Carabobo vs Estudiantes de Mérida: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Venezuelan Primera Division Carabobo - Estudiantes de Mérida
Result
2:1
05/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 1
Carabobo - Estudiantes de Mérida - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.110.23
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
268
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
82% (318/387)79% (265/334)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.110.23
xG on target (xGOT)
1.100.23
Total shots
268
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
184
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
228
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
914
Passes
82% (318/387)79% (265/334)
Long passes
58% (31/53)36% (21/58)
Passes in final third
68% (80/118)63% (55/88)
Crosses
28% (12/43)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.300.28
Throw-ins
2322
Fouls
149
Tackles
83% (19/23)100% (9/9)
Duels won
5232
Clearances
1641
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.231.10
Goals prevented
-0.77-0.90

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Pernia M. , Ramos Rodriguez C. I. ,
  • 38', Marquez J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 50', 0 - 1, Fernandez M. , Marquez J. (A),
  • 57', Pena A. , Guzman S. ,
  • 57', Browne O. , Alderete E. ,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Berrios J. , Nunez M. (A),
  • 63', Londono F. 🟨,
  • 63', Nunez M. , Robert Hernandez ,
  • 69', Alderete E. 🟨,
  • 77', Bonilla P. , Guaramato M. ,
  • 77', Tortolero E. , Riasco J. ,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Londono F. ,
  • 81', Marquez J. , Paez G. ,
  • 82', Riasco J. 🟨,
  • 85', Fernandez M. , Rivera J. ,
  • 90+4', Doldan J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Moreno J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Carabobo
50.5%
Draw
28.5%
Estudiantes de Mérida
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.6% 28.4% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1% 28.7% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Estudiantes de Mérida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Carabobo - Estudiantes de Mérida Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (2.02)
    3.21
    (3.25)
    4.35
    (3.54)
    9.5%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Carabobo - Estudiantes de Mérida?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Carabobo (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Carabobo will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 4.
    • Recent form of Carabobo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Est de Mérida is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Est de Mérida may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Carabobo is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 1.1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Carabobo won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carabobo - Estudiantes de Mérida were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Estudiantes de Mérida - Carabobo 0:2
    17.11.2024 Estudiantes de Mérida - Carabobo 0:3
    27.10.2024 Carabobo - Estudiantes de Mérida 2:0
    22.09.2024 Estudiantes de Mérida - Carabobo 0:0
    23.03.2024 Carabobo - Estudiantes de Mérida 1:0
    Latest results of Carabobo
    Latest results of Estudiantes de Mérida
    Venezuelan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Universidad Central11002:023
    2Carabobo11002:113
    3Caracas11002:113
    4Portuguesa11002:113
    5Metropolitanos10102:201
    6Puerto Cabello10102:201
    7Dep. Tachira10101:101
    8Zamora10101:101
    9Monagas00000:000
    10La Guaira00000:000
    11Estudiantes Merida10011:2-10
    12Yaracuyanos10011:2-10
    13Rayo Zuliano10011:2-10
    14Anzoategui FC10010:2-20

          Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

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