Doncaster Rovers vs Carlisle United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Doncaster Rovers - Carlisle United
Result
3:0
29/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 39
  • Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
Doncaster Rovers - Carlisle United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.55
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
73% (247/338)75% (267/355)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.55
xG on target (xGOT)
2.160.37
Total shots
128
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
03
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2411
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
73% (247/338)75% (267/355)
Long passes
48% (32/67)33% (23/70)
Passes in final third
63% (102/163)65% (55/85)
Crosses
11% (2/18)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.28
Fouls
1111
Tackles
67% (12/18)75% (15/20)
Duels won
5757
Clearances Total
2435
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.372.16
Goals prevented
0.37-0.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Broadbent G. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Bailey O. , Gibson J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 63', Wearne S. , Kelly G. ,
  • 63', Dennis M. , Fusire S. ,
  • 68', 2 - 0, Gibson J. , Molyneux L. (A),
  • 69', Sterry J. 🟨,
  • 72', Street R. , Sharp B. ,
  • 72', Sbarra J. , Clifton H. ,
  • 74', 3 - 0, Clifton H. , Bailey O. (A),
  • 74', Vela J. , Embleton E. ,
  • 77', Molyneux L. , Ennis E. ,
  • 78', Wood R. , Kelly P. ,
  • 80', Bevan J. , Hugill J. ,
  • 82', Sterry J. , Nixon T. ,
  • 88', Harper C. , McArthur C. ,
  • 88', Broadbent G. , Westbrooke Z. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Doncaster Rovers
61.3%
Draw
22.9%
Carlisle United
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 24.6% 17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 23.5% 16.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Doncaster Rovers - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.62)
    4.1
    (3.79)
    5.94
    (5.3)
    6.5%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Doncaster Rovers - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: Doncaster Rovers will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.81%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Doncaster won 2.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Doncaster could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Carlisle have a series of home games.
    • In this match Doncaster is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Carlisle: Barclay B. (Inactive) Dummett P. (Hamstring Injury) McGeouch D. (Inactive) Williams J. (Injury) Wyke Ch. (Broken ankle)
    • There are questionable in Doncaster: Maxwell J. (Inactive) McGrath J. (Inactive) Olowu J. (Inactive) Sterry J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Carlisle: Hugill J. (Inactive)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Doncaster won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:12 (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Doncaster won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Doncaster Rovers - Carlisle United were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Carlisle United - Doncaster Rovers 0:0
    01.01.2023 Doncaster Rovers - Carlisle United 2:1
    15.10.2022 Carlisle United - Doncaster Rovers 3:0
    Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Crewe22005:146
    2Fleetwood22004:136
    3Chesterfield22003:036
    4Tranmere21105:144
    5Grimsby21106:334
    6MK Dons21102:024
    7Bromley21102:024
    8Harrogate21104:314
    9Newport21103:214
    10Gillingham21102:114
    11Swindon21014:403
    12Cambridge Utd21013:303
    13Walsall21012:203
    14Salford21013:4-13
    15Colchester20202:202
    16Oldham20201:102
    17Notts Co20112:3-11
    18Accrington20111:3-21
    19Shrewsbury20110:4-41
    20Bristol Rovers20021:3-20
    21Cheltenham20020:3-30
    22Barrow20020:3-30
    23Crawley20021:5-40
    24Barnet20020:4-40

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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