Result
2:5
25/02/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 34
- Referee: Howard P. (Eng)
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Chances of winning
Crawley Town
24.7% | Draw
28.3% | Carlisle United
47% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Crawley Town - Carlisle United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.77 ↑
(3.5) |
3.34 ↑
(3.2) |
2 ↓
(2.11) |
6.5%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Carlisle United?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Carlisle will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crawley: 13.8% – 69.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Crawley has the most likely position - 22 (22.02%), has project points - 47, has currently - 26, has a chance of relegated (16%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Carlisle has the most likely position - 5 (13.89%), has project points - 75, has currently - 55, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (51%), has a chance of promoted (32%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
- This event has small quality 10, importance 40, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Crawley won 1.
- Crawley is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Carlisle is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recently Carlisle have a series of home games.
- Carlisle will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 22 head-to-head matches Crawley won 2 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 19-32.
- Including matches at home between the teams Crawley won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-13.
How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Carlisle United?
Crawley Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Crawley Town?
Carlisle United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Carlisle United were as follows:
Latest results of Crawley Town
Latest results of Carlisle United
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crewe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Fleetwood | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Tranmere | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 4 |
| 5 | Grimsby | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | MK Dons | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Bromley | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Harrogate | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Newport | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Gillingham | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Swindon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Cambridge Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Walsall | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Salford | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Colchester | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Oldham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 17 | Notts Co | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 18 | Accrington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 1 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 21 | Cheltenham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 22 | Barrow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 23 | Crawley | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 24 | Barnet | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
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