/h |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 41% (21/51) | 23% (11/48) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 62% (26/42) | 46% (16/35) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 29% (2/7) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 32 | 29 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 82% (18/22) | 64% (14/22) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (56/83) | 49% (46/93) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (47/93) | 33% (27/83) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (103/176) | 41% (73/176) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 46% (6/13) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 14% (2/14) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 70% (19/27) | 30% (8/27) |
Chances of winning
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
82.5% | Alex De Minaur
17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alex De Minaur Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.16 ↓
(1.19) |
|
5.45 ↑
(4.69) |
4.3%
(5.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alex De Minaur?
- Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). De Minaur will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alcaraz Garfia: 53.9% – 93.5%. - High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 5 - 71.4%). De Minaur (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
- Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
- O/U 27.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 26.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +2.5 Sets - Alcaraz Garfia (1.02) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -2.5 Sets - De Minaur (1.70) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 28.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 29.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 30.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 31 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 32 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 31.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 35.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 7 - 58.3%). De Minaur (votes: 5 - 41.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
Preview Facts
- Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 6.
- Alcaraz Garfia has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- De Minaur is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Alcaraz Garfia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Carlos Alcaraz Garfia won against Alex De Minaur?
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alex De Minaur won against Carlos Alcaraz Garfia?
Alex De Minaur has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alex De Minaur were as follows:
09.11.2025
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
-
Alex De Minaur
2:0
18.04.2025
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
-
Alex De Minaur
2:0
09.02.2025
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
-
Alex De Minaur
2:1
25.06.2023
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
-
Alex De Minaur
2:0
Latest results of Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
Latest results of Alex De Minaur
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Walton A. | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Hanfmann Y. | Svajda Z. (Q) | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Zheng M. (Q) | Korda S. | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Schoolkate T. | Moutet C. (32) | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Paul T. (19) | Kovacevic A. | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Tirante T. A. | Vukic A. | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Budkov Kjaer N. (Q) | Opelka R. | 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Misolic F. | Davidovich Fokina A. (14) | 0 : 3 |
| 9 | Bublik A. (10) | Brooksby J. | 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Fucsovics M. | 0 : 3 |
| 11 | Kecmanovic M. | Etcheverry T. M. | 2 : 3 |
| 12 | Fery A. (Q) | Cobolli F. (20) | 3 : 0 |
| 13 | Tiafoe F. (29) | Kubler J. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Kypson P. (WC) | Comesana F. | 1 : 3 |
| 15 | Navone M. | Medjedovic H. | 1 : 3 |
| 16 | McDonald M. (LL) | De Minaur A. (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 17 | Zverev A. (3) | Diallo G. | 3 : 1 |
| 18 | Popyrin A. | Muller A. | 2 : 3 |
| 19 | Nava E. | Jacquet K. (WC) | 3 : 2 |
| 20 | Bonzi B. | Norrie C. (26) | 2 : 3 |
| 21 | Cerundolo F. (18) | Zhang Z. | 3 : 0 |
| 22 | Draxl L. (Q) | Dzumhur D. | 0 : 3 |
| 23 | Blockx A. (LL) | Faria J. (Q) | 1 : 3 |
| 24 | Arnaldi M. | Rublev A. (13) | 0 : 3 |
| 25 | Medvedev D. (11) | De Jong J. | 3 : 0 |
| 26 | Halys Q. | Tabilo A. | 3 : 0 |
| 27 | Majchrzak K. | Fearnley J. | 3 : 1 |
| 28 | Marozsan F. | Rinderknech A. (24) | 3 : 1 |
| 29 | Tien L. (25) | Giron M. | 3 : 2 |
| 30 | Ymer E. (Q) | Shevchenko A. | 1 : 3 |
| 31 | Cerundolo J. M. | Thompson J. (WC) | 1 : 3 |
| 32 | Borges N. | Auger-Aliassime F. (RET.) (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 33 | Musetti L. (5) | Collignon R. (RET.) | 2 : 1 |
| 34 | Sonego L. | Taberner C. | 3 : 0 |
| 35 | Dimitrov G. | Machac T. | 0 : 3 |
| 36 | Mochizuki S. | Tsitsipas S. (31) | 1 : 3 |
| 37 | Lehecka J. (17) | Gea A. (Q) | 0 : 3 |
| 38 | Djere L. | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 1 : 3 |
| 39 | Kopriva V. | Struff J-L. | 3 : 2 |
| 40 | Royer V. | Fritz T. (9) | 1 : 3 |
| 41 | Mensik J. (16) | Carreno-Busta P. | 3 : 2 |
| 42 | Sakamoto R. (Q) | Jodar R. (Q) | 2 : 3 |
| 43 | Hurkacz H. | Bergs Z. | 3 : 1 |
| 44 | Quinn E. | Griekspoor T. (23) | 3 : 0 |
