Cape Town City vs Mamelodi Sundowns: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

03/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Cape Town Stadium (Cape Town).

: Premiership - Round 28

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.16	1.99
Ball Possession
33%	67%
Total shots
4	15
Shots on target
1	5
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
4	3
Passes
79% (226/287)	88% (549/622)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.16	1.99
xG on target (xGOT)
0.53	1.99
Total shots
4	15
Shots on target
1	5
Shots off target
1	5
Blocked Shots
2	5
Shots inside the Box
2	8
Shots outside the Box
2	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
13	26
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
4	2
Free Kicks
12	8
Passes
79% (226/287)	88% (549/622)
Long passes
40% (17/42)	60% (37/62)
Passes in final third
68% (63/92)	77% (94/122)
Crosses
24% (4/17)	38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.50	1.94
Throw-ins
19	17
Fouls
8	12
Tackles
67% (12/18)	53% (8/15)
Duels won
40	33
Clearances
24	20
Interceptions
12	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
1.99	0.53
Goals prevented
-0.01	0.53

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Makaringe F. 🟨,
28', Mokoena T. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Matthews T. ⚽, Rayners I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Petrus A. 🟨,
73', Amato G. ↓, Mokotjo K. ↑,
73', Petrus A. ↓, Goedeman T. ↑,
77', 0 - 2, Rayners I. ⚽,
79', Makaringe F. ↓, Francis K. ↑,
79', Rayners I. ↓, Maseko T. ↑,
79', Ribeiro L. ↓, Adams J. ↑,
79', Morena T. ↓, Mudau K. ↑,
79', Nodada T. ↓, Domingo H. ↑,
81', Matthews T. ↓, Zwane T. ↑,
81', Kekana G. ↓, Khoza M. ↑,
90', Rhodes J. ↓, Bezuidenhout K. ↑,

Chances of winning

Cape Town City
17.1%

Draw
25.1%

Mamelodi Sundowns
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

24.6%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8%

23.3%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cape Town City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cape Town City than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (+3%)

Cape Town City - Mamelodi Sundowns Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.42 ↑ (5.2)	3.69 ↓ (3.75)	1.6 (1.6)	8.1% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Cape Town City - Mamelodi Sundowns?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mamelodi Sundowns (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Premiership (Promotion Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cape Town City won 1.
Recent form of Cape Town City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Mamelodi Sundowns's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Mamelodi Sundowns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cape Town City won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 0.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Cape Town City won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.8:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Cape Town City won against Mamelodi Sundowns?

Cape Town City has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Mamelodi Sundowns won against Cape Town City?

Mamelodi Sundowns has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cape Town City - Mamelodi Sundowns were as follows:

30.10.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns - Cape Town City 3:0

25.05.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns - Cape Town City 0:1

24.12.2023 Cape Town City - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:0

04.04.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns - Cape Town City 0:0

Latest results of Cape Town City

26.04.2025 Cape Town City - Royal AM Postponed ✺

18.04.2025 Richards Bay - Cape Town City 1:0 ✺

06.04.2025 Cape Town City - Sekhukhune United 1:2 ✺

30.03.2025 Supersport United - Cape Town City 0:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Cape Town City - Marumo Gallants 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Mamelodi Sundowns

30.04.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Richards Bay 3:0 ✺

25.04.2025 Al Ahly Cairo - Mamelodi Sundowns 1:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Al Ahly Cairo 0:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Kaizer Chiefs 1:2 ✺

08.04.2025 Espérance ST - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:0 ✺

South African Premier Soccer League Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Mamelodi Sundowns	28	24	1	3	65:13	52	73
2	Orlando Pirates	28	19	4	5	43:20	23	61
3	Stellenbosch	28	13	9	6	34:21	13	48
4	Sekhukhune	28	13	7	8	39:31	8	46
5	TS Galaxy	28	8	11	9	30:30	0	35
6	AmaZulu	28	10	5	13	29:34	-5	35
7	Polokwane	28	8	10	10	19:25	-6	34
8	Richards Bay	28	9	6	13	19:26	-7	33
9	Kaizer Chiefs	28	8	8	12	25:32	-7	32
10	Marumo Gallants	28	8	8	12	26:39	-13	32
11	Chippa Utd	28	8	7	13	22:28	-6	31
12	Golden Arrows	28	7	10	11	20:32	-12	31
13	Magesi	28	8	7	13	19:31	-12	31
14	Supersport Utd	28	6	9	13	18:30	-12	27
15	Cape Town City	28	7	6	15	15:31	-16	27
16	Royal AM	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ CAF Champions League
      Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup
      Betway Premiership (Promotion Group: )
      Relegation ~ Motsepe Foundation Championship

Which TV channels are streaming of Cape Town City - Mamelodi Sundowns?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport PSL
Kenya	Gotv
South-africa	SuperSport PSL