Derby County vs Carlisle United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Derby County - Carlisle United
Result
2:0
27/04/2024 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League One - Round 46
  • Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
Derby County - Carlisle United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.610.42
Ball Possession
46%54%
Goal Attempts
68
Shots on Goal
32
Shots off Goal
21
Blocked Shots
15
Corner Kicks
17
Offsides
20
Throw-ins
2828
Goalkeeper Saves
21
Fouls
1010
Yellow Cards
01
Attacks
100114
Dangerous Attacks
3540

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Bird M. , Wilson K. (A),
  • 41', Neal H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', 2 - 0, Collins J. , Bradley S. (A),
  • 70', Kelly G. , Gibson J. ,
  • 71', Sibley L. , Elder C. ,
  • 72', Wilson K. , Hourihane C. ,
  • 73', McGeouch D. , Diamond J. ,
  • 83', Mendez-Laing N. , Barkhuizen T. ,
  • 84', Bird M. , Thompson L. ,
  • 90+1', Bradley S. , Blackett-Taylor C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Derby County
78.5%
Draw
14.6%
Carlisle United
6.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
76.7% 15.4% 8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Derby County - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.2
    (1.22)
    6.46
    (6.11)
    13.74
    (11.76)
    6.4%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Derby County - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Carlisle will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 76.1%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Carlisle is Relegated to League Two
    • Derby is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Carlisle is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Derby is certain favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Derby won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Carlisle United were as follows:
    23.09.2023 Carlisle United - Derby County 0:2
    Latest results of Derby County
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff651011:11016
    2Doncaster75119:5416
    3Huddersfield750214:8615
    4Stevenage65019:4515
    5Bradford City742111:9214
    6Barnsley641111:7413
    7Luton64028:3512
    8Lincoln733110:8212
    9Stockport County732212:11111
    10Bolton72419:6310
    11Mansfield731311:9210
    12Leyton Orient73139:12-310
    13Exeter73049:729
    14Wigan723210:919
    15AFC Wimbledon73048:9-19
    16Northampton62134:6-27
    17Rotherham62135:8-37
    18Plymouth72058:15-76
    19Wycombe71247:9-25
    20Reading61235:9-45
    21Burton51135:9-44
    22Blackpool61147:13-64
    23Port Vale70254:9-52
    24Peterborough70164:14-101

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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