Cardiff City vs Swindon Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

12/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff).

: EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
Referee: Bell E. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.61	1.00
Ball Possession
73%	27%
Total shots
17	8
Shots on target
10	1
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
12	2
Passes
87% (519/595)	65% (141/216)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61	1.00
xG on target (xGOT)
2.51	0.27
Total shots
17	8
Shots on target
10	1
Shots off target
5	6
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
10	5
Shots outside the Box
7	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
12	2
Touches in opposition box
25	14
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
4	3
Free Kicks
14	7
Passes
87% (519/595)	65% (141/216)
Long passes
57% (34/60)	41% (23/56)
Passes in final third
81% (152/187)	46% (36/79)
Crosses
25% (4/16)	38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.14	0.32
Throw-ins
19	19
Fouls
7	14
Tackles
77% (10/13)	58% (11/19)
Duels won
45	44
Clearances
11	32
Interceptions
8	12
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	8
xGOT faced
0.27	2.51
Goals prevented
-0.73	0.51

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Ashford C. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 0, Colwill R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Wright W. ↓, Clarke O. ↑,
46', Wilson-Brown T. ↓, Munroe F. ↑,
46', Bodin B. ↓, Oldaker D. ↑,
50', Ripley C. ↓, Ward L. ↑,
52', Clarke O. 🟨,
55', 2 - 1, Ehibhatiomhan P. ⚽, Oldaker D. (A),
60', Kpakio R. 🟨,
68', Robinson C. ↓, Salech Y. ↑,
68', Davies I. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
77', Ehibhatiomhan P. ↓, Tabor J. ↑,
80', McGregor J. 🟨,
87', Colwill R. ↓, Colwill J. ↑,
87', Ashford C. ↓, Tanner O. ↑,
90+3', Turnbull D. ↓, King E. ↑,

Chances of winning

Cardiff City
53.1%

Draw
24.9%

Swindon Town
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

23.6%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Cardiff City - Swindon Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.59)	3.79 ↓ (3.91)	4.09 ↓ (5.01)	4.4% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Swindon Town?

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 24 - 96%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 88.3% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cardiff City will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
Swindon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Swindon has had a series of away games.
Cardiff is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Swindon Town?

Cardiff City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Cardiff City?

Swindon Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Swindon Town were as follows:

Latest results of Cardiff City

07.08.2025 Port Vale - Cardiff City 0:0 ✺

02.08.2025 Cardiff City - Peterborough United 2:1 ✺

26.07.2025 Notts County - Cardiff City 2:2 ✺

23.07.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Cardiff City 2:2 ✺

12.07.2025 Cardiff City - Southend United 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Swindon Town

09.08.2025 Swindon Town - Cambridge United 3:2 ✺

02.08.2025 Walsall - Swindon Town 2:1 ✺

26.07.2025 Eastleigh - Swindon Town 2:3 ✺

19.07.2025 Chippenham Town - Swindon Town 1:5 ✺

05.07.2025 Swindon Supermarine - Swindon Town 0:4 ✺

Draw

Main

1/64-finals

1	Birmingham	Sheffield Utd	2 : 1
2	Blackpool	Port Vale	0 : 1
4	Bye	Arsenal
5	Swansea	Crawley	3 : 1
6	Plymouth	QPR	3 : 2
8	Bye	Nottingham
9	Tranmere	Burton	1 : 2
10	Harrogate	Lincoln	1 : 3
12	Bye	Chelsea
13	Tottenham	Bye
15	Accrington	Peterborough	2 : 1
16	Middlesbrough	Doncaster	0 : 4
17	Bournemouth	Bye
18	Bye	Brentford
20	Bye	Aston Villa
21	Sunderland	Bye
22	Huddersfield	Leicester	3 : 2
24	Bye	Manchester City
25	Liverpool	Bye
27	Watford	Norwich	1 : 2
28	Northampton	Southampton	0 : 1
29	Newcastle	Bye
31	Stoke	Walsall	1 : 0
32	Blackburn	Bradford City	1 : 2
33	Bolton	Sheffield Wed	3 : 4
34	Bye	Leeds
35	Grimsby	Shrewsbury	3 : 1
36	Bye	Manchester Utd
37	Wolves	Bye
38	Bye	West Ham
39	Everton	Bye
40	Chesterfield	Mansfield	0 : 2
41	Crystal Palace	Bye
43	Newport	Millwall	0 : 1
44	Coventry	Luton	1 : 0
45	Burnley	Bye
46	West Brom	Derby	1 : 2
47	Cardiff	Swindon	2 : 1
48	Cheltenham	Exeter	2 : 0
49	Barrow	Preston	0 : 1
50	Wrexham	Hull	4 : 3
51	Portsmouth	Reading	1 : 2
52	Gillingham	AFC Wimbledon	1 : 2
53	Wigan	Notts Co	1 : 0
54	Stockport County	Crewe	3 : 1
55	Bromley	Ipswich	2 : 1
56	Leyton Orient	Wycombe	0 : 1
57	Barnsley	Fleetwood	3 : 2
58	Salford	Rotherham	0 : 1
59	Oxford Utd	Colchester	1 : 0
60	Bye	Brighton
61	Fulham	Bye
62	Bristol City	MK Dons	2 : 0
63	Bristol Rovers	Cambridge Utd	0 : 2
64	Charlton	Stevenage	3 : 1

1/32-finals

1	Birmingham	Port Vale	0 : 1
2	Bye	Arsenal
3	Swansea	Plymouth	2 : 1
4	Bye	Nottingham
5	Burton	Lincoln	0 : 1
6	Bye	Chelsea
7	Tottenham	Bye
8	Accrington	Doncaster	0 : 2
9	Bournemouth	Brentford	0 : 2
10	Bye	Aston Villa
11	Sunderland	Huddersfield	1 : 2
12	Bye	Manchester City
13	Liverpool	Bye
14	Norwich	Southampton	0 : 3
15	Newcastle	Bye
16	Stoke	Bradford City	0 : 3
17	Sheffield Wed	Leeds	2 : 1
18	Grimsby	Manchester Utd	3 : 2
19	Wolves	West Ham	3 : 2
20	Everton	Mansfield	2 : 0
21	Crystal Palace	Bye
22	Millwall	Coventry	2 : 1
23	Burnley	Derby	2 : 1
24	Cardiff	Cheltenham	3 : 0
25	Preston	Wrexham	2 : 3
26	Reading	AFC Wimbledon	2 : 1
27	Wigan	Stockport County	1 : 0
28	Bromley	Wycombe	1 : 2
29	Barnsley	Rotherham	2 : 1
30	Oxford Utd	Brighton	0 : 6
31	Fulham	Bristol City	2 : 0
32	Cambridge Utd	Charlton	3 : 1

1/16-finals

1	Port Vale	Arsenal
2	Swansea	Nottingham
3	Lincoln	Chelsea
4	Tottenham	Doncaster
5	Brentford	Aston Villa
6	Huddersfield	Manchester City
7	Liverpool	Southampton
8	Newcastle	Bradford City
9	Sheffield Wed	Grimsby
10	Wolves	Everton
11	Crystal Palace	Millwall
12	Burnley	Cardiff
13	Wrexham	Reading
14	Wigan	Wycombe
15	Barnsley	Brighton
16	Fulham	Cambridge Utd

Which TV channels are streaming of Cardiff City - Swindon Town?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Japan	DAZN Japan
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+