Result
2:1
03/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech, clay - Quarter-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 54% | 61% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 64% (28/44) | 60% (31/52) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 37% (14/38) | 42% (14/33) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 7/12 | 5/10 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 40% (21/52) | 36% (16/44) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 58% (19/33) | 63% (24/38) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 5/10 | 5/12 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 45 | 32 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 71% (5/7) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (42/82) | 53% (46/87) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (41/87) | 49% (40/82) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (83/169) | 51% (86/169) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 55% (6/11) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 42% (5/12) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 52% (12/23) | 48% (11/23) |
Chances of winning
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
58.9% | Luca Van Assche
41.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Camilo Ugo Carabelli's performance.Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Van Assche might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Camilo Ugo Carabelli that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Van Assche could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luca Van Assche Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.78) |
|
2.31 ↑
(1.98) |
5.3%
(6.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luca Van Assche?
- Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 9 - 34.6%). Van Assche will win (votes: 17 - 65.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Van Assche: 47.1% – 83.7%. - Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luca Van Assche will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 67. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 109.
- Both players have been playing unpredictably.
- Ugo Carabelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Camilo Ugo Carabelli won against Luca Van Assche?
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luca Van Assche won against Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
Luca Van Assche has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luca Van Assche were as follows:
Latest results of Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Latest results of Luca Van Assche
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Darderi L. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Bellucci M. | Bennani R. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Bennani K. (WC) | Halys Q. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | De Jong J. | Hanfmann Y. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Moutet C. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Vukic A. | Baadi T. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Rocha H. (Q) | Trungelliti M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Cerundolo J. M. | Majchrzak K. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Kopriva V. (6) | Medjedovic H. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Cina F. (NG) | Muller A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Jodar R. | Lajovic D. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Machac T. (4) | |
| 13 | Buse I. (7) | Berrettini M. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Skatov T. (Q) | Ugo Carabelli C. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | van Assche L. | Gaston H. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Griekspoor T. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Darderi L. (1) | Bellucci M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bennani K. | Hanfmann Y. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Moutet C. (3) | Baadi T. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Trungelliti M. | Majchrzak K. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Kopriva V. (6) | Muller A. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Jodar R. | Machac T. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Buse I. (7) | Ugo Carabelli C. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | van Assche L. | Griekspoor T. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Darderi L. (WO.) (1) | Hanfmann Y. (8) | |
| 2 | Moutet C. (3) | Trungelliti M. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Muller A. (RET.) | Jodar R. | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Ugo Carabelli C. | van Assche L. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Darderi L. (1) | Trungelliti M. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Jodar R. | Ugo Carabelli C. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Trungelliti M. | Jodar R. | 0 : 2 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luca Van Assche?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Premier Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Romania | Prima Sport 3 |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Tennis |
