Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Cancún: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Tepatitlán de Morelos - Cancún
Result
1:2
17/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 12
  • Referee: Montes Santos J. O. (Mex)
Tepatitlán de Morelos - Cancún - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
57
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
105
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
10
Total shots
57
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
23
Corner Kicks
105

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Samano L. , Ballesteros O. (A),
  • 23', Cardona U. 🟨,
  • 25', Galindo B. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Reyes R. , Diaz J. (A),
  • 38', Samano L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Reyes J. , Lorona L. ,
  • 46', Rodriguez J. , Unjanque J. ,
  • 46', Cardona U. , Cerda J. ,
  • 55', Aguilar M. 🟨,
  • 56', Reyes R. 🟨,
  • 63', 1 - 2, Unjanque J. , Diaz J. (A),
  • 70', Ballesteros O. , Machado J. ,
  • 70', Ocon L. , Gomez J. ,
  • 71', Padilla E. , Montiel S. ,
  • 73', Alonzo J. 🟨,
  • 74', Lorona L. 🟥,
  • 76', Venegas J. 🟨,
  • 81', Trejo C. , Campos K. ,
  • 81', Chavez A. , Uscanga P. ,
  • 85', Samano L. , Garcia D. ,
  • 90+4', Hernandez J. , Soria E. ,

Chances of winning


Tepatitlán de Morelos
49.9%
Draw
26.2%
Cancún
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.6% 26.6% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 27% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tepatitlán de Morelos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Cancún has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Tepatitlán de Morelos - Cancún Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (2.03)
    3.59
    (3.49)
    3.94
    (3.34)
    6.3%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 2.
    • In recent matches, Tepatitlán has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cancún is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Tepatitlán could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tepatitlán won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tepatitlán de Morelos - Cancún were as follows:
    17.01.2025 Tepatitlán de Morelos - Cancún 1:1
    03.08.2024 Cancún - Tepatitlán de Morelos 2:0
    19.03.2024 Cancún - Tepatitlán de Morelos 2:0
    30.08.2023 Tepatitlán de Morelos - Cancún 3:0
    21.03.2023 Tepatitlán de Morelos - Cancún 1:0
    Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
    Latest results of Cancún
    10.10.2025 Cancún - Irapuato 0:0
    03.10.2025 Atlético La Paz - Cancún 2:4
    27.09.2025 Cancún - Tapatío 1:0
    20.09.2025 Jaiba Brava - Cancún 2:1
    13.09.2025 Cancún - Venados 1:0
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cancun ✔ 1182119:51426
    2Tampico Madero1064017:11622
    3Atlante1062221:81320
    4Irapuato1053217:11618
    5Tepatitlan de Morelos1245320:14617
    6Zacatecas Mineros1035218:16214
    7Venados1042423:24-114
    8Atletico La Paz1034320:19113
    9Tlaxcala1134412:20-813
    10Tapatio1133513:12112
    11Leones Negros1133514:15-112
    12Atl. Morelia1033413:18-512
    13Alebrijes Oaxaca1132613:20-711
    14Correcaminos1123615:27-129
    15Dorados de Sinaloa1211106:21-154

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Cancun is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
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