Result
2:3
05/05/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 2.56 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (357/429) | 82% (260/319) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 2.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 2.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (357/429) | 82% (260/319) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (27/53) | 55% (29/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (71/108) | 64% (51/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 90% (9/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.53 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.53 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, Rodriguez F. (Own goal),
- 15', 0 - 2, Fernandez A. ⚽, Gudino I. (A),
- 28', Torres S. 🟥,
- 34', Mercado A. ↓, Montenegro L. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Rodriguez F. ↓, Wagner Pinote ↑,
- 46', Cristaldo G. ↓, Rivas R. ↑,
- 46', Covea M. ↓, Reinoso L. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 2, Rivas R. ⚽, Cardozo R. (A),
- 57', Fereira Penaranda E. E. 🟨,
- 59', 2 - 2, Cristaldo J. E. ⚽, Montero R. (A),
- 67', 2 - 3, Correa W. ⚽,
- 82', Robert Hernandez ↓, Lezama R. ↑,
- 82', Cardozo R. ↓, Lutkowski R. ↑,
- 83', Correa W. ↓, Marquez M. ↑,
- 83', Fernandez A. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
- 83', Rojas D. ↓, Adelan ↑,
- 90+1', Gudino I. 🟨,
- 90+4', Reinoso L. ↓, La Mantia F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Independiente Petroleros
43.4% | Draw
29.3% | Caracas
27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Petroleros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caracas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Independiente Petroleros - Caracas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.34) |
3.2 ↓
(3.4) |
3.41 ↑
(2.85) |
6.5%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente Petroleros - Caracas?
- Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Ind Petroleros will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Caracas will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35% – 88%. - Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Ind Petroleros (votes: 2 - 50%). Caracas (votes: 2 - 50%).
- The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Caracas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Ind Petroleros has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Caracas has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ind Petroleros won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Petroleros won against Caracas?
Independiente Petroleros has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caracas won against Independiente Petroleros?
Caracas has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Petroleros - Caracas were as follows:
15.04.2026
Caracas
-
Independiente Petroleros
1:0
Latest results of Independiente Petroleros
Latest results of Caracas
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Macara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Tigre | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | America De Cali | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atletico-MG | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Cienciano | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 8 |
| 3 | Juventud | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Puerto Cabello | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Millonarios | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Boston River | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Recoleta | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
| 2 | Santos | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | San Lorenzo | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 6 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15:5 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | Caracas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 | Racing Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Independiente | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3:15 | -12 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montevideo City | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Gremio | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 5 |
| 4 | Palestino | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 3 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Vasco | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | A. Italiano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | Barracas Central | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Bragantino | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:5 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | Carabobo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Blooming | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:17 | -14 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Independiente Petroleros - Caracas?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Bolivia | ESPN 3 |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol, fubo Sports Network |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Ecuador | ESPN 3 |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Paraguay | ESPN 3 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
