Carabobo vs Universidad Central: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Venezuelan Primera Division Carabobo - Universidad Central
Result
4:1
23/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 8
  • Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)
Carabobo - Universidad Central - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.760.28
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
83% (370/444)77% (215/280)
Yellow Cards
03
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.760.28
xG on target (xGOT)
3.490.42
Total shots
138
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
112
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
197
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
88
Passes
83% (370/444)77% (215/280)
Long passes
61% (46/76)29% (15/52)
Passes in final third
69% (69/100)44% (27/61)
Crosses
29% (6/21)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.700.19
Throw-ins
2115
Fouls
88
Tackles
89% (8/9)67% (6/9)
Duels won
2525
Clearances
1522
Interceptions
35
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.423.49
Goals prevented
-0.58-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 37', 1 - 0, Orozco Y. , Nunez M. (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Cuesta J. , Zapata J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 53', 2 - 1, Orozco Y. , Berrios J. (A),
  • 56', Silva M. 🟥,
  • 58', Machis D. , Gonzalez C. ,
  • 62', 3 - 1, Alegria J. ,
  • 65', Cuesta J. , Cumana Y. ,
  • 65', Ortiz C. , Murillo Y. ,
  • 68', Carrillo D. 🟨,
  • 69', 4 - 1, Alegria J. , Neira E. (A),
  • 70', Cumana Y. 🟨,
  • 72', 🟨,
  • 76', Alegria J. , Londono F. ,
  • 77', Berrios J. , Lucena A. ,
  • 77', Del Valle Y. , Robert Hernandez ,
  • 77', Orozco Y. , Tortolero E. ,
  • 77', Sole F. , Cermeno C. ,
  • 77', Zapata J. , Sosa S. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Carabobo
49.4%
Draw
29.6%
Universidad Central
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 29.1% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 29.8% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carabobo's performance.
  • Universidad Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad Central might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carabobo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad Central could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Carabobo - Universidad Central Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (2.22)
    3.13
    (3.2)
    4.42
    (3.22)
    7.8%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 1.
    • Recent performances by Carabobo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Universidad Central is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Universidad Central may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Carabobo is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Carabobo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carabobo - Universidad Central were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Universidad Central - Carabobo 1:1
    28.08.2024 Universidad Central - Carabobo 3:1
    09.03.2024 Carabobo - Universidad Central 0:1
    07.07.2023 Carabobo - Universidad Central 2:1
    05.05.2023 Universidad Central - Carabobo 0:0
    Latest results of Carabobo
    16.08.2025 Monagas - Carabobo 2:0
    09.08.2025 Carabobo - Zamora 1:0
    06.08.2025 Carabobo - Dynamo Puerto 5:0
    02.08.2025 Carabobo - Metropolitanos 0:0
    Venezuelan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1La Guaira980123:71624
    2Dep. Tachira962117:9820
    3Carabobo962113:5820
    4Monagas952212:8417
    5Caracas952212:9317
    6Zamora94148:10-213
    7Puerto Cabello92529:8111
    8Universidad Central932410:11-111
    9Estudiantes Merida93157:12-510
    10Rayo Zuliano93157:13-610
    11Anzoategui FC93066:12-69
    12Metropolitanos912610:17-75
    13Portuguesa92167:13-64
    14Yaracuyanos91176:13-74

          Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

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