Chesterfield vs Carlisle United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Chesterfield - Carlisle United
Result
2:1
01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 40
  • Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)
Chesterfield - Carlisle United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.780.44
Ball Possession
81%19%
Total shots
384
Shots on target
153
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
165
Passes
89% (605/678)49% (77/156)
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.780.44
xG on target (xGOT)
3.040.97
Total shots
384
Shots on target
153
Shots off target
141
Blocked Shots
90
Shots inside the Box
271
Shots outside the Box
113
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
165
Touches in opposition box
584
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
53
Passes
89% (605/678)49% (77/156)
Long passes
61% (52/85)28% (19/69)
Passes in final third
85% (207/244)30% (15/50)
Crosses
35% (9/26)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.830.07
Fouls
35
Tackles
75% (15/20)64% (16/25)
Duels won
5542
Clearances Total
1336
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
213
xGOT faced
0.973.04
Goals prevented
-0.031.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Fusire S. , Embleton E. ,
  • 40', Embleton E. 🟥,
  • 45+4', Lavelle S. , Ellis J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Kelly G. , Bevan J. ,
  • 70', Hugill J. 🟨,
  • 73', 1 - 0, Mandeville L. ,
  • 75', Grigg W. , Madden P. ,
  • 75', Fleck J. , Oldaker D. ,
  • 75', Whelan C. , Guy C. ,
  • 76', Vela J. , Barclay B. ,
  • 81', 2 - 0, Madden P. ,
  • 84', Dobra A. , Colclough R. ,
  • 84', Banks O. , Jacobs M. ,
  • 84', Olakigbe M. , Duffy D. ,
  • 89', 2 - 1, Hugill J. ,
  • 90+3', Thomas T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Chesterfield
54%
Draw
26.2%
Carlisle United
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.4% 24.2% 23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 23.7% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Chesterfield - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.78)
    3.6
    (3.85)
    4.71
    (4)
    6.2%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: Chesterfield will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Chesterfield in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Carlisle is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Chesterfield could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Chesterfield is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Chesterfield to win the game is with odds 1.75.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Chesterfield won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chesterfield - Carlisle United were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Carlisle United - Chesterfield 0:2
    Latest results of Chesterfield
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Crewe22005:146
    2Fleetwood22004:136
    3Chesterfield22003:036
    4Tranmere21105:144
    5Grimsby21106:334
    6MK Dons21102:024
    7Bromley21102:024
    8Harrogate21104:314
    9Newport21103:214
    10Gillingham21102:114
    11Swindon21014:403
    12Cambridge Utd21013:303
    13Walsall21012:203
    14Salford21013:4-13
    15Colchester20202:202
    16Oldham20201:102
    17Notts Co20112:3-11
    18Accrington20111:3-21
    19Shrewsbury20110:4-41
    20Bristol Rovers20021:3-20
    21Cheltenham20020:3-30
    22Barrow20020:3-30
    23Crawley20021:5-40
    24Barnet20020:4-40

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Chesterfield - Carlisle United?
    It is being streamed on channel
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
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