Cape Town City vs Mamelodi Sundowns: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

03/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Cape Town Stadium (Cape Town).

: Premiership - Round 28

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.16	1.99
Ball Possession
33%	67%
Total shots
4	15
Shots on target
1	5
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
4	3
Passes
79% (226/287)	88% (549/622)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.16	1.99
xG on target (xGOT)
0.53	1.99
Total shots
4	15
Shots on target
1	5
Shots off target
1	5
Blocked Shots
2	5
Shots inside the Box
2	8
Shots outside the Box
2	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
13	26
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
4	2
Free Kicks
12	8
Passes
79% (226/287)	88% (549/622)
Long passes
40% (17/42)	60% (37/62)
Passes in final third
68% (63/92)	77% (94/122)
Crosses
24% (4/17)	38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.50	1.94
Throw-ins
19	17
Fouls
8	12
Tackles
67% (12/18)	53% (8/15)
Duels won
40	33
Clearances
24	20
Interceptions
12	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
1.99	0.53
Goals prevented
-0.01	0.53

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Makaringe F. 🟨,
28', Mokoena T. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Matthews T. ⚽, Rayners I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Petrus A. 🟨,
73', Amato G. ↓, Mokotjo K. ↑,
73', Petrus A. ↓, Goedeman T. ↑,
77', 0 - 2, Rayners I. ⚽,
79', Makaringe F. ↓, Francis K. ↑,
79', Rayners I. ↓, Maseko T. ↑,
79', Ribeiro L. ↓, Adams J. ↑,
79', Morena T. ↓, Mudau K. ↑,
79', Nodada T. ↓, Domingo H. ↑,
81', Matthews T. ↓, Zwane T. ↑,
81', Kekana G. ↓, Khoza M. ↑,
90', Rhodes J. ↓, Bezuidenhout K. ↑,

Chances of winning

Cape Town City
17.1%

Draw
25.1%

Mamelodi Sundowns
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

24.6%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8%

23.3%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cape Town City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cape Town City than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (+3%)

Cape Town City - Mamelodi Sundowns Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.42 ↑ (5.2)	3.69 ↓ (3.75)	1.6 (1.6)	8.1% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Cape Town City - Mamelodi Sundowns?

The most likely score is 0:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Premiership (Promotion Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cape Town City won 1.
Recent form of Cape Town City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Mamelodi Sundowns's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Mamelodi Sundowns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cape Town City won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 0.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Cape Town City won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.8:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Cape Town City won against Mamelodi Sundowns?

Cape Town City has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Mamelodi Sundowns won against Cape Town City?

Mamelodi Sundowns has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cape Town City - Mamelodi Sundowns were as follows:

30.10.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns - Cape Town City 3:0

25.05.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns - Cape Town City 0:1

24.12.2023 Cape Town City - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:0

04.04.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns - Cape Town City 0:0

Latest results of Cape Town City

26.04.2025 Cape Town City - Royal AM Postponed ✺

18.04.2025 Richards Bay - Cape Town City 1:0 ✺

06.04.2025 Cape Town City - Sekhukhune United 1:2 ✺

30.03.2025 Supersport United - Cape Town City 0:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Cape Town City - Marumo Gallants 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Mamelodi Sundowns

30.04.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Richards Bay 3:0 ✺

25.04.2025 Al Ahly Cairo - Mamelodi Sundowns 1:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Al Ahly Cairo 0:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Kaizer Chiefs 1:2 ✺

08.04.2025 Espérance ST - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:0 ✺

South African Premier Soccer League Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Mamelodi Sundowns ✔	28	24	1	3	65:13	52	73
2	Orlando Pirates ✔	25	18	2	5	40:18	22	56
3	Stellenbosch	27	13	8	6	34:21	13	47
4	Sekhukhune	27	13	7	7	37:28	9	46
5	TS Galaxy	28	8	11	9	30:30	0	35
6	AmaZulu	27	10	4	13	28:33	-5	34
7	Polokwane	27	8	9	10	19:25	-6	33
8	Chippa Utd	28	8	7	13	22:28	-6	31
9	Kaizer Chiefs	27	8	7	12	25:32	-7	31
10	Marumo Gallants	27	8	7	12	25:38	-13	31
11	Richards Bay	27	8	6	13	17:26	-9	30
12	Magesi	26	8	5	13	17:29	-12	29
13	Golden Arrows	26	6	9	11	16:29	-13	27
14	Supersport Utd	25	6	8	11	17:26	-9	26
15	Cape Town City	27	7	5	15	15:31	-16	26
16	Royal AM	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ CAF Champions League
      Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup
      Premiership (Promotion Group: )
      Relegation ~ Motsepe Foundation Championship

Clinched Spots for Teams

Mamelodi Sundowns is Confirmed as championsnQualified for CAF Champions League
Orlando Pirates is Qualified for CAF Champions League

Which TV channels are streaming of Cape Town City - Mamelodi Sundowns?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport PSL
Kenya	Gotv
South-africa	SuperSport PSL