Canberra United vs Wellington Phoenix: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Australian A-League Women Canberra United - Wellington Phoenix
Result
1:0
13/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : A-League Women - Round 22
Canberra United - Wellington Phoenix - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.11
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
61% (173/285)79% (365/463)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.11
xG on target (xGOT)
2.341.17
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
49
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1423
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
711
Passes
61% (173/285)79% (365/463)
Long passes
38% (29/77)55% (26/47)
Passes in final third
45% (40/88)66% (118/179)
Crosses
15% (2/13)23% (7/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.161.05
Fouls
117
Tackles
86% (18/21)71% (12/17)
Duels won
3945
Clearances Total
2818
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
55
xGOT faced
1.172.34
Goals prevented
1.171.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Christopherson S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 69', Jaber T. , Kelly A. ,
  • 69', Brazendale D. , Whinham A. ,
  • 69', Markovski M. , McKenzie A. ,
  • 69', Stanic-Floody M. , Murray H. ,
  • 81', Fergusson O. , Tanaka M. ,
  • 82', McKenzie A. 🟨,
  • 86', Kelly A. 🟨,
  • 90', McCutcheon M. , Ingham O. ,
  • 90+3', Malone D. , Nathan R. ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Canberra United
41.9%
Draw
25.7%
Wellington Phoenix
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.6% 26% 40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32% 24.8% 42.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Canberra United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Canberra United's performance.
  • Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wellington Phoenix might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canberra United than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Canberra United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wellington Phoenix could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Canberra United - Wellington Phoenix Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.72)
    3.57
    (3.51)
    2.83
    (2.26)
    9.1%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Canberra United won 3.
    • One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
    • Canberra United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Wellington have a series of home games.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Canberra United won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:10 (average 0.8:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Canberra United won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Canberra United - Wellington Phoenix were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Wellington Phoenix - Canberra United 0:1
    23.03.2024 Canberra United - Wellington Phoenix 1:0
    27.01.2024 Wellington Phoenix - Canberra United 2:0
    21.01.2023 Wellington Phoenix - Canberra United 5:0
    09.12.2022 Canberra United - Wellington Phoenix 3:0
    Latest results of Canberra United
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Victory W (2)Bye
    2Adelaide W (3)Western United W (6)1 : 0
    3Melbourne City W (1)Bye
    4Central Coast Mariners W (4)Canberra W (5)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Victory W (2)Adelaide W (3)3 : 1, 3 : 1
    2Melbourne City W (1)Central Coast Mariners W (4)0 : 1, 2 : 2

    Final
    1Melbourne Victory W (2)Central Coast Mariners W (4)1 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Canberra United - Wellington Phoenix?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustralia10 Play, Paramount+
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 4
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 5
    usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App
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