Result
1:5
01/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League Two - Round 30
- Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Carlisle United - Swindon Town live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 2.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 24 | 26 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (387/467) | 72% (246/340) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 66% (77/116) | 59% (67/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (8/34) | 16% (3/19) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 85% (11/13) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 29 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', Clarke O. ↓, Drinan A. ↑,
- 36', Jones J. 🟨,
- 45+2', 0 - 1, Butterworth D. ⚽, Nichols T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 4)
- 47', 0 - 2, Drinan A. ⚽,
- 54', Embleton E. ↓, Scott C. ↑,
- 62', Nichols T. ↓, Cotterill J. ↑,
- 64', Smith H. 🟨,
- 67', Jones J. 🟨,
- 67', 🟨,
- 70', Patching W. ↓, Bevan J. ↑,
- 74', Smith H. ↓, Westley J. ↑,
- 74', Ofoborh N. ↓, Tshimanga K. ↑,
- 75', Butterworth D. ↓, Glatzel P. ↑,
- 80', Whelan C. ↓, Robson E. ↑,
- 81', Harris K. ↓, Fusire S. ↑,
- 83', 0 - 3, Westley J. ⚽, Glatzel P. (A),
- 88', 1 - 3, Hugill J. ⚽, Williams J. (A),
- 89', Delaney R. 🟨,
- 90', 1 - 4, Glatzel P. ⚽, Tshimanga K. (A),
- 90+7', 1 - 5, Wright W. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Carlisle United
37.2% | Draw
29.4% | Swindon Town
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlisle United's form might have worsened.Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Swindon Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlisle United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Swindon Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Carlisle United - Swindon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↑
(2.1) |
3.2 ↓
(3.41) |
2.83 ↓
(3.31) |
6.1%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Carlisle United - Swindon Town?
Users Predictions:
Swindon Town will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 16).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 3.
- Carlisle is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Swindon is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Swindon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Carlisle have a series of guest games.
- Recently Swindon have a series of home games.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 21:22 (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Swindon Town?
Carlisle United has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Carlisle United?
Swindon Town has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Swindon Town were as follows:
21.09.2024
Swindon Town
-
Carlisle United
0:2
11.03.2023
Swindon Town
-
Carlisle United
1:2
Latest results of Carlisle United
Latest results of Swindon Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gillingham | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Chesterfield | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Bromley | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Crewe | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Swindon | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Walsall | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | MK Dons | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 | Fleetwood | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Cambridge Utd | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 11 | Salford | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Tranmere | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 8 |
| 13 | Notts Co | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 8 |
| 14 | Harrogate | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
| 15 | Barnet | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Colchester | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 18 | Barrow | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 19 | Oldham | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 | Newport | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 21 | Accrington | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 22 | Crawley | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 2 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:12 | -10 | 2 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:12 | -10 | 1 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Which TV channels are streaming of Carlisle United - Swindon Town?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
