Unión Comercio vs Cantolao: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Peruvian Liga 2 Unión Comercio - Cantolao
Result
1:0
22/06/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 2 - Round 12
Unión Comercio - Cantolao - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Valenzuela R. , Jimenez J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Oliva G. , Calero A. ,
  • 46', Farias L. , Vargas C. ,
  • 59', Vargas C. , Ayala J. ,
  • 59', Sanchez K. , Arrieta J. ,
  • 69', Morales G. , Velarde M. ,
  • 72', 1 - 0, Vargas C. ,

Chances of winning


Unión Comercio
70.1%
Draw
18.1%
Cantolao
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.6% 19.2% 14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71% 18% 13.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión Comercio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Cantolao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cantolao than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Unión Comercio - Cantolao Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.37)
    4.98
    (4.75)
    7.67
    (6.42)
    10.6%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Comercio won 4.
    • Unión Comercio has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cantolao has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Cantolao may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Unión Comercio is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Unión Comercio won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Unión Comercio won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 2.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Comercio - Cantolao were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Cantolao - Unión Comercio 0:1
    26.08.2023 Unión Comercio - Cantolao 2:1
    10.04.2023 Cantolao - Unión Comercio 1:2
    Latest results of Unión Comercio
    Latest results of Cantolao
    Peruvian Liga 2 Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cajamarca ✔ 1171316:13322
    2San Marcos ✔ 115339:4518
    3Cesar Vallejo ✔ 1252514:10417
    4ADA Jaen ✔ 1143411:12-115
    5Carlos Mannucci1142516:14214
    6Llacuabamba1142511:16-514
    7Pirata ✔ 113175:13-810


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Comerciantes ✔ 1384124:101428
    2Moquegua ✔ 1373319:12724
    3Union Comercio ✔ 1371523:18522
    4Tacna Heroica1362523:20320
    5U. San Martin1362517:18-120
    6Santos1353519:21-218
    7Deportivo Coopsol ✔ 1323811:25-149
    8AD Cantolao ✔ 130497:19-124

          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: )
          Liga 2 (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    FC Cajamarca is Qualified for Liga 2 (Promotion Group )
    San Marcos is Qualified for Liga 2 (Promotion Group )
    Cesar Vallejo is Qualified for Liga 2 (Promotion Group )
    ADA Jaen is Qualified for Liga 2 (Promotion Group )
    Pirata is Liga 2 (Relegation Group )
    Comerciantes is Qualified for Liga 2 (Promotion Group )
    Moquegua is Qualified for Liga 2 (Promotion Group )
    Union Comercio is Qualified for Liga 2 (Promotion Group )
    Deportivo Coopsol is Liga 2 (Relegation Group )
    AD Cantolao is Liga 2 (Relegation Group )
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