Result
1:2
06/05/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 51% | 48% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 67% (37/55) | 74% (35/47) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 54% (28/52) | 55% (28/51) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 7/11 | 3/6 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 26% (12/47) | 33% (18/55) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 45% (23/51) | 46% (24/52) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 3/6 | 4/11 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 29 | 29 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 44 | 46 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 82% (23/28) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (65/107) | 64% (63/98) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (35/98) | 39% (42/107) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (100/205) | 51% (105/205) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 80% (12/15) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 25% (4/16) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 48% (15/31) | 52% (16/31) |
Chances of winning
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
66.3% | Alexander Shevchenko
33.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Camilo Ugo Carabelli's performance.Alexander Shevchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Shevchenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-12%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Camilo Ugo Carabelli that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (+12%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexander Shevchenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Alexander Shevchenko Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.6) |
|
2.8 ↑
(2.25) |
5%
(6.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Alexander Shevchenko?
- Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- AH +1.5 Sets - Ugo Carabelli (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Camilo Ugo Carabelli will win
(23 of 25 users predict this - 92%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.37% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Camilo Ugo Carabelli will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Ugo Carabelli (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 61. Shevchenko is ranked ATP: 85.
- Ugo Carabelli has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Shevchenko has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ugo Carabelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ugo Carabelli could have a small edge in this match.
- Recently, there has been no match between the players.
How many head-to-head matches has Camilo Ugo Carabelli won against Alexander Shevchenko?
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alexander Shevchenko won against Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
Alexander Shevchenko has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Alexander Shevchenko were as follows:
Latest results of Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Latest results of Alexander Shevchenko
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Ofner S. | Michelsen A. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Popyrin A. | Berrettini M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Mensik J. (26) | |
| 5 | Tiafoe F. (20) | Bye | |
| 6 | Sonego L. | Buse I. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Pellegrino A. (Q) | Nardi L. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Fils A. (15) | |
| 9 | Rublev A. (12) | Bye | |
| 10 | Svrcina D. (Q) | Kecmanovic M. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Garin C. (Q) | Cerundolo J. M. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Davidovich Fokina A. (21) | |
| 13 | Nakashima B. (30) | Bye | |
| 14 | Bautista-Agut R. | Maestrelli F. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Basilashvili N. (Q) | Merida Aguilar D. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Shelton B. (5) | |
| 17 | Auger-Aliassime F. (4) | Bye | |
| 18 | Shapovalov D. | Navone M. | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Medjedovic H. | Royer V. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Fonseca J. (27) | |
| 21 | Etcheverry T. M. (24) | Bye | |
| 22 | Burruchaga R. A. | Bellucci M. | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Giron M. | Cilic M. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Landaluce M. (LL) | |
| 25 | Cobolli F. (10) | Bye | |
| 26 | Bergs Z. | Atmane T. | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Tirante T. A. | Cadenasso G. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Norrie C. (17) | |
| 29 | Moutet C. (28) | Bye | |
| 30 | Quinn E. | Llamas Ruiz P. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Tsitsipas S. | Machac T. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Medvedev D. (7) | |
| 33 | Musetti L. (8) | Bye | |
| 34 | Fearnley J. (Q) | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 1 : 2 |
| 35 | Carreno-Busta P. (Q) | Tabilo A. | 0 : 2 |
| 36 | Bye | Cerundolo F. (25) | |
| 37 | Ruud C. (23) | Bye | |
| 38 | Trungelliti M. | Svajda Z. | 1 : 2 |
| 39 | Struff J-L. | Comesana F. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Lehecka J. (11) | |
| 41 | Khachanov K. (13) | Bye | |
| 42 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Shevchenko A. | 1 : 2 |
| 43 | Muller A. | Van De Zandschulp B. | 0 : 2 |
| 44 | Bye | Kovacevic A. (LL) | |
| 45 | Humbert U. (31) | Bye | |
| 46 | Marozsan F. | Kopriva V. | 0 : 2 |