| 45 | Nakashima B. (27) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 1 : 3 |
| 46 | Shang J. | Bautista-Agut R. | 3 : 1 |
| 47 | Atmane T. | Maestrelli F. (Q) | 2 : 3 |
| 48 | Martinez P. | Djokovic N. (4) | 0 : 3 |
| 49 | Shelton B. (8) | Humbert U. | 3 : 0 |
| 50 | Sweeny D. (Q) | Monfils G. | 3 : 1 |
| 51 | Mannarino A. | Hijikata R. (WC) | 0 : 3 |
| 52 | Damm M. (Q) | Vacherot V. (30) | 0 : 3 |
| 53 | Shapovalov D. (21) | Bu Y. (WC) | 3 : 0 |
| 54 | Altmaier D. | Cilic M. | 0 : 3 |
| 55 | Munar J. | Svrcina D. | 3 : 2 |
| 56 | Bellucci M. | Ruud C. (12) | 0 : 3 |
| 57 | Khachanov K. (15) | Michelsen A. | 3 : 2 |
| 58 | O'Connell C. (WC) | Basavareddy N. (Q) | 2 : 3 |
| 59 | Mpetshi Perricard G. | Baez S. | 2 : 3 |
| 60 | Garin C. | Darderi L. (22) | 0 : 3 |
| 61 | Fonseca J. (28) | Spizzirri E. | 1 : 3 |
| 62 | Nardi L. | Wu Y. (Q) | 1 : 3 |
| 63 | Duckworth J. (WC) | Prizmic D. (LL) | 3 : 2 |
| 64 | Gaston H. (RET.) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Hanfmann Y. | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Zheng M. (RET.) | Moutet C. (32) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Paul T. (19) | Tirante T. A. | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Opelka R. | Davidovich Fokina A. (14) | 2 : 3 |
| 5 | Bublik A. (10) | Fucsovics M. | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Etcheverry T. M. | Fery A. | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Tiafoe F. (29) | Comesana F. | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Medjedovic H. | De Minaur A. (6) | 1 : 3 |
| 9 | Zverev A. (3) | Muller A. | 3 : 1 |
| 10 | Nava E. | Norrie C. (26) | 1 : 3 |
| 11 | Cerundolo F. (18) | Dzumhur D. | 3 : 0 |
| 12 | Faria J. | Rublev A. (13) | 1 : 3 |
| 13 | Medvedev D. (11) | Halys Q. | 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Majchrzak K. | Marozsan F. | 0 : 3 |
| 15 | Tien L. (25) | Shevchenko A. | 3 : 1 |
| 16 | Thompson J. | Borges N. | 1 : 3 |
| 17 | Musetti L. (5) | Sonego L. | 3 : 0 |
| 18 | Machac T. | Tsitsipas S. (31) | 3 : 1 |
| 19 | Gea A. | Wawrinka S. | 2 : 3 |
| 20 | Kopriva V. | Fritz T. (9) | 0 : 3 |
| 21 | Mensik J. (16) | Jodar R. | 3 : 0 |
| 22 | Hurkacz H. | Quinn E. | 0 : 3 |
| 23 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Shang J. | 3 : 0 |
| 24 | Maestrelli F. | Djokovic N. (4) | 0 : 3 |
| 25 | Shelton B. (8) | Sweeny D. | 3 : 0 |
| 26 | Hijikata R. | Vacherot V. (30) | 1 : 3 |
| 27 | Shapovalov D. (21) | Cilic M. | 0 : 3 |
| 28 | Munar J. | Ruud C. (12) | 0 : 3 |
| 29 | Khachanov K. (15) | Basavareddy N. | 3 : 0 |
| 30 | Baez S. | Darderi L. (22) | 1 : 3 |
| 31 | Spizzirri E. | Wu Y. | 3 : 2 |
| 32 | Duckworth J. | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 3 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Moutet C. (32) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Paul T. (19) | Davidovich Fokina A. (RET.) (14) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Bublik A. (10) | Etcheverry T. M. | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Tiafoe F. (29) | De Minaur A. (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Zverev A. (3) | Norrie C. (26) | 3 : 1 |
| 6 | Cerundolo F. (18) | Rublev A. (13) | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Medvedev D. (11) | Marozsan F. | 3 : 2 |
| 8 | Tien L. (25) | Borges N. | 3 : 0 |
| 9 | Musetti L. (5) | Machac T. | 3 : 2 |
| 10 | Wawrinka S. | Fritz T. (9) | 1 : 3 |
| 11 | Mensik J. (16) | Quinn E. | 3 : 0 |
| 12 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Djokovic N. (4) | 0 : 3 |
| 13 | Shelton B. (8) | Vacherot V. (30) | 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Cilic M. | Ruud C. (12) | 1 : 3 |
| 15 | Khachanov K. (15) | Darderi L. (22) | 1 : 3 |
| 16 | Spizzirri E. | Sinner J. (2) | 1 : 3 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Paul T. (19) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Bublik A. (10) | De Minaur A. (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Zverev A. (3) | Cerundolo F. (18) | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Medvedev D. (11) | Tien L. (25) | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Musetti L. (5) | Fritz T. (9) | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Mensik J. (16) | Djokovic N. (WO.) (4) | |
| 7 | Shelton B. (8) | Ruud C. (12) | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Darderi L. (22) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | De Minaur A. (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Zverev A. (3) | Tien L. (25) | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Musetti L. (RET.) (5) | Djokovic N. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Shelton B. (8) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Zverev A. (3) | 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Djokovic N. (4) | Sinner J. (2) | 3 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Djokovic N. (4) | 3 : 1 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alex De Minaur?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN |
 Belgium | HBO Max, HBO Max |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | HBO Max |
 Brazil | ESPN |
 Bulgaria | HBO Max |
 Canada | RDS App |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | HBO Max |
 Czech-republic | HBO Max |
 Denmark | HBO Max |
 Finland | HBO Max |
 France | HBO Max |
 Hungary | HBO Max |
 Mexico | ESPN |
 Moldova | HBO Max |
 Montenegro | HBO Max |
 Netherlands | HBO Max |
 North-macedonia | HBO Max |
 Norway | HBO Max |
 Peru | ESPN |
 Poland | HBO Max |
 Romania | HBO Max |
 Serbia | HBO Max |
 Slovenia | HBO Max |
 Spain | HBO Max |
 Sweden | HBO Max |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ |
 Usa | ESPN USA |
 Venezuela | ESPN |
