Sutton United vs Carlisle United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Sutton United - Carlisle United
Result
1:1
08/05/2023 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 46
  • Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)
Sutton United - Carlisle United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Highlights

Chances of winning


Sutton United
28.3%
Draw
28.3%
Carlisle United
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.9% 30.2% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1% 30.4% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sutton United's form might have worsened.
  • Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carlisle United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sutton United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carlisle United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sutton United - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.32
    (2.6)
    3.3
    (3)
    2.16
    (2.6)
    6.8%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Sutton United - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: Carlisle United will win (29 of 34 users predict this - 85.29%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.38%97.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Sutton has the most likely position - 14 (42.03%), project points - 58, currently - 57, not chance of relegated, not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • Carlisle has the most likely position - 5 (52.7%), project points - 77, currently - 75, not chance of relegated, a very good chance of prom. playoffs (>99%), a chance of promoted (21%), not chance of win league.
    • Sutton has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Carlisle is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Carlisle will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Carlisle to win the game is with odds 2.16.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Sutton won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sutton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sutton United - Carlisle United were as follows:
    03.12.2022 Carlisle United - Sutton United 1:1
    Latest results of Sutton United
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Crewe540110:3712
    2Chesterfield54019:6312
    3MK Dons532010:2811
    4Grimsby532010:5511
    5Gillingham53208:3511
    6Bromley52308:539
    7Walsall53025:419
    8Swindon53028:809
    9Salford53026:609
    10Tranmere42208:268
    11Harrogate52217:618
    12Fleetwood52218:808
    13Cambridge Utd52126:607
    14Barrow52034:5-16
    15Barnet52034:6-26
    16Notts Co51229:815
    17Colchester51225:6-15
    18Oldham50413:4-14
    19Newport51135:7-24
    20Bristol Rovers51133:6-34
    21Accrington40223:6-32
    22Crawley50142:9-71
    23Shrewsbury50142:12-101
    24Cheltenham50051:11-100

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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