| 47 | Fucsovics M. | Prizmic D. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 48 | Bye | Djokovic N. (3) | |
| 49 | De Minaur A. (6) | Bye | |
| 50 | Arnaldi M. (WC) | Munar J. | 2 : 1 |
| 51 | De Jong J. (Q) | Borges N. | 0 : 2 |
| 52 | Bye | Jodar R. (32) | |
| 53 | Tien L. (19) | Bye | |
| 54 | Dzumhur D. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 55 | Brooksby J. | Baez S. | 0 : 2 |
| 56 | Bye | Bublik A. (9) | |
| 57 | Paul T. (16) | Bye | |
| 58 | Vukic A. | Kypson P. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 59 | Hurkacz H. | Hanfmann Y. | 1 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Darderi L. (18) | |
| 61 | Griekspoor T. (29) | Bye | |
| 62 | Cina F. (WC) | Blockx A. | 1 : 2 |
| 63 | Zhang Z. (PR) | Altmaier D. | 1 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Zverev A. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Ofner S. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Popyrin A. | Mensik J. (26) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Tiafoe F. (20) | Buse I. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Pellegrino A. | Fils A. (RET.) (15) | 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Rublev A. (12) | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Garin C. | Davidovich Fokina A. (21) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Nakashima B. (30) | Bautista-Agut R. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Basilashvili N. | Shelton B. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Auger-Aliassime F. (4) | Navone M. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Medjedovic H. | Fonseca J. (27) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Etcheverry T. M. (24) | Bellucci M. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Cilic M. | Landaluce M. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Cobolli F. (10) | Atmane T. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Tirante T. A. | Norrie C. (17) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Moutet C. (28) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Machac T. | Medvedev D. (WO.) (7) | |
| 17 | Musetti L. (8) | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Tabilo A. | Cerundolo F. (25) | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Ruud C. (23) | Svajda Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Struff J-L. | Lehecka J. (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Khachanov K. (13) | Shevchenko A. | 2 : 0 |
| 22 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Humbert U. (31) | Kopriva V. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Prizmic D. | Djokovic N. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 25 | De Minaur A. (6) | Arnaldi M. | 1 : 2 |
| 26 | Borges N. | Jodar R. (32) | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Tien L. (19) | Dzumhur D. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Baez S. | Bublik A. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Paul T. (16) | Vukic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Hanfmann Y. | Darderi L. (18) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Griekspoor T. (29) | Blockx A. | 1 : 2 |
| 32 | Altmaier D. | Zverev A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Popyrin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Tiafoe F. (20) | Pellegrino A. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Rublev A. (12) | Davidovich Fokina A. (21) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Nakashima B. (30) | Basilashvili N. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Navone M. | Medjedovic H. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bellucci M. | Landaluce M. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Cobolli F. (10) | Tirante T. A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Medvedev D. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Musetti L. (8) | Cerundolo F. (25) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Ruud C. (23) | Lehecka J. (11) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Khachanov K. (13) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Humbert U. (31) | Prizmic D. | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Arnaldi M. | Jodar R. (32) | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Tien L. (19) | Bublik A. (9) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Paul T. (16) | Darderi L. (18) | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Blockx A. | Zverev A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Pellegrino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Rublev A. (12) | Basilashvili N. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Medjedovic H. | Landaluce M. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Tirante T. A. | Medvedev D. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Musetti L. (8) | Ruud C. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Khachanov K. (13) | Prizmic D. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Jodar R. (32) | Tien L. (19) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Darderi L. (18) | Zverev A. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Rublev A. (12) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Landaluce M. | Medvedev D. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Ruud C. (23) | Khachanov K. (13) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Jodar R. (32) | Darderi L. (18) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Medvedev D. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Ruud C. (23) | Darderi L. (18) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Ruud C. (23) | |
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