Montalegre vs Canelas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

18/02/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

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PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 19

Chances of winning

Montalegre
57.3%

Draw
23.8%

Canelas
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

30.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

29.4%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montalegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Montalegre's performance.

Canelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Canelas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montalegre than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montalegre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canelas than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Canelas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Montalegre - Canelas Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (2.22)	3.87 ↑ (3)	4.87 ↑ (3.17)	8.5% (9.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Montalegre - Canelas?

Users Predictions: Montalegre will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is .

Preview Facts

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 7 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).
Montalegre is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Canelas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Montalegre will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Montalegre won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Montalegre won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

How many head-to-head matches has Montalegre won against Canelas?

Montalegre has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Canelas won against Montalegre?

Canelas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Montalegre - Canelas were as follows:

06.11.2022 Canelas - Montalegre 1:1

Latest results of Montalegre

12.02.2023 Vilaverdense - Montalegre 2:1 ✺

04.02.2023 Montalegre - Varzim 1:2 ✺

28.01.2023 São João de Ver - Montalegre 2:0 ✺

21.01.2023 Vitoria Guimarães B - Montalegre 2:2 ✺

13.01.2023 Montalegre - Sanjoanense 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Canelas

11.02.2023 Canelas - Sanjoanense 2:3 ✺

04.02.2023 Felgueiras - Canelas 2:1 ✺

28.01.2023 Canelas - Anadia 1:0 ✺

21.01.2023 Fafe - Canelas 0:2 ✺

14.01.2023 Canelas - Braga B 0:1 ✺

Portuguese Liga 3 Table

2025/26

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Trofense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Varzim	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Paredes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	AD Fafe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Sanjoanense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Amarante	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Sao Joao Ver	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Vitoria Guimaraes B	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Braga B	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	AD Marco 09	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Academica	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Atletico CP	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Covilha	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Mafra	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Caldas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	1u00ba Dezembro	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Lusitano GC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Amora	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Santarem	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Os Belenenses	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Montalegre - Canelas?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: