Cardiff City vs Rotherham United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Cardiff City - Rotherham United
Result
3:0
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 3
  • Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)
Cardiff City - Rotherham United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.790.01
Ball Possession
76%24%
Total shots
131
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
70
Passes
90% (597/660)64% (134/210)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.790.01
xG on target (xGOT)
2.530.19
Total shots
131
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
40
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
120
Shots outside the Box
11
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
70
Touches in opposition box
257
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1516
Passes
90% (597/660)64% (134/210)
Long passes
57% (24/42)27% (14/51)
Passes in final third
82% (168/205)41% (31/76)
Crosses
38% (5/13)0% (0/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.940.09
Throw-ins
209
Fouls
1615
Tackles
33% (1/3)65% (15/23)
Duels won
4253
Clearances
1216
Interceptions
53
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.192.53
Goals prevented
0.19-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', Martha A. 🟨,
  • 32', Mafico D. 🟨,
  • 36', Mafico D. , Bagan J. ,
  • 38', Agbaire L. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Salech Y. , Turnbull D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Agbaire L. , Kaleta M. ,
  • 51', Bagan J. 🟨,
  • 55', 2 - 0, Ashford C. , Turnbull D. (A),
  • 60', Kelly L. , Holmes J. ,
  • 60', 3 - 0, Colwill R. , Salech Y. (A),
  • 68', Raggett S. 🟨,
  • 75', Yearwood D. , Clarke J. ,
  • 75', Martha A. , McGuckin C. ,
  • 81', Ashford C. , Davies I. ,
  • 81', Colwill R. , Colwill J. ,
  • 82', Salech Y. , Robinson C. ,
  • 88', Kpakio R. , Chambers C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cardiff City
60.2%
Draw
23%
Rotherham United
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.9% 24.7% 20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7% 24.3% 20.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cardiff City's performance.
  • Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Cardiff City - Rotherham United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.71)
    4.05
    (3.81)
    5.55
    (4.59)
    6.5%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Rotherham United?
  • Users Predictions: Cardiff City will win (27 of 28 users predict this - 96.43%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 89.56%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cardiff City will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 3.
    • Cardiff is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Rotherham has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Cardiff may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Cardiff is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Ng P. (Inactive) Robertson A. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Rotherham: Kayode J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rotherham: Etete K. (Injury) Hatton B. (Hamstring Injury) McGuckin C. (Injury) Nombe S. (Injury) Spence K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:16. (average 1.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 1.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Rotherham United were as follows:
    04.05.2024 Rotherham United - Cardiff City 5:2
    30.09.2023 Cardiff City - Rotherham United 2:0
    29.10.2022 Cardiff City - Rotherham United 1:0
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    Latest results of Rotherham United
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff651011:11016
    2Doncaster75119:5416
    3Huddersfield750214:8615
    4Stevenage65019:4515
    5Bradford City742111:9214
    6Barnsley641111:7413
    7Luton64028:3512
    8Lincoln733110:8212
    9Stockport County732212:11111
    10Bolton72419:6310
    11Mansfield731311:9210
    12Leyton Orient73139:12-310
    13Exeter73049:729
    14Wigan723210:919
    15AFC Wimbledon73048:9-19
    16Northampton62134:6-27
    17Rotherham62135:8-37
    18Plymouth72058:15-76
    19Wycombe71247:9-25
    20Reading61235:9-45
    21Burton51135:9-44
    22Blackpool61147:13-64
    23Port Vale70254:9-52
    24Peterborough70164:14-101

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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